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Djurgarden vs Hogsbo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-91
28-30 18-19 23-22 24-20
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game85.2
Djurgarden 🏆
Sweden
vs
Hogsbo
Sweden
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game78.6
SwedenSuperettan· Brannkyrkahallen
Other2023-24
Meetings · Djurgarden v Hogsbo
18 Nov 2023
DJUR93
HOGS91
17 Feb 2019
DJUR111
HOGS97
14 Oct 2018
DJUR86
HOGS85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Djurgarden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hogsbo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DjurgardenSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDjurgarden
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
61avg 79
H30/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 79
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
W
92-75
92
75
+17
99avg 79
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
79-66
79
66
+13
72avg 79
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
93-111
93
111
-18
80avg 79
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 79
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 79
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
W
80-74
80
74
+6
72avg 79
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
86-108
86
108
-22
74avg 79
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
97-83
97
83
+14
88avg 79
A12/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-17
19-14
12-28
19-21
27-21
20-25
28-16
14-23
28-23
26-12
24-17
12-11
23-17
21-14
23-24
26-25
23-32
21-24
23-30
15-12
28-22
32-28
18-20
16-26
24-21
25-16
21-27
19-19
13-24
20-11
28-20
21-22
26-31
19-23
20-32
27-22
24-15
22-33
24-13
172.1Avg total
87.1Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)87.285.2172.4+2.158%
Season at home (6)86.876.5163.3+10.383%
Season away (6)87.793.8181.5-6.233%
Last 10 (10)87.185.0172.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)88.487.4175.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)83.899.1182.9-15.310%
vs Similar (9)88.183.7171.8+4.467%
vs Weaker (1)97.083.0180.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHogsbo
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
59avg 80
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
60avg 80
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
74-53
74
53
+21
63avg 80
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
95-88
95
88
+7
101avg 80
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
103-75
103
75
+28
105avg 80
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
91-80
91
80
+11
85avg 80
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
82-99
82
99
-17
no box
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
80-56
80
56
+24
72avg 80
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
108-86
108
86
+22
99avg 80
H11/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
19-28
27-21
21-23
22-18
29-23
11-20
14-20
19-27
17-18
23-27
14-17
11-13
18-15
19-11
26-14
23-25
31-21
19-22
22-20
30-16
23-17
21-18
29-24
32-17
26-20
14-31
19-12
22-14
16-26
21-31
23-28
21-10
18-19
18-10
23-17
22-21
31-26
23-19
32-20
167.3Avg total
87.6Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.978.6165.4+8.367%
Season at home (5)94.682.0176.6+12.680%
Season away (4)77.274.2151.5+3.050%
Last 10 (10)87.679.7167.3+7.970%
Last 5 (5)92.879.2172.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)85.080.0165.0+5.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.782.6174.3+9.175%
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.8+2.8
DjurgardenHogsbo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DjurgardenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helsingborg
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H30/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H04/10
Superettan
Sloga Uppsala
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A11/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#10
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H14/10
Superettan
KFUM Fryshuset
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A18/10
Superettan
Malbas
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H21/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A28/10
Superettan
Tureberg
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H05/11
Superettan
Hogsbo
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A11/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A12/11
Superettan
84.8Avg total
42.5Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.447.791.0-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.144.686.7-2.444%-
Last 30 away (14)44.851.296.0-6.414%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.384.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.885.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)44.150.995.0-6.820%-
vs Similar (9)40.941.782.6-0.844%-
vs Weaker (1)51.037.088.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Hogsbo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HogsboLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IK Eos
#10
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H10/04
Superettan
AIK Basket
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A30/09
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A01/10
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#7
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H13/10
Superettan
Norrort
#15
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H21/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#5
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H28/10
Superettan
Helsingborg
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A04/11
Superettan
RIG Mark
#16
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/11
Superettan
Djurgarden
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H11/11
Superettan
84.9Avg total
45.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.841.688.4+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.842.092.8+8.875%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.183.4+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)45.739.284.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)48.237.285.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.542.088.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.841.688.4+5.264%-
This opponent (Djurgarden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Djurgardentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Djurgarden: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.623.3
52.2%
50.1%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.8
32.2%
31.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
66.9%13.3
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hogsbotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hogsbo: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.3 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.3%
50.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.8
30.7%
31.3%23.3
🏀 Free throws19.213.8
71.7%
66.9%13.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Djurgarden
WLWLWLWWWL
Hogsbo
WWLWWWWLLW
#9
League position
#1
+2.2
Net rating
+13.2
105.0
Offensive rating
106.6
102.9
Defensive rating
93.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
51.5%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.2%
3-point %
30.7%
56.1%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 106.6Defence102.9 · 93.3Shooting50.8% · 51.5%3-point %32.2% · 30.7%Ball care18.4% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.2% · 26.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Djurgarden   ■ Hogsbo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Djurgarden wins
1
Hogsbo wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Hogsbo v Djurgarden108-86
17/02/19Djurgarden v Hogsbo111-97
08/12/18Hogsbo v Djurgarden67-97
14/10/18Djurgarden v Hogsbo86-85
Djurgardenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23ARIG Mark97-83
11/11/23AHogsbo86-108
05/11/23HTureberg80-74
28/10/23ATureberg86-90
21/10/23HMalbas93-82
18/10/23AKFUM Fryshuset93-111
14/10/23HOckelbo79-66
11/10/23ASloga Uppsala92-75
04/10/23HHuddinge94-83
30/09/23HHelsingborg71-78
Hogsbolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HDjurgarden108-86
08/11/23ARIG Mark80-56
04/11/23AHelsingborg82-99
28/10/23HHuddinge91-80
21/10/23HNorrort103-75
13/10/23HWetterbygden Stars95-88
01/10/23ANorrort74-53
30/09/23AHuddinge73-89
23/09/23HAIK Basket76-81
10/04/23HIK Eos94-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Djurgarden
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game87.286.887.7
Allowed / game85.276.593.8
Point differential+2.1+10.3-6.2
Avg total172.4163.3181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hogsbo
Superettan 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game86.994.677.2
Allowed / game78.682.074.2
Point differential+8.3+12.6+3.0
Avg total165.4176.6151.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket11110100%89.978.5+11.5
2 Tureberg75271%74.969.3+5.6
3 Hogsbo96367%86.978.6+8.3
4 Helsingborg117464%89.577.3+12.3
5 Wetterbygden Stars138562%83.274.9+8.3
6 Huddinge138562%80.875.4+5.4
7 KFUM Fryshuset138562%88.589.3-0.8
8 Djurgarden127558%87.285.2+2.1
9 IK Eos115645%79.880.1-0.3
10 Ockelbo125742%71.474.5-3.1
11 Sloga Uppsala104640%76.087.1-11.1
12 Malbas93633%73.277.0-3.8
13 RIG Mark124833%70.875.7-4.8
14 Norrort123925%71.977.8-5.8
15 Eskilstuna92722%73.187.1-14.0
16 KFUM Kalmar101910%69.081.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Djurgarden2818232493
Hogsbo3019222091
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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