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Diamond Valley vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 May 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 100-104 (OT)
25-30 18-25 21-16 23-16 13-17
Position#19
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game91.7
vs
Eltham 🏆
Australia
Position#6
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game81.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Diamond Valley v Eltham
03 May 2025
DIAM100
ELTH104
01 Jun 2024
DIAM87
ELTH80
01 Apr 2023
DIAM77
ELTH87
30 Jul 2022
DIAM73
ELTH69
30 Mar 2019
DIAM86
ELTH92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Eltham winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond ValleyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
106-91
106
91
+15
A06/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H13/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H14/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
105-100
105
100
+5
A30/03
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
H05/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
62-78
62
78
-16
H08/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A11/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
A26/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
25-15
32-26
27-25
21-23
15-14
13-25
23-21
19-26
17-25
20-16
23-13
11-26
24-21
24-16
23-34
19-28
29-19
23-29
34-24
16-16
15-36
14-28
28-24
26-18
15-19
11-18
10-23
29-33
18-23
15-21
13-17
20-16
26-17
16-29
17-13
11-26
26-25
25-11
23-23
172.6Avg total
83.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.991.7173.6-9.943%
Season at home (4)74.088.5162.5-14.525%
Season away (3)92.396.0188.3-3.767%
Last 10 (10)83.089.6172.6-6.640%
Last 5 (5)77.289.0166.2-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)83.895.7179.5-11.926%
vs Similar (7)86.988.0174.9-1.143%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A27/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
66-90
66
90
-24
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
94-72
94
72
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
80-89
80
89
-9
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
105-71
105
71
+34
H26/04
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
19-18
21-23
26-22
14-15
23-19
23-16
16-24
12-24
20-15
32-21
15-10
13-13
17-13
10-21
29-16
20-24
15-22
16-22
15-22
21-22
15-16
20-22
16-22
25-30
18-7
31-21
20-14
20-25
19-26
21-21
20-17
18-22
19-13
18-20
29-29
22-12
32-21
24-20
27-18
161.1Avg total
82.3Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)88.481.8170.2+6.640%
Season at home (2)88.576.5165.0+12.050%
Season away (3)88.385.3173.7+3.033%
Last 10 (10)82.378.8161.1+3.560%
Last 5 (5)88.481.8170.2+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.089.5162.5-16.50%
vs Similar (9)84.482.9167.3+1.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.178.2167.3+10.968%
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
Diamond ValleyEltham
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A06/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H13/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H14/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
35-47
35
47
-12
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A30/03
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H05/04
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H08/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A11/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H25/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A26/04
NBL1 South
85.5Avg total
40.4Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.947.588.4-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.544.283.7-4.720%-
Last 30 away (15)42.350.793.1-8.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.185.5-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.886.2-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)40.348.588.8-8.117%-
vs Similar (7)42.744.186.9-1.443%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Eltham) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A27/07
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A03/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A10/08
NBL1 South
Forestville Eagles
#6
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A16/08
NBL 1
Knox
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A17/08
NBL 1
Ringwood
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H29/03
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A05/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A12/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H26/04
NBL1 South
76.3Avg total
38.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.639.181.7+3.563%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.139.285.2+6.969%-
Last 30 away (17)40.039.179.1+0.959%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.676.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.880.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.048.585.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (9)39.738.678.2+1.167%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.638.483.0+6.368%-
This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Diamond Valley wins
4
Eltham wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ACasey Cavaliers97-94 OT
25/04/25HRingwood79-75
11/04/25AFrankston75-94
08/04/25HMelbourne Tigers62-78
05/04/25HKnox73-104
30/03/25ADandenong105-100
29/03/25HKeilor Thunder82-97
14/07/24HKilsyth79-80
13/07/24HGeelong72-83
06/07/24ACasey Cavaliers106-91
Elthamlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25HBallarat105-71
25/04/25ANunawading91-95 OT
12/04/25AMt Gambier80-89
05/04/25ADandenong94-72
29/03/25HRingwood72-82
17/08/24AKnox66-90
16/08/24AForestville Eagles69-63
10/08/24ABallarat79-70
03/08/24AFrankston76-74
27/07/24AMt Gambier91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%25%67%
Points / game81.974.092.3
Allowed / game91.788.596.0
Point differential-9.9-14.5-3.7
Avg total173.6162.5188.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Eltham
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game88.488.588.3
Allowed / game81.876.585.3
Point differential+6.6+12.0+3.0
Avg total170.2165.0173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier65183%95.272.0+23.2
2 Knox65183%93.880.5+13.3
3 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
4 Hobart Chargers64267%83.380.3+3.0
5 Ballarat64267%87.889.0-1.2
6 Melbourne Tigers53260%84.074.8+9.2
7 Frankston53260%90.484.6+5.8
8 Bendigo Braves74357%87.089.9-2.9
9 NW Tasmania63350%88.583.7+4.8
10 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
11 Nunawading63350%83.888.0-4.2
12 Geelong73443%81.486.7-5.3
13 Waverley73443%89.694.9-5.3
14 Diamond Valley73443%81.991.7-9.9
15 Eltham52340%88.481.8+6.6
16 Ringwood62433%87.785.5+2.2
17 Keilor Thunder72529%82.193.9-11.7
18 Sandringham Sabres82625%80.590.8-10.2
19 Dandenong71614%88.496.4-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Diamond Valley2518212313100
Eltham3025161617104
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