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Limburg vs Circus Brussels Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 95-89
33-17 23-23 17-30 22-19
Position#4
Record7-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.3
Limburg 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record7-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.4
EuropeBNXT League· Sporthal Alverberg
Other2024-25
Meetings · Limburg v Circus Brussels
29 Nov 2024
LIMB95
CIRC89
09 Feb 2024
LIMB80
CIRC67
12 Jan 2023
LIMB102
CIRC81
22 Oct 2021
LIMB72
CIRC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Limburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Circus Brussels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LimburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLimburg
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
63avg 71
H18/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
68-85
68
85
-17
55avg 71
A20/10
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
L
61-80
61
80
-19
54avg 71
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kortrijk
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 71
A25/10
BNXT League
PAOK
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 71
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#8
W
92-61
92
61
+31
89avg 71
H02/11
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
W
77-74
77
74
+3
81avg 71
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
85-73
85
73
+12
89avg 71
H08/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
72avg 71
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
58avg 71
A16/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
22-18
23-20
14-15
7-18
24-30
18-14
19-23
11-12
16-23
19-20
15-25
14-26
26-27
18-16
26-23
15-23
18-28
22-19
21-24
24-9
26-18
25-13
17-21
14-22
24-17
20-17
19-18
24-21
22-16
22-13
17-23
16-15
25-16
20-24
15-28
13-22
20-29
24-10
15-23
155.5Avg total
76.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.171.3151.4+8.870%
Season at home (5)81.661.6143.2+20.0100%
Season away (5)78.681.0159.6-2.440%
Last 10 (10)76.479.1155.5-2.740%
Last 5 (5)80.475.0155.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)71.781.5153.2-9.718%
vs Similar ◀ (10)78.173.1151.2+5.060%
vs Weaker (9)84.772.3157.0+12.3100%
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrussels
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
67avg 73
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
67-65
67
65
+2
60avg 73
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
78avg 73
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
93-73
93
73
+20
91avg 73
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
77avg 73
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 73
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 73
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
66-82
66
82
-16
50avg 73
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 73
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 73
H17/11
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
12-18
14-23
27-17
19-14
20-21
13-13
15-17
26-22
24-23
16-17
15-22
18-14
32-12
22-24
21-23
23-27
19-12
15-17
21-20
17-20
14-23
26-15
23-21
19-14
9-14
25-8
20-25
9-26
23-20
24-14
10-22
15-21
19-24
21-20
21-24
18-17
16-21
25-19
15-16
152.4Avg total
76.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.576.4152.8+0.164%
Season at home (6)71.773.2144.8-1.567%
Season away (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 10 (10)76.076.4152.4-0.460%
Last 5 (5)73.876.8150.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.083.7163.7-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.176.3153.3+0.860%
vs Weaker (12)80.676.2156.8+4.458%
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -1.9-1.9
LimburgCircus Brussels
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LimburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BAL Weert
#18
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A20/10
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kortrijk
#1
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A25/10
BNXT League
PAOK
#9
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Den Bosch
#8
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H02/11
BNXT League
Szolnoki Olaj
#38
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Zwolle
#15
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H08/11
BNXT League
FC Porto
#7
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Oostende
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A16/11
BNXT League
77.7Avg total
37.5Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.933.973.9+6.069%-
Last 30 away (14)36.943.780.6-6.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.277.7-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.078.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.140.476.5-4.336%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.038.076.0+0.040%-
vs Weaker (9)42.136.878.9+5.378%-
This opponent (Circus Brussels) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Circus BrusselsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/09
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H25/09
BNXT League
Zwolle
#15
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A29/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
50-26
50
26
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H18/10
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A20/10
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#17
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H27/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#10
L
32-46
32
46
-14
H03/11
BNXT League
Antwerp Giants
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A11/11
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H17/11
BNXT League
75.8Avg total
37.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.879.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.278.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (15)41.439.380.7+2.140%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.775.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.071.8-8.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.044.382.3-6.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.438.178.5+2.353%-
vs Weaker (12)41.738.279.9+3.442%-
This opponent (Limburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Limburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Limburg: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.7
51.7%
52.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.36.1
31.6%
34.1%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
71.9%17.7
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Circus Brusselstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Circus Brussels: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.7
56.4%
52.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.26.6
32.7%
34.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
71.9%12.0
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Limburg
LLWWWLLLLW
Circus Brussels
WLLWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#5
-4.0
Net rating
-0.3
104.9
Offensive rating
105.1
108.9
Defensive rating
105.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.6%
3-point %
32.7%
59.3%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 105.1Defence108.9 · 105.4Shooting50.3% · 53.8%3-point %31.6% · 32.7%Ball care18.7% · 19.5%Off. rebounds30.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Limburg   ■ Circus Brussels
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Limburg wins
0
Circus Brussels wins
Limburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/24AOostende72-84
12/11/24HFC Porto76-83
08/11/24HZwolle85-73
05/11/24HSzolnoki Olaj77-74
02/11/24HDen Bosch92-61
30/10/24APAOK76-94
25/10/24AKortrijk84-92
23/10/24AFC Porto61-80
20/10/24ALeuven Bears68-85
18/10/24HBAL Weert73-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HDen Bosch74-73
11/11/24AAntwerp Giants76-89
03/11/24HLWD Basket66-82
27/10/24HFeyenoord73-61
20/10/24AKortrijk80-79
18/10/24HLeuven Bears78-76
12/10/24ADen Helder93-73
29/09/24AZwolle81-84
25/09/24HAntwerp Giants67-65
18/09/24HOostende72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Limburg
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game80.181.678.6
Allowed / game71.361.681.0
Point differential+8.8+20.0-2.4
Avg total151.4143.2159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Circus Brussels
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game76.571.782.2
Allowed / game76.473.280.2
Point differential+0.1-1.5+2.0
Avg total152.8144.8162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oostende119282%89.176.1+13.0
2 Kortrijk108280%94.580.0+14.5
3 LWD Basket118373%82.579.0+3.5
4 Limburg107370%80.171.3+8.8
5 Circus Brussels117464%76.576.4+0.1
6 Antwerp Giants106460%80.576.4+4.1
7 Belfius Mons116555%81.079.7+1.3
8 Mechelen116555%79.678.7+0.9
9 Zwolle116555%83.185.4-2.3
10 Spirou Charleroi105550%79.173.7+5.4
11 Leiden126650%76.780.6-3.9
12 Leuven Bears115645%78.473.6+4.7
13 Okapi Aalst115645%81.578.5+2.9
14 Feyenoord104640%79.083.8-4.8
15 Den Helder124833%71.282.1-10.9
16 Den Bosch103730%79.085.6-6.6
17 Donar Groningen103730%73.680.8-7.2
18 QSTA Utd112918%78.887.0-8.2
19 BAL Weert112918%73.986.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Limburg3323172295
Circus Brussels1723301989
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