Donar Groningen will host AEL on 11 November 2026 in the ENBL, with the model favouring the Dutch side and predicting a 66% chance of a home win. Donar's season record of 2-2 shows an average of 83.2 points scored and 82.8 allowed, while they are 9th in the league; at home they are undefeated 1-0, averaging 90.0 points and 71.0 allowed. Their last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 73-96 loss to Limburg at home, a 92-80 win over Alkar away, and a 96-83 win over Leiden away. AEL is undefeated 3-0 this season, posting 76.3 points scored and 62.0 allowed, and sits 3rd in the standings; on the road they are 1-0, averaging 79.0 points and 61.0 allowed. Their last five games are all wins, including a 82-74 victory over Anorthosis away, a 74-67 win over Tal Tech at home, and a 71-49 win over Morphou at home. Pythia projects an 83-78 score, with a total of 160.5 points, and gives Donar a 64% chance to cover the -1.5 line; the over on the 155.5 line has a 61% probability, and there is a 5% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on Donar's defensive consistency against AEL's balanced offence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 83.2 | 82.8 | 166.0 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 90.0 | 71.0 | 161.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Season away (3) | 81.0 | 86.7 | 167.7 | -5.7 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.1 | 86.8 | 168.9 | -4.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.2 | 88.8 | 177.0 | -0.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 79.0 | 90.0 | 169.0 | -11.0 | 31% |
| vs Similar (12) | 84.3 | 79.9 | 164.2 | +4.4 | 58% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 90.8 | 82.4 | 173.2 | +8.4 | 80% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 76.3 | 62.0 | 138.3 | +14.3 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 75.0 | 62.5 | 137.5 | +12.5 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 79.0 | 61.0 | 140.0 | +18.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.5 | 71.0 | 147.5 | +5.5 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 75.4 | 63.6 | 139.0 | +11.8 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 70.6 | 84.0 | 154.6 | -13.4 | 22% |
| vs Similar (10) | 84.9 | 79.9 | 164.8 | +5.0 | 80% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 81.5 | 68.3 | 149.7 | +13.2 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.7 | 40.8 | 83.6 | +1.9 | 53% | 73% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.0 | 39.3 | 81.3 | +2.7 | 62% | 75% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 43.6 | 42.6 | 86.1 | +1.0 | 43% | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.7 | 42.9 | 85.6 | -0.2 | 50% | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.0 | 45.4 | 90.4 | -0.4 | 60% | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 41.1 | 44.6 | 85.7 | -3.5 | 31% | 85% |
| vs Similar (12) | 41.9 | 36.8 | 78.7 | +5.2 | 67% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 49.0 | 40.8 | 89.8 | +8.2 | 80% | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.9 | 36.9 | 76.8 | +3.0 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 41.5 | 35.5 | 77.0 | +5.9 | 85% | 46% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 38.6 | 37.9 | 76.6 | +0.7 | 59% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 40.2 | 35.4 | 75.6 | +4.8 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.8 | 30.2 | 70.0 | +9.6 | 100% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (9) | 35.9 | 40.6 | 76.4 | -4.7 | 44% | 44% |
| vs Similar (10) | 42.2 | 38.7 | 80.9 | +3.5 | 70% | 70% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 41.0 | 32.3 | 73.3 | +8.7 | 91% | 36% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donar Groningen over 77 | 71.6% | 1.64 | 1.64 | - | - | - | - | +19.0pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +2 | 71.5% | 1.58 | 1.58 | - | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +3 | 74.5% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +13.9pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +2.5 | 72.5% | 1.48 | 1.54 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +13.5pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 76.5 | 72.5% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 75.5 | 75.7% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 74.5 | 78.6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +12.3pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen over 73.5 | 81.4% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +3.5 | 75.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Won |
| Donar Groningen +4.5 | 78.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| AEL under 84.5 | 74.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.1% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.8pp | - |
| AEL under 83.5 | 71.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +2.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.2 | 18.9 | 53.5% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 10.6 | 32.5% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 12.1 | 70.7% | 12.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.2 | 20.3 | 53.5% | 40.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 22.6 | 6.5 | 32.5% | 19.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.8 | 15.4 | 70.7% | 15.4 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Limburg | 73-96 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Alkar | 92-80 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Leiden | 96-83 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Voluntari | 90-71 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Okapi Aalst | 90-114 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Spirou Charleroi | 63-90 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Leuven Bears | 81-78 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Kortrijk | 85-76 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Tal Tech | 70-83 |
| 24/09/26 | A | Anwil Wloclawek | 81-97 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | A | Anorthosis | 82-74 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Tal Tech | 74-67 |
| 30/10/26 | H | Morphou | 71-49 |
| 26/10/26 | A | ETHA Engomi | 74-70 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Fyllingen | 76-58 |
| 17/10/26 | H | Paralimni | 89-77 |
| 12/10/26 | A | Apoel BC | 73-80 |
| 06/10/26 | A | Spartak Pleven | 79-61 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Keravnos | 60-92 |
| 29/04/26 | H | Keravnos | 87-82 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWW | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLW | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Points / game | 83.2 | 90.0 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 82.8 | 71.0 | 86.7 |
| Point differential | +0.5 | +19.0 | -5.7 |
| Avg total | 166.0 | 161.0 | 167.7 |
| Over 155.75 | 75% | 100% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 76.3 | 75.0 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 62.0 | 62.5 | 61.0 |
| Point differential | +14.3 | +12.5 | +18.0 |
| Avg total | 138.3 | 137.5 | 140.0 |
| Over 155.75 | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 100.5 | 79.2 | +21.2 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 69.3 | +15.3 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 76.3 | 62.0 | +14.3 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 77.2 | 72.2 | +5.0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 86.0 | 85.8 | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 96.3 | 87.0 | +9.3 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 89.0 | 82.0 | +7.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 75.5 | 72.0 | +3.5 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 83.2 | 82.8 | +0.5 | |
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 91.5 | -8.5 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 78.8 | -0.6 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.0 | -3.0 | |
| 13 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 84.7 | 90.7 | -6.0 | |
| 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 79.0 | 87.7 | -8.7 | |
| 15 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 89.8 | -13.5 | |
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 74.8 | 85.4 | -10.6 | |
| 17 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 77.5 | 82.0 | -4.5 | |
| 18 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 75.0 | 90.0 | -15.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 28 | 14 | 19 | 83 | |
| 16 | 27 | 21 | 17 | 81 |
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