Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Nov 2016

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 101-76

28-11 20-20 27-23 26-22

Position#1

Record13-3

FormLWLWW

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game82.6

Leones Quilpue 🏆

Deportes Castro

Position#9

Record10-8

FormLWWWL

Points / game77.1

Allowed / game75.4

LNB

Other2016-17

Meetings · Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leones Quilpue winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leones Quilpue Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puente Alto

#11

84-78

A16/10

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

83-62

+21

A19/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

110-90

110

+20

H21/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

92-87

H22/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

98-89

A29/10

LNB

Valdivia

78-85

-7

A30/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

94-76

+18

H16/11

LNB

Osorno

82-89

-7

A19/11

LNB

Las Animas

87-67

+20

A20/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

82-75

H23/11

LNB

21-13

12-20

23-25

28-20

21-18

15-19

24-12

23-13

27-25

26-19

26-28

31-18

27-17

21-22

21-21

23-27

24-21

19-21

25-29

30-18

21-20

17-25

27-20

13-20

26-20

19-18

14-16

35-22

27-21

20-19

15-26

20-23

19-20

17-18

28-9

23-20

18-19

17-19

17-14

30-23

168.8Avg total

89.0Scored

79.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	90.9	82.6	173.5	+8.4	81%
Season at home (7)	97.0	86.3	183.3	+10.7	100%
Season away (9)	86.2	79.7	165.9	+6.6	67%
Last 10 (10)	89.0	79.8	168.8	+9.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	78.4	163.0	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	76.9	90.8	167.6	-13.9	12%
vs Similar (8)	89.5	84.9	174.4	+4.6	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	90.6	81.0	171.6	+9.6	86%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

80-71

H22/10

LNB

Ancud

70-89

-19

A26/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

75-81

-6

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

75-64

+11

A30/10

LNB

Ancud

75-64

+11

H12/11

LNB

Ancud

69-71

-2

A13/11

LNB

Valdivia

83-68

+15

H16/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

89-76

+13

H19/11

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

78-61

+17

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

68-85

-17

H23/11

LNB

20-15

29-15

19-13

12-28

14-21

17-29

23-21

16-18

17-21

23-15

15-18

20-27

23-24

9-15

19-14

24-11

21-19

15-12

20-16

19-17

21-22

15-16

12-12

21-21

17-17

28-23

16-15

22-13

28-11

22-15

20-23

19-27

17-28

19-7

23-15

19-11

13-16

22-22

19-24

14-23

149.2Avg total

76.2Scored

73.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.1	75.4	152.4	+1.7	56%
Season at home (10)	78.4	72.7	151.1	+5.7	70%
Season away (8)	75.4	78.8	154.1	-3.4	38%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	73.0	149.2	+3.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	72.2	149.6	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	82.8	90.5	173.4	-7.7	38%
vs Similar (14)	79.8	80.1	159.9	-0.4	43%
vs Weaker (3)	71.0	57.7	128.7	+13.3	100%

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Leones QuilpueDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	20.3	44.6	+4.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	19.1	39.2	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.2	19.1	42.4	+4.1	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.1	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.9	39.1	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	21.6	41.5	-1.8	23%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.6	18.9	37.6	-0.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	14.3	21.7	36.0	-7.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	22.3	43.2	-1.4	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	21.4	40.2	-2.7	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	20.0	38.3	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.4	23.1	41.5	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	19.6	20.7	40.4	-1.1	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	18.1	40.6	+4.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	46%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	8.7	24.7	+7.3	100%	-

Leones QuilpueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Puente Alto

#11

33-33

A16/10

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

36-37

-1

A19/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

53-44

H21/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

48-39

H22/10

LNB

Puerto Montt

43-42

A29/10

LNB

Valdivia

38-45

-7

A30/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

45-38

H16/11

LNB

Osorno

47-40

A19/11

LNB

Las Animas

36-38

-2

A20/11

LNB

Catolica

#12

35-38

-3

H23/11

LNB

80.8Avg total

41.4Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.9	41.5	83.3	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.2	42.6	87.8	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.9	40.5	79.4	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.4	80.8	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	39.8	80.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.8	43.8	82.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.6	41.6	86.2	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	42.1	40.1	82.1	+2.0	43%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osorno

