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Zwolle vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 72-59
14-11 22-16 14-15 22-17
Position#12
Record8-4
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game68.1
Zwolle 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record8-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game65.5
EuropeBNXT League· Landstede Sportcentrum (Zwolle)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Zwolle v Donar Groningen
14 Mar 2027
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
19 Apr 2026
ZWO67
DGR78
22 Dec 2024
ZWO65
DGR83
28 Jan 2024
ZWO72
DGR59
17 Dec 2023
ZWO72
DGR62
16 Oct 2022
ZWO63
DGR68
16 Jan 2022
ZWO73
DGR85
31 Oct 2021
ZWO63
DGR75
05 Apr 2021
ZWO72
DGR91
18 Oct 2020
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
12 Jan 2020
ZWO69
DGR98
13 Oct 2019
ZWO77
DGR70
26 May 2019
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
21 May 2019
ZWO v DGR
upcoming
06 Apr 2019
ZWO101
DGR96
21 Oct 2018
ZWO88
DGR81
15 Feb 2018
ZWO55
DGR86
21 Jan 2018
ZWO60
DGR75
21 May 2017
ZWO48
DGR76
16 May 2017
ZWO51
DGR96
21 Jan 2017
ZWO61
DGR68
06 Nov 2016
ZWO76
DGR74
26 May 2016
ZWO69
DGR86
22 May 2016
ZWO74
DGR68
17 May 2016
ZWO70
DGR85
24 Mar 2016
ZWO69
DGR67
06 Dec 2015
ZWO82
DGR77
22 Mar 2015
ZWO81
DGR83
30 Nov 2014
ZWO73
DGR84
09 Apr 2014
ZWO55
DGR72
05 Jan 2014
ZWO72
DGR66
01 Apr 2013
ZWO66
DGR74
13 Jan 2013
ZWO89
DGR86
24 Apr 2012
ZWO63
DGR78
11 Jan 2012
ZWO68
DGR77
09 Nov 2011
ZWO64
DGR74
06 Apr 2011
ZWO87
DGR100
11 Dec 2010
ZWO60
DGR80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Donar Groningen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Lokomotief
#11
W
89-65
89
65
+24
no box
A01/12
DBL Cup
Bristol Flyers
#10
L
56-68
56
68
-12
52avg 71
A05/12
ENBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
59-67
59
67
-8
56avg 71
A09/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
L
54-61
54
61
-7
no box
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
W
88-73
88
73
+15
82avg 71
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
56-84
56
84
-28
39avg 71
A10/01
ENBL
Leiden
#5
L
71-76
71
76
-5
62avg 71
H14/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
W
80-64
80
64
+16
no box
A20/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H23/01
DBL Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
24-7
21-20
21-24
16-10
13-19
16-21
11-18
19-14
14-21
19-16
7-16
16-16
11-10
13-19
14-16
14-18
18-13
20-14
20-17
26-25
20-24
31-12
11-12
21-24
11-23
11-22
13-15
15-22
14-10
23-22
19-22
24-20
13-17
27-14
16-13
16-18
14-23
20-29
26-12
140.3Avg total
70.1Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.068.1146.1+9.967%
Season at home (6)76.867.7144.5+9.267%
Season away (6)79.268.5147.7+10.767%
Last 10 (10)70.170.2140.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)74.275.8150.0-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)70.984.5155.5-13.618%
vs Similar ◀ (9)74.773.1147.8+1.644%
vs Weaker (8)84.066.8150.8+17.2100%
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGroningen
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
80avg 65
A04/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
77-85
77
85
-8
71avg 65
A19/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
64avg 65
H28/11
BNXT League
Kimbria
#10
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
A03/12
DBL Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
57-52
57
52
+5
48avg 65
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
75-51
75
51
+24
75avg 65
H09/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
W
61-54
61
54
+7
no box
H14/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#7
L
62-72
62
72
-10
no box
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
64-59
64
59
+5
56avg 65
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
87-63
87
63
+24
88avg 65
A06/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
22-27
19-17
13-14
18-25
23-18
17-23
19-19
16-28
16-16
21-13
17-15
28-16
12-17
25-16
22-15
19-17
9-8
12-21
17-6
18-10
14-14
22-11
21-16
16-16
10-11
19-13
16-14
18-14
13-18
14-20
17-20
23-20
16-12
11-5
14-22
21-20
22-15
21-15
23-13
137.6Avg total
72.3Scored
65.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.665.5138.2+7.162%
Season at home (7)68.762.9131.6+5.957%
Season away (6)77.268.7145.8+8.567%
Last 10 (10)72.365.3137.6+7.070%
Last 5 (5)69.859.8129.6+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.566.0135.5+3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (12)69.774.8144.4-5.133%
vs Weaker (15)72.662.9135.5+9.773%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
ZwolleDonar Groningen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotief
#11
W
47-21
47
21
+26
A01/12
DBL Cup
Bristol Flyers
#10
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/12
ENBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A09/12
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#4
W
27-26
27
26
+1
A14/12
DBL Cup
Donar Groningen
#4
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H17/12
DBL Cup
QSTA Utd
#19
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H23/12
BNXT League
Juventus
