Diamond Valley vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jul 2024

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 72-83

21-23 15-14 13-25 23-21

Position#18

Record6-14

FormWLLLW

Points / game86.2

Allowed / game95.2

Diamond Valley

Geelong 🏆

Position#11

Record11-10

FormWWWLW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game83.0

NBL1 South

Other2024

Meetings · Diamond Valley v Geelong

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Diamond Valley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geelong winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Diamond Valley Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

96-99

-3

A26/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

87-80

H01/06

NBL1 South

Knox

93-89

A07/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

97-102

102

-5

H15/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

81-96

-15

H16/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

82-74

H22/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

78-93

-15

A28/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

76-99

-23

A29/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

93-112

112

-19

A05/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

106-91

106

+15

A06/07

NBL1 South

24-24

25-19

25-21

22-35

19-20

18-24

31-18

19-18

20-21

18-24

23-19

32-25

22-30

26-21

25-24

24-27

20-24

14-30

18-23

29-19

18-16

25-9

11-25

28-24

21-24

20-27

16-22

21-20

14-23

26-27

20-29

16-20

19-29

11-31

28-27

35-25

22-25

25-15

32-26

27-25

182.4Avg total

88.9Scored

93.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	86.2	95.2	181.5	-9.0	30%
Season at home (9)	84.6	93.8	178.3	-9.2	22%
Season away (11)	87.6	96.5	184.1	-8.8	36%
Last 10 (10)	88.9	93.5	182.4	-4.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	93.8	180.8	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	84.5	97.1	181.6	-12.6	26%
vs Similar (8)	87.9	89.8	177.6	-1.9	50%
vs Weaker (3)	94.7	85.0	179.7	+9.7	100%

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geelong

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#14

81-89

-8

H25/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

84-77

A31/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

70-92

-22

A02/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

72-66

H15/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

87-85

H22/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

75-74

A23/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

88-77

+11

H28/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

78-65

+13

H06/07

NBL1 South

Knox

75-88

-13

A07/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

102-74

102

+28

H12/07

NBL1 South

22-26

24-19

15-18

20-26

20-19

19-25

20-12

25-21

11-19

22-23

15-36

22-14

19-20

18-21

18-19

17-6

23-25

24-21

17-26

23-13

18-21

18-23

19-20

20-10

20-18

21-23

30-22

17-14

14-20

26-17

25-13

13-15

14-28

19-17

21-19

21-24

31-14

36-23

16-19

19-18

159.9Avg total

81.2Scored

78.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	80.5	83.0	163.4	-2.5	52%
Season at home (11)	81.6	79.3	160.9	+2.4	64%
Season away (10)	79.2	87.0	166.2	-7.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	81.2	78.7	159.9	+2.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	75.6	159.2	+8.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	80.9	87.1	168.0	-6.2	50%
vs Similar (11)	87.2	82.7	169.9	+4.5	64%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	83.0	80.3	163.3	+2.7	44%

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Diamond ValleyGeelong

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.8	45.7	-4.0	17%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.5	22.4	43.9	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.4	26.4	46.9	-6.0	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.6	43.5	-3.7	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.4	42.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	19.7	25.9	45.6	-6.2	5%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	24.5	46.4	-2.6	25%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.3	19.0	44.3	+6.3	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.0	41.2	-2.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.6	41.8	-1.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.4	40.5	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.0	40.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	21.3	37.9	-4.7	10%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.0	22.6	43.6	-1.6	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.0	21.9	41.9	-1.9	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.1	44.9	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	21.3	43.2	+0.5	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.7	24.3	46.1	-2.6	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.8	43.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	20.3	24.3	44.5	-4.0	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	23.0	22.0	45.0	+1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	28.0	19.0	47.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	21.4	44.0	+1.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	21.0	41.5	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.2	43.9	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	20.6	44.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	30%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	20.5	42.8	+1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	44%	-

Diamond ValleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

49-43

A26/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

37-44

-7

H01/06

NBL1 South

Knox

38-45

-7

A07/06

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

48-51

-3

H15/06

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

34-54

-20

H16/06

NBL1 South

Ringwood

#17

43-25

+18

H22/06

NBL1 South

NW Tasmania

#14

41-51

-10

A28/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

40-50

-10

A29/06

NBL1 South

Keilor Thunder

#10

30-60

-30

A05/07

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

47-40

A06/07

NBL1 South

87.0Avg total

40.7Scored

46.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	48.0	90.6	-5.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.3	43.8	87.1	-0.4	25%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.2	50.8	92.9	-8.6	28%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	46.3	87.0	-5.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	45.2	85.4	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	40.0	50.2	90.2	-10.2	11%	-
vs Similar (8)	44.9	46.5	91.4	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	53.3	38.0	91.3	+15.3	100%	-

This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NW Tasmania

#14

46-45

H25/05

NBL1 South

Mt Gambier

39-44

-5

A31/05

NBL1 South

Eltham

33-42

-9

A02/06

NBL1 South

Melbourne Tigers

#13

37-41

-4

H15/06

NBL1 South

Hobart Chargers

47-46

H22/06

NBL1 South

Nunawading

36-44

-8

A23/06

NBL1 South

Casey Cavaliers

#19

41-41

H28/06

NBL1 South

Dandenong

40-37

H06/07

NBL1 South

Knox

33-45

-12

A07/07

NBL1 South

Waverley

#12

67-37

+30

H12/07

NBL1 South

84.1Avg total

41.9Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	43.2	84.0	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.9	42.9	85.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	42.2	84.1	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	37.8	43.6	81.4	-5.8	20%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.4	43.1	86.5	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.2	42.8	84.0	-1.6	44%	-

