Mt Gambier vs Eltham Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jul 2024

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 82-91

19-25 18-19 23-21 22-26

Position#1

Record17-6

FormWWLWL

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game80.2

Mt Gambier

Eltham 🏆

Position#2

Record15-8

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.6

Allowed / game81.5

NBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Quarter-finals

Other2024

Meetings · Mt Gambier v Eltham

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mt Gambier winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Eltham winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mt Gambier Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keilor Thunder

#10

80-64

+16

A07/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

90-81

A15/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

96-81

+15

A16/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

96-70

+26

H21/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

97-80

+17

A29/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

86-72

+14

A30/06

NBL1 South

Knox

93-85

H05/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

86-91

-5

H06/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

117-75

117

+42

H12/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

59-75

-16

H20/07

NBL1 South

27-18

21-18

19-18

13-10

23-18

27-24

21-22

19-17

24-20

30-14

23-18

19-29

26-25

27-17

20-14

23-14

23-28

27-14

25-20

22-18

19-20

23-15

28-21

16-16

12-17

26-19

30-22

25-27

29-34

16-16

17-18

24-23

28-12

29-17

36-26

24-20

13-17

17-18

18-22

11-18

167.4Avg total

90.0Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	89.1	80.2	169.3	+9.0	74%
Season at home (12)	89.5	85.1	174.6	+4.4	50%
Season away (11)	88.7	74.8	163.5	+13.9	100%
Last 10 (10)	90.0	77.4	167.4	+12.6	80%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	79.6	167.8	+8.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	63.0	68.0	131.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	89.2	85.6	174.9	+3.6	62%
vs Weaker (21)	88.7	80.0	168.7	+8.6	76%

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Eltham

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#11

92-70

+22

H02/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

100-71

100

+29

A15/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

93-96

-3

H22/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

90-85

A28/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

83-80

A29/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

94-89

H04/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

87-68

+19

A06/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

98-67

+31

A11/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

93-75

+18

H13/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

86-81

H20/07

NBL1 South

19-11

23-22

36-15

14-22

25-22

20-14

25-24

30-11

22-28

30-14

25-26

16-28

17-23

22-21

25-22

26-19

11-25

19-16

27-24

26-15

19-28

26-25

29-18

20-18

25-15

23-12

19-21

20-20

27-12

24-15

25-20

22-20

32-23

23-20

17-17

21-15

11-19

23-12

32-19

20-31

169.8Avg total

91.6Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	89.6	81.5	171.1	+8.1	65%
Season at home (12)	91.1	80.4	171.5	+10.7	67%
Season away (11)	88.0	82.7	170.7	+5.3	64%
Last 10 (10)	91.6	78.2	169.8	+13.4	90%
Last 5 (5)	91.6	76.0	167.6	+15.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	84.0	165.0	-3.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	91.2	90.3	181.5	+0.8	67%
vs Weaker (23)	89.0	78.3	167.3	+10.7	70%

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Mt GambierEltham

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	22.5	45.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.1	23.5	45.6	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	23.6	21.6	45.2	+2.0	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	20.9	43.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.8	23.9	45.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.4	22.1	45.5	+1.3	48%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	20.8	43.7	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	19.9	44.4	+4.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	21.7	42.9	-0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	26.0	47.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.2	25.5	48.7	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.9	19.3	42.2	+3.6	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	18.4	41.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	18.9	42.2	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.4	17.9	40.4	+4.5	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	17.2	41.5	+7.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	17.0	39.2	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	13.0	25.0	-1.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	23.0	18.0	41.0	+5.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (21)	23.3	18.8	42.1	+4.5	76%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.4	19.8	44.2	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	17.1	40.4	+6.2	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.8	40.6	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.8	21.3	42.2	-0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.8	19.3	42.2	+3.5	70%	-

Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keilor Thunder

#10

48-36

+12

A07/06

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

50-42

A15/06

NBL1 South

Diamond Valley

#18

54-34

+20

A16/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

53-42

+11

H21/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

50-42

A29/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

42-35

A30/06

NBL1 South

Knox

38-36

H05/07

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

45-50

-5

H06/07

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

57-29

+28

H12/07

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

30-35

-5

H20/07

NBL1 South

84.8Avg total

46.7Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.8	40.9	86.7	+4.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.4	42.4	87.9	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	46.1	39.6	85.6	+6.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	38.1	84.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.0	79.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	33.0	67.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	44.8	41.9	86.6	+2.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (21)	46.7	40.9	87.6	+5.8	71%	-

This opponent (Eltham) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ElthamLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