#2
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A10/01
ENBL
Leiden
#5
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H14/01
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A20/01
DBL Cup
Feyenoord
#6
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H23/01
DBL Cup
69.0Avg total
34.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.775.2-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.240.078.2-1.836%-
Last 30 away (16)36.835.872.6+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.869.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.841.276.0-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.642.177.7-6.59%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.235.872.0+0.456%-
vs Weaker (8)41.136.877.9+4.462%-
This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LWD Basket
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A04/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A19/11
BNXT League
Leiden
#5
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H28/11
BNXT League
Kimbria
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A03/12
DBL Cup
LWD Basket
#17
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H06/12
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H09/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#7
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H14/12
DBL Cup
Zwolle
#7
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A17/12
DBL Cup
BAL Weert
#15
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/12
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A06/01
BNXT League
68.4Avg total
35.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.135.171.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.534.769.3-0.253%-
Last 30 away (15)37.735.573.1+2.247%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.468.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.230.064.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.536.072.5+0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)33.837.571.3-3.733%-
vs Weaker (15)37.633.270.8+4.460%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.819.6
54.7%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
33.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
71.4%12.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.2 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.8
54.7%
52.2%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.16.2
30.8%
33.1%18.6
🏀 Free throws15.310.1
66.0%
71.4%10.1
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LWLLWWLLLW
Donar Groningen
WWLWWWWLLW
#12
League position
#13
+1.3
Net rating
+15.9
104.4
Offensive rating
105.6
103.1
Defensive rating
89.7
49.8%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
16.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
35.9%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.8%
3-point %
30.8%
66.9%
Assist %
57.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 105.6Defence103.1 · 89.7Shooting49.8% · 51.9%3-point %28.8% · 30.8%Ball care16.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds28.7% · 35.9%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Zwolle   ■ Donar Groningen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zwolle wins
6
Donar Groningen wins
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HFeyenoord76-82
20/01/24AFeyenoord80-64
14/01/24HLeiden71-76
10/01/24AJuventus56-84
23/12/23HQSTA Utd88-73
17/12/23HDonar Groningen72-62
14/12/23ADonar Groningen54-61
09/12/23ADen Bosch59-67
05/12/23ABristol Flyers56-68
01/12/23ALokomotief89-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AQSTA Utd87-63
23/12/23ABAL Weert64-59
17/12/23AZwolle62-72
14/12/23HZwolle61-54
09/12/23HDen Helder75-51
06/12/23HLWD Basket57-52
03/12/23AKimbria87-64
28/11/23HLeiden70-72
19/11/23ALeiden77-85
04/11/23ALWD Basket83-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game78.076.879.2
Allowed / game68.167.768.5
Point differential+9.9+9.2+10.7
Avg total146.1144.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Donar Groningen
BNXT League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%57%67%
Points / game72.668.777.2
Allowed / game65.562.968.7
Point differential+7.1+5.9+8.5
Avg total138.2131.6145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Den Bosch1312192%80.066.1+13.9
2 Oostende1513287%77.570.4+7.1
3 Antwerp Giants1613381%82.671.9+10.7
4 Leiden1411379%77.669.3+8.4
5 Limburg1612475%78.270.4+7.8
6 Zwolle128467%78.068.1+9.9
7 Donar Groningen138562%72.665.5+7.1
8 Liege169756%77.077.2-0.2
9 Circus Brussels179853%78.376.2+2.1
10 Kortrijk168850%79.579.9-0.4
11 Mechelen178947%74.975.4-0.5
12 Spirou Charleroi178947%72.274.9-2.8
13 BAL Weert136746%70.671.7-1.1
14 Feyenoord135838%74.181.4-7.3
15 Belfius Mons1851328%73.380.8-7.5
16 Leuven Bears1641225%74.478.7-4.3
17 QSTA Utd1331023%71.882.7-10.8
18 Den Helder1331023%65.678.4-12.8
19 LWD Basket1221017%72.079.8-7.8
20 Okapi Aalst161156%75.285.6-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle1422142272
Donar Groningen1116151759
← all games of the day
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