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Donar Groningen vs Liege Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-75
21-17 15-14 22-19 23-25
Position#13
Record8-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#6
Record12-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.3
EuropeBNXT League· MartiniPlaza
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donar Groningen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liege winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
Kimbria
#10
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/12
DBL Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
57-52
57
52
+5
48avg 64
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
75-51
75
51
+24
75avg 64
H09/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
no box
H14/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
64-59
64
59
+5
56avg 64
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 64
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
59-72
59
72
-13
48avg 64
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
68-92
68
92
-24
71avg 64
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
62-70
62
70
-8
48avg 64
H17/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
12-17
25-16
22-15
19-17
9-8
12-21
17-6
18-10
14-14
22-11
21-16
16-16
10-11
19-13
16-14
18-14
13-18
14-20
17-20
23-20
16-12
11-5
14-22
21-20
22-15
21-15
23-13
11-14
16-22
15-14
17-22
22-20
9-29
21-24
16-19
9-17
13-16
19-15
21-22
133.1Avg total
68.2Scored
64.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)70.867.9138.7+2.950%
Season at home (8)67.963.8131.6+4.150%
Season away (8)73.872.0145.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)68.264.9133.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)68.071.2139.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.074.7143.7-5.733%
vs Similar (13)68.874.5143.4-5.731%
vs Weaker (13)72.062.9134.9+9.169%
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLiege
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
W
81-62
81
62
+19
75avg 75
H05/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 75
H10/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
71avg 75
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
92-100
92
100
-8
92avg 75
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
L
83-92
83
92
-9
79avg 75
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 75
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
74-97
74
97
-23
63avg 75
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 75
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 75
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
79avg 75
H17/02
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
11-23
21-13
25-10
13-14
23-19
18-26
23-16
26-23
20-26
27-18
13-27
19-23
21-22
24-35
28-20
20-23
17-14
18-28
28-27
21-30
25-13
32-18
16-22
21-28
21-27
18-18
14-24
27-15
27-22
13-16
19-27
19-24
19-22
19-21
19-27
15-14
26-21
19-20
24-19
168.4Avg total
83.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.678.3156.9+0.260%
Season at home (10)78.978.0156.9+0.960%
Season away (10)78.378.7157.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)83.385.1168.4-1.850%
Last 5 (5)82.885.6168.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.687.6165.1-10.029%
vs Similar (17)78.580.3158.8-1.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)92.373.8166.2+18.5100%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.0-1.0
Donar GroningenLiege
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kimbria
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/12
DBL Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H09/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
Zwolle
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A28/01
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A10/02
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
L
22-33
22
33
-11
H17/02
BNXT League
64.5Avg total
31.9Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.935.270.1-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.834.668.4-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)36.035.971.9+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)31.932.664.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.069.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.740.375.0-5.733%-
vs Similar (13)33.337.470.7-4.131%-
vs Weaker (13)36.232.168.2+4.162%-
This opponent (Liege) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LiegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Okapi Aalst
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H05/01
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/01
BNXT League
Circus Brussels
#9
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A12/01
BNXT League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A23/01
ENBL
Spirou Charleroi
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/01
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A02/02
BNXT League
Siauliai
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H06/02
ENBL
Antwerp Giants
#3
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H09/02
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/02
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H17/02
BNXT League
83.4Avg total
41.5Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.740.280.9+0.538%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.238.579.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (15)40.241.882.0-1.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.983.4-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)44.243.287.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.442.683.0-2.129%-
vs Similar (16)38.439.978.2-1.531%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.238.385.5+8.867%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.5
53.2%
52.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.3
29.6%
33.1%18.9
🏀 Free throws14.99.7
65.1%
71.4%9.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liegetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liege: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.0
51.0%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
33.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.017.5
70.0%
71.4%17.5
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donar Groningen
LLLWWLWWWW
Liege
WLWLWLLLWW
#13
League position
#6
+1.0
Net rating
-2.2
98.5
Offensive rating
107.0
97.5
Defensive rating
109.2
50.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
23.2%
Turnover %
20.2%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.6%
3-point %
33.7%
56.3%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 107.0Defence97.5 · 109.2Shooting50.1% · 50.9%3-point %29.6% · 33.7%Ball care23.2% · 20.2%Off. rebounds34.8% · 34.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Donar Groningen   ■ Liege
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donar Groningen wins
0
Liege wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HFeyenoord62-70
10/02/24ADen Bosch68-92
28/01/24AZwolle59-72
06/01/24AQSTA Utd87-63
23/12/23ABAL Weert64-59
17/12/23AZwolle62-72
14/12/23HZwolle61-54
09/12/23HDen Helder75-51
06/12/23HLWD Basket57-52
03/12/23AKimbria87-64
Liegelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HMechelen84-74
14/02/24AOostende76-94
09/02/24HAntwerp Giants86-80
06/02/24HSiauliai74-97
02/02/24AKortrijk94-83
26/01/24HSpirou Charleroi83-92
23/01/24ANewcastle Eagles92-100
12/01/24ACircus Brussels86-94
10/01/24HLeuven Bears77-75
05/01/24HOkapi Aalst81-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.867.973.8
Allowed / game67.963.872.0
Point differential+2.9+4.1+1.8
Avg total138.7131.6145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Liege
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game78.678.978.3
Allowed / game78.378.078.7
Point differential+0.2+0.9-0.4
Avg total156.9156.9157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1716194%82.468.2+14.2
2 Oostende2119290%80.870.9+10.0
3 Leiden1713476%77.969.2+8.8
4 Antwerp Giants2116576%82.472.3+10.1
5 Limburg2115671%77.471.6+5.8
6 Zwolle1711665%76.567.8+8.7
7 Liege2012860%78.678.3+0.2
8 Spirou Charleroi21111052%72.375.0-2.6
9 Donar Groningen168850%70.867.9+2.9
10 Circus Brussels20101050%78.176.8+1.4
11 BAL Weert178947%70.973.2-2.4
12 Mechelen2191243%75.076.1-1.0
13 Kortrijk2181338%77.481.2-3.8
14 Feyenoord1661038%72.780.3-7.6
15 Den Helder1751229%66.878.4-11.5
16 Belfius Mons2161529%75.582.1-6.6
17 Leuven Bears2051525%74.279.5-5.3
18 LWD Basket1741324%76.683.6-7.0
19 QSTA Utd1741324%73.280.6-7.5
20 Okapi Aalst2031715%75.883.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donar Groningen2115222381
Liege1714192575
← all games of the day
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