49-30

+19

H22/10

LNB

Ancud

31-50

-19

A26/10

LNB

Espanol de Talca

40-36

A29/10

LNB

U. De Concepcion

32-39

-7

A30/10

LNB

Ancud

36-31

H12/11

LNB

Ancud

36-38

-2

A13/11

LNB

Valdivia

45-40

H16/11

LNB

Puente Alto

#11

50-26

+24

H19/11

LNB

Tinguiririca

#10

36-35

H20/11

LNB

Osorno

35-38

-3

H23/11

LNB

75.3Avg total

39.0Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	37.9	79.7	+3.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	40.9	76.3	-5.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.3	75.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.4	75.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	40.2	42.9	83.1	-2.8	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	37.9	77.2	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.3	30.3	60.7	+0.0	67%	-

This opponent (Leones Quilpue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.4	43.1	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	23.1	44.6	-1.6	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	19.8	41.8	+2.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.8	23.2	42.0	-4.5	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.9	22.0	42.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	23.9	19.9	43.9	+4.0	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	21.4	42.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.4	42.2	-2.5	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	17.1	35.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.7	24.2	44.8	-3.5	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	21.1	41.4	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	15.0	36.7	+6.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	21.8	44.8	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.6	22.9	47.6	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	20.4	46.0	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.6	45.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.4	23.8	43.1	-4.4	12%	-
vs Similar (8)	24.0	21.2	45.2	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	21.4	41.6	-1.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-0.9	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	21.1	41.4	-0.9	36%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	12.3	31.3	+6.7	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.8	43.2	87.9	+1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	46.1	46.1	92.2	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.6	40.6	84.2	+2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.4	88.0	+7.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	38.6	83.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	47.0	85.1	-8.9	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.9	43.2	88.1	+1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	48.5	40.9	89.4	+7.6	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	42.2	83.0	-1.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.5	40.9	82.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	43.8	83.8	-3.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.7	73.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.2	45.6	86.8	-4.4	31%	-
vs Similar (14)	40.4	42.3	82.7	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	40.7	27.3	68.0	+13.3	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leones Quilpue wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
08/10/16	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	81-92
28/11/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	122-96
10/10/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	97-84
28/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	87-94
18/01/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	102-90
17/01/15	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	90-73
11/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	84-71
10/01/15	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	87-82
29/11/14	Leones Quilpue v Deportes Castro	82-65
18/10/14	Deportes Castro v Leones Quilpue	85-82

Leones Quilpuelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/16	H	Catolica	82-75
20/11/16	A	Las Animas	87-67
19/11/16	A	Osorno	82-89
16/11/16	H	Espanol de Talca	94-76
30/10/16	A	Valdivia	78-85
29/10/16	A	Puerto Montt	98-89
22/10/16	H	Espanol de Talca	92-87
21/10/16	H	U. De Concepcion	110-90
19/10/16	A	Tinguiririca	83-62
16/10/16	A	Puente Alto	84-78

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/11/16	H	Osorno	68-85
20/11/16	H	Tinguiririca	78-61
19/11/16	H	Puente Alto	89-76
16/11/16	H	Valdivia	83-68
13/11/16	A	Ancud	69-71
12/11/16	H	Ancud	75-64
30/10/16	A	U. De Concepcion	75-64
29/10/16	A	Espanol de Talca	75-81
26/10/16	A	Ancud	70-89
22/10/16	H	Osorno	80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leones Quilpue

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	81%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	7	9
Win %	81%	100%	67%
Points / game	90.9	97.0	86.2
Allowed / game	82.6	86.3	79.7
Point differential	+8.4	+10.7	+6.6
Avg total	173.5	183.3	165.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	43%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2016-17

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	56%
Home	WWWWL	70%
Away	LLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	56%	70%	38%
Points / game	77.1	78.4	75.4
Allowed / game	75.4	72.7	78.8
Point differential	+1.7	+5.7	-3.4
Avg total	152.4	151.1	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leones Quilpue	16	13	3	81%	90.9	82.6	+8.4
2	Osorno	18	13	5	72%	83.9	77.1	+6.9
3	Espanol de Talca	12	8	4	67%	81.3	78.6	+2.8
4	Valdivia	13	8	5	62%	85.3	80.1	+5.2
5	Deportes Castro	18	10	8	56%	77.1	75.4	+1.7
6	Las Animas	15	8	7	53%	82.5	82.1	+0.5
7	U. De Concepcion	12	6	6	50%	80.9	80.2	+0.8
8	Ancud	18	8	10	44%	80.5	80.3	+0.2
9	Puerto Montt	14	6	8	43%	77.5	77.1	+0.4
10	Puente Alto	15	5	10	33%	76.0	83.4	-7.4
11	Tinguiririca	17	4	13	24%	73.8	81.2	-7.4
12	Catolica	16	3	13	19%	70.6	81.6	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leones Quilpue	28	20	27	26	101
Deportes Castro	11	20	23	22	76

← all games of the day

Leones Quilpue vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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