This opponent (Diamond Valley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	24.0	45.4	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	25.2	45.8	-4.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.8	23.2	45.1	-1.4	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.4	46.3	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.8	47.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.7	24.2	45.9	-2.5	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	23.8	44.1	-3.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.3	23.7	45.0	-2.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.2	42.2	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	20.8	42.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.4	40.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	18.6	40.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.6	23.7	43.3	-4.1	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	21.5	21.6	43.1	-0.2	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	22.0	17.9	39.9	+4.1	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.9	44.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.8	21.6	44.4	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	22.2	22.2	44.3	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.3	23.8	49.1	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	22.8	48.2	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	22.7	22.7	45.5	+0.0	42%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.6	19.5	42.1	+3.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	23.3	43.3	-3.3	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	16.1	35.8	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	16.2	34.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.4	18.8	41.2	+3.6	60%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.4	18.0	40.4	+4.4	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	19.7	39.4	+0.1	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.8	46.0	89.7	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.4	46.8	90.2	-3.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (18)	44.0	45.4	89.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	47.2	95.4	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	48.6	95.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	44.5	46.9	91.4	-2.5	37%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.0	43.2	86.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	47.0	88.3	-5.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	40.0	82.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.0	37.7	80.7	+5.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.1	42.6	84.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.3	36.5	75.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	34.8	75.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	42.0	42.5	84.5	-0.5	40%	-
vs Similar (11)	43.8	39.6	83.5	+4.2	73%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.8	37.6	79.3	+4.2	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Diamond Valley wins

Geelong wins

Date	Game	Score
07/05/23	Diamond Valley v Geelong	82-93
19/06/22	Diamond Valley v Geelong	73-93
27/06/21	Diamond Valley v Geelong	78-116
19/05/19	Geelong v Diamond Valley	87-81

Diamond Valleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/07/24	A	Casey Cavaliers	106-91
05/07/24	A	Keilor Thunder	93-112
29/06/24	A	Hobart Chargers	76-99
28/06/24	A	NW Tasmania	78-93
22/06/24	H	Ringwood	82-74
16/06/24	H	Mt Gambier	81-96
15/06/24	H	Waverley	97-102
07/06/24	A	Knox	93-89
01/06/24	H	Eltham	87-80
26/05/24	A	Ballarat	96-99

Geelonglast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/07/24	H	Waverley	102-74
07/07/24	A	Knox	75-88
06/07/24	H	Dandenong	78-65
28/06/24	H	Casey Cavaliers	88-77
23/06/24	A	Nunawading	75-74
22/06/24	H	Hobart Chargers	87-85
15/06/24	H	Melbourne Tigers	72-66
02/06/24	A	Eltham	70-92
31/05/24	A	Mt Gambier	84-77
25/05/24	H	NW Tasmania	81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Diamond Valley

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	30%
Home	LWLLW	22%
Away	WLLLW	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	30%	22%	36%
Points / game	86.2	84.6	87.6
Allowed / game	95.2	93.8	96.5
Point differential	-9.0	-9.2	-8.8
Avg total	181.5	178.3	184.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	0%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	0% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geelong

NBL1 South 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	52%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	LWLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	52%	64%	40%
Points / game	80.5	81.6	79.2
Allowed / game	83.0	79.3	87.0
Point differential	-2.5	+2.4	-7.8
Avg total	163.4	160.9	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	27%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	86% (7)	100% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Mt Gambier	22	17	5	77%	90.5	80.4	+10.1
2	Ballarat	21	15	6	71%	91.6	85.4	+6.2
3	Sandringham Sabres	22	15	7	68%	92.9	80.8	+12.1
4	Frankston	22	15	7	68%	93.2	82.2	+11.0
5	Eltham	21	13	8	62%	89.6	81.9	+7.8
6	Knox	21	12	9	57%	93.7	82.4	+11.3
7	Dandenong	21	12	9	57%	83.9	83.3	+0.5
8	Keilor Thunder	21	12	9	57%	87.6	89.9	-2.3
9	Nunawading	22	12	10	55%	84.5	84.4	+0.1
10	Hobart Chargers	22	12	10	55%	81.7	82.5	-0.8
11	Geelong	21	11	10	52%	80.5	83.0	-2.5
12	Waverley	22	11	11	50%	90.2	89.0	+1.3
13	Melbourne Tigers	22	10	12	45%	76.6	81.6	-5.0
14	NW Tasmania	21	9	12	43%	82.6	88.9	-6.3
15	Bendigo Braves	22	7	15	32%	80.2	87.6	-7.4
16	Diamond Valley	20	6	14	30%	86.2	95.2	-9.0
17	Kilsyth	21	6	15	29%	77.7	86.2	-8.5
18	Ringwood	22	6	16	27%	83.7	91.5	-7.8
19	Casey Cavaliers	22	3	19	14%	78.8	90.0	-11.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Diamond Valley	21	15	13	23	72
Geelong	23	14	25	21	83

← all games of the day

Diamond Valley vs Geelong Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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