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Donza W vs Mechelen W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 59-93
18-20 13-29 12-21 16-23
Position#5
Record12-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game69.8
Donza W
Belgium
vs
Mechelen W 🏆
Belgium
Position#1
Record18-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game54.3
BelgiumTop Division Women· Gemeentelijke Sporthal Laarne
Women2025-26
Meetings · Donza W v Mechelen W
23 Jan 2027
DONZ v MECH
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
DONZ59
MECH98
28 Feb 2026
DONZ59
MECH93
02 Nov 2024
DONZ69
MECH101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donza W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
65-57
65
57
+8
47avg 62
A29/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
L
79-90
79
90
-11
58avg 62
H13/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
48-80
48
80
-32
34avg 62
H20/12
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
68-53
68
53
+15
60avg 62
H10/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
70-63
70
63
+7
no box
A17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 62
H24/01
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
67avg 62
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
90-55
90
55
+35
80avg 62
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 62
H14/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
88-55
88
55
+33
89avg 62
A21/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
17-17
20-18
11-6
21-16
20-21
17-23
21-30
16-26
17-23
6-20
9-11
15-13
19-14
16-17
18-9
19-15
17-15
19-13
15-20
10-25
14-19
13-25
17-13
19-13
22-15
18-18
20-23
23-16
24-11
19-16
24-12
17-26
17-12
22-22
18-12
16-17
26-10
24-12
22-16
139.1Avg total
71.5Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.969.8144.7+5.167%
Season at home (9)73.169.1142.2+4.067%
Season away (9)76.770.6147.2+6.167%
Last 10 (10)71.567.6139.1+3.970%
Last 5 (5)77.066.6143.6+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)66.089.4155.4-23.48%
vs Similar (6)77.272.3149.5+4.867%
vs Weaker (11)80.556.3136.7+24.2100%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Waregem W
#8
W
89-55
89
55
+34
89avg 80
H21/12
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
100-54
100
54
+46
95avg 80
H11/01
Top Division Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H15/01
EuroCup Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
101-50
101
50
+51
no box
A17/01
Top Division Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
W
59-57
59
57
+2
59avg 80
A22/01
EuroCup Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
80-57
80
57
+23
75avg 80
H25/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
119-52
119
52
+67
125avg 80
A31/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
79-58
79
58
+21
70avg 80
H08/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
83-53
83
53
+30
76avg 80
A14/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 80
A21/02
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-11
19-12
23-13
37-13
23-10
23-14
17-17
22-18
8-18
20-17
16-27
23-10
29-14
23-16
26-10
13-17
7-13
21-13
18-14
15-20
19-16
29-7
17-14
36-16
26-7
26-11
31-18
24-17
17-15
18-11
20-15
15-12
20-12
27-14
21-15
22-18
19-14
18-20
21-23
144.7Avg total
85.6Scored
59.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.454.3141.8+33.1100%
Season at home (9)88.951.7140.6+37.2100%
Season away (9)86.057.0143.0+29.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.659.1144.7+26.590%
Last 5 (5)88.259.0147.2+29.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.568.5131.0-6.050%
vs Similar (4)74.076.8150.8-2.825%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.957.1143.0+28.8100%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +7.0+7.0Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +6.2+6.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +8.9+8.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.4+4.4
Donza WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jeugd Gentson W
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A29/11
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H13/12
Top Division Women
Braine W
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H20/12
Top Division Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H10/01
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#8
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A17/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H24/01
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A31/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H08/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H14/02
Top Division Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A21/02
Top Division Women
70.6Avg total
36.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.836.473.2+0.452%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.134.772.9+3.457%-
Last 30 away (15)35.538.073.5-2.547%-
Last 10 (10)36.634.070.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)37.632.870.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)32.746.579.2-13.80%-
vs Similar (5)39.431.470.8+8.080%-
vs Weaker (11)40.526.767.2+13.7100%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waregem W
#8
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H21/12
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#6
W
60-23
60
23
+37
H11/01
Top Division Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/01
EuroCup Women
Charleroi W
#11
W
52-24
52
24
+28
A17/01
Top Division Women
Lattes Montpellier W
#13
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A22/01
EuroCup Women
Spirou Basket W
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
Top Division Women
Lummen W
#12
W
62-23
62
23
+39
A31/01
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/02
Top Division Women
Liege W
#7
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A14/02
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/02
Top Division Women
71.2Avg total
42.2Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.230.170.2+10.180%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.729.773.4+14.086%-
Last 30 away (16)37.130.467.4+6.775%-
Last 10 (10)42.229.071.2+13.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.629.472.0+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)25.033.058.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (4)34.035.269.2-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.529.071.4+13.592%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 72.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.8
50.1%
46.2%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.95.7
26.0%
28.7%17.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.0
69.4%
68.5%12.0
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.8 points a game
57%
25%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.7
54.4%
46.2%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.1
31.3%
28.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.8
77.1%
68.5%15.8
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donza W
WWWWLWWLLW
Mechelen W
WWWWWWWLWW
#5
League position
#1
+6.3
Net rating
+39.8
88.5
Offensive rating
101.5
82.2
Defensive rating
61.8
46.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
41.3%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
37.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.0%
3-point %
31.3%
47.6%
Assist %
61.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 101.5Defence82.2 · 61.8Shooting46.4% · 51.8%3-point %26.0% · 31.3%Ball care16.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds23.5% · 37.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Donza W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donza W wins
2
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
05/01/25Mechelen W v Donza W99-52
02/11/24Donza W v Mechelen W69-101
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ACharleroi W88-55
14/02/26HKortrijk W74-72
08/02/26HLummen W90-55
31/01/26ALiege W79-69
24/01/26HNamur W54-82
17/01/26AWaregem W70-63
10/01/26HSpirou Basket W68-53
20/12/25HBraine W48-80
13/12/25HPhantoms W79-90
29/11/25AJeugd Gentson W65-57
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AKortrijk W80-75
14/02/26ALiege W83-53
08/02/26HNamur W79-58
31/01/26ALummen W119-52
25/01/26HSpirou Basket W80-57
22/01/26ALattes Montpellier W59-57
17/01/26ACharleroi W101-50
15/01/26HLattes Montpellier W66-80
11/01/26HPhantoms W100-54
21/12/25HWaregem W89-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donza W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game74.973.176.7
Allowed / game69.869.170.6
Point differential+5.1+4.0+6.1
Avg total144.7142.2147.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game87.488.986.0
Allowed / game54.351.757.0
Point differential+33.1+37.2+29.0
Avg total141.8140.6143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+89%100%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W18180100%87.454.3+33.1
2 Braine W1918195%85.247.3+37.9
3 Namur W1914574%80.858.5+22.3
4 Donza W1812667%74.969.8+5.1
5 Kortrijk W1911858%75.670.4+5.2
6 Phantoms W1910953%73.374.9-1.7
7 Liege W1991047%68.067.2+0.8
8 Jeugd Gentson W1971237%61.868.6-6.8
9 Spirou Basket W1861233%57.770.6-12.9
10 Waregem W1851328%58.971.1-12.1
11 Charleroi W1921711%59.683.9-24.3
12 Lummen W190190%48.394.1-45.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Donza W1813121659
Mechelen W2029212393
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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