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Donar Groningen vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-73
21-14 14-19 16-23 20-17
Position#14
Record3-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Position#5
Record7-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game77.9
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 70
A17/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#1
L
83-89
83
89
-6
72avg 70
H23/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
68-95
68
95
-27
69avg 70
A26/10
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#4
L
63-67
63
67
-4
55avg 70
A05/11
ENBL
QSTA Utd
#19
W
76-72
76
72
+4
70avg 70
H13/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
68-80
68
80
-12
60avg 70
A17/11
BNXT League
Spisski Rytieri
#18
W
88-68
88
68
+20
87avg 70
H27/11
ENBL
LWD Basket
#10
L
71-72
71
72
-1
60avg 70
H29/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
80-88
80
88
-8
74avg 70
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
no box
A03/12
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
21-12
10-25
14-17
26-16
17-32
18-23
22-18
17-24
16-16
12-31
23-24
12-20
16-19
14-11
21-17
22-17
19-20
16-17
19-18
11-21
22-17
16-21
19-21
28-20
18-22
25-14
17-12
21-13
20-21
16-17
14-21
23-20
16-23
16-25
25-20
22-13
28-20
27-17
22-28
155.2Avg total
76.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)74.281.5155.6-7.327%
Season at home (5)73.679.4153.0-5.840%
Season away (6)74.783.2157.8-8.517%
Last 10 (10)76.478.8155.2-2.430%
Last 5 (5)81.277.2158.4+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.786.7162.3-11.013%
vs Similar (7)82.385.6167.9-3.329%
vs Weaker (7)77.469.9147.3+7.671%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 74
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 74
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 74
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 74
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 74
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 74
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 74
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 74
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 74
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
89-95
89
95
-6
90avg 74
A29/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
23-27
19-12
15-17
21-20
17-20
14-23
26-15
23-21
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
17-33
23-23
30-17
19-22
155.4Avg total
77.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.577.9155.4-0.458%
Season at home (6)71.773.2144.8-1.567%
Season away (6)83.382.7166.0+0.750%
Last 10 (10)77.777.7155.4+0.060%
Last 5 (5)75.680.0155.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.083.7163.7-3.733%
vs Similar (15)78.877.9156.7+0.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.676.2156.8+4.458%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
Donar GroningenCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Den Helder
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/10
BNXT League
Voluntari
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/10
ENBL
Oostende
#2
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/10
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#4
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A05/11
ENBL
QSTA Utd
#19
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/11
BNXT League
Spisski Rytieri
#18
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H27/11
ENBL
LWD Basket
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H29/11
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A01/12
BNXT League
Quick Lions
#12
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A03/12
DBL Cup
78.9Avg total
39.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.780.9-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.040.182.1+1.962%-
Last 30 away (17)37.142.980.0-5.924%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.178.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.079.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.842.579.3-5.720%-
vs Similar (7)41.746.488.1-4.729%-
vs Weaker (7)40.336.476.7+3.986%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A29/11
BNXT League
78.1Avg total
38.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.780.6+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.538.979.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (16)41.340.481.7+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.040.178.1-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.642.676.2-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.382.3-6.333%-
vs Similar (15)40.939.980.8+1.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.738.279.9+3.442%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 72.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.9
52.6%
52.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.3
27.8%
34.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws17.812.2
68.5%
71.9%12.2
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.0
56.7%
52.6%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.66.7
34.2%
34.1%20.1
🏀 Free throws18.712.6
67.4%
71.9%12.6
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
WLLWLWLLLL
Circus Brussels
LWLLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#5
-4.8
Net rating
-0.3
99.2
Offensive rating
106.4
103.9
Defensive rating
106.7
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
22.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.8%
3-point %
34.2%
56.6%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 106.4Defence103.9 · 106.7Shooting48.6% · 54.9%3-point %27.8% · 34.2%Ball care22.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds35.2% · 28.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AQuick Lions99-78
01/12/24AFeyenoord80-88
29/11/24HLWD Basket71-72
27/11/24HSpisski Rytieri88-68
17/11/24ASpirou Charleroi68-80
13/11/24HQSTA Utd76-72
05/11/24ANewcastle Eagles63-67
26/10/24AOostende68-95
23/10/24HVoluntari83-89
17/10/24ADen Helder68-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ALimburg89-95
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
20/10/24AKortrijk80-79
18/10/24HLeuven Bears78-76
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL27%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game74.273.674.7
Allowed / game81.579.483.2
Point differential-7.3-5.8-8.5
Avg total155.6153.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL58%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game77.571.783.3
Allowed / game77.973.282.7
Point differential-0.4-1.5+0.7
Avg total155.4144.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende1311285%89.676.7+12.9
2 Kortrijk1310377%97.881.1+16.8
3 Limburg129375%81.373.2+8.2
4 Mechelen138562%80.376.9+3.4
5 LWD Basket138562%83.481.9+1.5
6 Antwerp Giants127558%80.078.2+1.8
7 Circus Brussels127558%77.577.9-0.4
8 Spirou Charleroi137654%81.074.6+6.4
9 Belfius Mons137654%79.879.1+0.8
10 Leiden147750%77.481.4-4.0
11 Leuven Bears136746%76.573.0+3.5
12 Okapi Aalst136746%80.978.3+2.6
13 Zwolle136746%83.686.6-3.0
14 Den Bosch125742%80.884.8-4.0
15 Feyenoord125742%81.188.1-7.0
16 Den Helder145936%73.482.7-9.3
17 Donar Groningen113827%74.281.5-7.3
18 QSTA Utd1321115%77.686.2-8.6
19 BAL Weert1321115%72.286.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen2114162071
Circus Brussels1419231773
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