DePaul hosts South Florida on 5 November 2026 in an NCAA contest where the model favours the visitors, projecting a 60% chance of a win for South Florida and a 40% chance for DePaul, with a predicted score of 73-76 and a total of 149.3 points; the home team faces a -6.5 line and only a 21% chance of covering it, while the over on a 147.5 line stands at 54%. DePaul is 1-0 for the season, averaging 75.0 points and allowing 58.0, and has won its sole home game, 75-58 over West Georgia on 2 November 2026; its last five games show two wins and three losses, with recent defeats to Georgetown 56-63 and Butler 71-81 at home. South Florida is also 1-0, scoring 98.0 and conceding 71.0, and has won four of its last five, including a 98-71 victory over Charleston Southern on 2 November 2026, a 70-55 win over Wichita State on 15 March 2026, and a 79-83 loss to Louisville away on 19 March 2026. In head-to-head history the teams have met three times, South Florida winning twice, most recently 77-65 on 5 April 2019, and the game is expected to finish in overtime with a 5% probability.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
DePaul winWon
40.1%fair 2.49
Best odds1.40
Implied69.4%
Edge-29.3pp
South Florida winLost
59.9%fair 1.67
Best odds3.25
Implied30.6%
Edge+29.3pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 04 Nov 06:58 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (DePaul) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 142.5Actual: Over 142.5
Over 142.5
65.3%
@ 1.36-4.0pp
Under 142.5
34.7%
@ 3.20+4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31
Under
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.85
Over/Under 147.5 · main lineActual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
53.6%
@ 1.83+0.6pp
Under 147.5
46.4%
@ 2.22-0.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
Marathon Be
1.69
Betano
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.22
Betano
2.10
Marathon Be
2.03
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Over/Under 152.5Actual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
41.6%
@ 2.19-1.8pp
Under 152.5
58.4%
@ 1.68+1.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathon Be
1.64
📊 3. Team Totals
DePaul total 74Actual: DePaul over 74
Over 74
46.5%
Under 74
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
DePaul total 78 · main lineActual: DePaul over 78
Over 78
31.3%
@ 1.86-18.5pp
Under 78
68.7%
@ 1.85+18.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
DePaul total 82Push
Over 82
19.0%
Under 82
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Florida total 68Actual: South Florida over 68
Over 68
79.2%
Under 68
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Florida total 72 · main lineActual: South Florida over 72
Over 72
65.9%
@ 1.87+16.2pp
Under 72
34.1%
@ 1.85-16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
South Florida total 76Actual: South Florida over 76
Over 76
50.1%
Under 76
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread DePaul -9Actual: South Florida +9
DEPA -9
14.8%
@ 2.25-26.3pp
SOUT +9
85.2%
@ 1.57+26.3pp
Best 5 market prices
DEPA
Bet365
2.25
SOUT
Bet365
1.57
Spread DePaul -6 · main lineActual: South Florida +6
DEPA -6
22.0%
@ 1.93-28.0pp
SOUT +6
78.0%
@ 1.95+28.0pp
Best 5 market prices
DEPA
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
SOUT
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
Spread DePaul -3Actual: South Florida +3
DEPA -3
31.4%
@ 1.52-29.9pp
SOUT +3
68.6%
@ 2.40+29.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DEPA
Bet365
1.52
SOUT
Bet365
2.40
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
DePaulSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
South Florida +4
71.9%
2.27
Pinnacle
2.31
Bet365
2.22
-
-
-
+30.4pp
Won
South Florida +5
75.1%
2.08
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.05
-
-
-
+29.8pp
Won
South Florida +4.5
72.8%
2.13
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.05
-
-
+29.5pp
Won
South Florida +5.5
75.8%
1.95
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.96
Betano
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
+28.3pp
Won
South Florida +6
78.0%
1.90
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.86
-
+28.0pp
Won
South Florida +9
85.2%
1.57
Bet365
1.57
-
-
-
-
+26.3pp
Won
South Florida +6.5
78.6%
1.82
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
+26.1pp
Won
South Florida +7
80.6%
1.76
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.74
SBO
1.74
-
+25.8pp
Won
South Florida +8.5
83.4%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.55
-
-
+25.0pp
Won
South Florida +10
87.1%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+24.6pp
Won
South Florida +8
83.0%
1.65
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.63
-
-
-
+24.4pp
Won
South Florida +7.5
81.1%
1.69
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.69
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.65
-
+24.2pp
Won
South Florida +9.5
85.5%
1.50
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+24.0pp
Won
South Florida +11
88.8%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+23.1pp
Won
South Florida +10.5
87.3%
1.44
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
+22.8pp
Won
South Florida +11.5
89.0%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+21.7pp
Won
DePaul under 79
72.1%
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
-
-
-
-
+21.5pp
Lost
South Florida +12
90.3%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Won
South Florida +13
91.6%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
South Florida +12.5
90.4%
1.32
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+20.2pp
Won
DePaul under 80.5
76.0%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.66
Betano
1.50
-
-
-
+19.3pp
Lost
South Florida +13.5
91.7%
1.27
Bet365
1.29
Betano
1.25
-
-
-
+19.0pp
Won
DePaul under 79.5
73.0%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
+18.8pp
Lost
South Florida +14
92.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+18.7pp
Won
South Florida +14.5
92.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.24
-
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
South Florida over 69.5
73.9%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.57
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
-
+17.9pp
Won
South Florida over 70.5
70.6%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.77
Betano
1.60
-
-
-
+17.4pp
Won
South Florida +16.5
94.8%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+15.9pp
Won
DePaul under 81.5
78.9%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
+15.4pp
Lost
DePaul under 82.5
81.5%
1.36
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
DePaul under 83.5
83.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.35
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+14.7pp
Won
DePaul under 85.5
88.1%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+13.3pp
Won
South Florida over 68.5
76.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.42
-
-
+12.7pp
Won
DePaul under 84.5
86.1%
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
South Florida over 67.5
79.8%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.35
-
-
-
+12.2pp
Won
South Florida over 66.5
82.4%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
+11.3pp
Won
South Florida over 64.5
87.0%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+10.8pp
Won
South Florida over 65.5
84.8%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Won
DePaul under 88.5
92.7%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+10.5pp
Won
South Florida +21.5
97.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
DePaul under 87.5
91.4%
1.14
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+10.1pp
Won
South Florida over 63.5
89.0%
1.16
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Won
DePaul under 89.5
93.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.9pp
Won
South Florida over 62.5
90.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+8.0pp
Won
DePaul under 91.5
95.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+7.9pp
Won
DePaul under 93.5
97.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
South Florida over 60.5
93.5%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
South Florida over 61.5
92.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
DePaul under 95.5
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
South Florida over 58.5
95.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
DePaul under 97.5
98.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
South Florida over 57.5
96.5%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
South Florida over 56.5
97.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
South Florida over 59.5
94.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+6.0pp
Won
South Florida over 55.5
97.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.5pp
Won
South Florida over 54.5
98.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
DePaul under 98.5
99.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.7%
1.04
WilliamHill
1.05
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.2pp
Won
Under 175.5
93.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Under 158
71.0%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+1.6pp
Lost
Under 158.5
71.6%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Lost
Under 170.5
89.8%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+0.8pp
Won
Under 160.5
75.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
Under 165.5
83.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-0.1pp
Won
Over 125.5
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3pp
Won
Over 130.5
87.1%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Over 135.5
79.5%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-5.5pp
Won
DePaul +13.5
82.5%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-8.3pp
Won
South Florida under 82.5
73.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-11.4pp
Won
South Florida under 81.5
70.4%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-11.5pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.