#11

42-33

H02/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

45-36

A15/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

52-42

+10

H22/06

NBL1 South

Sandringham Sabres

39-44

-5

A28/06

NBL1 South

Bendigo Braves

#15

30-41

-11

A29/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

45-53

-8

H04/07

NBL1 South

Kilsyth

#16

48-27

+21

A06/07

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

51-27

+24

A11/07

NBL1 South

Ballarat

55-43

+12

H13/07

NBL1 South

Geelong

#11

34-31

H20/07

NBL1 South

81.8Avg total

44.1Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.1	40.5	85.7	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	48.8	39.8	88.6	+9.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	41.4	82.4	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	37.7	81.8	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.6	36.2	82.8	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	38.0	46.0	84.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	44.0	46.8	90.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (23)	45.7	38.7	84.4	+7.1	70%	-

This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.5	41.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.9	42.1	+0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	20.1	43.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	21.8	47.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	13.0	13.0	26.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.4	22.5	43.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (21)	21.5	20.0	41.5	+1.4	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.7	20.1	42.8	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	21.6	43.9	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.0	20.6	46.6	+5.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	19.0	43.4	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.0	22.3	46.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (23)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	57%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.5	19.8	41.2	+1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (21)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.4	40.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	18.6	40.6	+3.5	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	13.0	38.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (23)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	57%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.8	81.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	40.4	82.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	39.3	80.7	+2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	39.3	82.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	42.6	88.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	29.0	35.0	64.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	42.9	42.2	85.1	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (21)	42.0	39.1	81.1	+2.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	40.2	83.8	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	40.2	83.1	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.4	40.2	84.6	+4.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.5	40.5	88.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	39.8	84.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	45.0	42.8	87.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (23)	43.2	39.7	82.9	+3.6	65%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Mt Gambier wins

Eltham wins

Date	Game	Score
24/05/24	Mt Gambier v Eltham	89-91
16/07/23	Eltham v Mt Gambier	95-88
02/07/22	Mt Gambier v Eltham	95-100

Mt Gambierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/24	H	Sandringham Sabres	59-75
12/07/24	H	Ringwood	117-75
06/07/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	86-91
05/07/24	H	Knox	93-85
30/06/24	A	Dandenong	86-72
29/06/24	A	Nunawading	97-80
21/06/24	H	Hobart Chargers	96-70
16/06/24	A	Diamond Valley	96-81
15/06/24	A	Kilsyth	90-81
07/06/24	A	Keilor Thunder	80-64

Elthamlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/07/24	H	Geelong	86-81
13/07/24	H	Ballarat	93-75
11/07/24	A	Keilor Thunder	98-67
06/07/24	A	Kilsyth	87-68
04/07/24	H	Waverley	94-89
29/06/24	A	Bendigo Braves	83-80
28/06/24	A	Sandringham Sabres	90-85
22/06/24	H	NW Tasmania	93-96
15/06/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	100-71
02/06/24	H	Geelong	92-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mt Gambier

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	74%
Home	WWLWL	50%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	74%	50%	100%
Points / game	89.1	89.5	88.7
Allowed / game	80.2	85.1	74.8
Point differential	+9.0	+4.4	+13.9
Avg total	169.3	174.6	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	52%	25%	82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Eltham

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	65%
Home	WLWWW	67%
Away	WWWWW	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	65%	67%	64%
Points / game	89.6	91.1	88.0
Allowed / game	81.5	80.4	82.7
Point differential	+8.1	+10.7	+5.3
Avg total	171.1	171.5	170.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	42%	36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	50% (4)	100% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	23	17	6	74%	89.1	80.2	+9.0
2	Sandringham Sabres	23	16	7	70%	92.1	79.8	+12.3
3	Frankston	23	16	7	70%	93.3	81.1	+12.2
4	Eltham	23	15	8	65%	89.6	81.5	+8.1
5	Ballarat	23	15	8	65%	89.4	86.3	+3.2
6	Dandenong	23	14	9	61%	84.3	83.3	+1.0
7	Knox	23	13	10	57%	94.0	82.4	+11.6
8	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	84.5	84.4	+0.1
9	Hobart Chargers	22	12	10	55%	81.7	82.5	-0.8
10	Keilor Thunder	22	12	10	55%	86.7	90.5	-3.8
11	Geelong	23	12	11	52%	80.6	82.6	-2.0
12	Waverley	22	11	11	50%	90.2	89.0	+1.3
13	Melbourne Tigers	22	10	12	45%	76.6	81.6	-5.0
14	NW Tasmania	22	9	13	41%	82.3	88.5	-6.3
15	Bendigo Braves	22	7	15	32%	80.2	87.6	-7.4
16	Kilsyth	22	7	15	32%	77.8	85.9	-8.1
17	Ringwood	22	6	16	27%	83.7	91.5	-7.8
18	Diamond Valley	22	6	16	27%	85.3	94.0	-8.7
19	Casey Cavaliers	22	3	19	14%	78.8	90.0	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Mt Gambier	19	18	23	22	82
Eltham	25	19	21	26	91

← all games of the day

Mt Gambier vs Eltham Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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