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Donza W vs Mechelen W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#9
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game74.8
Donza W
Belgium
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
3.6/10
Below normal
Mechelen W
Belgium
Position#1
Record4-0
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game61.8
BelgiumTop Division Women· Gemeentelijke Sporthal Laarne
Women2026-27
Meetings · Donza W v Mechelen W
23 Jan 2027
DONZ v MECH
upcoming
16 Apr 2026
DONZ59
MECH98
28 Feb 2026
DONZ59
MECH93
02 Nov 2024
DONZ69
MECH101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Donza W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mechelen W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Donza WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
62-71
62
71
-9
41avg 57
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
63-60
63
60
+3
57avg 57
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
72-57
72
57
+15
64avg 57
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
43avg 57
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
44-98
44
98
-54
25avg 57
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 57
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
85-60
85
60
+25
76avg 57
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
59avg 57
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
68-96
68
96
-28
52avg 57
A18/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
54avg 57
A31/10
Top Division Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
13-19
12-16
18-14
12-17
14-11
20-12
17-20
13-11
16-9
29-18
14-19
19-24
11-32
18-18
11-24
18-25
7-30
13-23
6-20
16-16
17-21
19-24
15-8
24-12
18-12
17-22
26-14
18-18
16-22
13-14
22-18
16-30
18-19
21-27
13-20
14-24
17-19
20-13
8-21
140.6Avg total
64.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)69.674.8144.4-5.220%
Season at home (2)68.070.5138.5-2.50%
Season away (3)70.777.7148.3-7.033%
Last 10 (10)64.875.8140.6-11.030%
Last 5 (5)69.674.8144.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)63.182.1145.2-19.120%
vs Similar (4)75.873.8149.5+2.050%
vs Weaker (11)79.058.5137.5+20.5100%
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WBelgiumLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
76avg 79
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
91-47
91
47
+44
94avg 79
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
92-50
92
50
+42
95avg 79
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 79
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
56-89
56
89
-33
41avg 79
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
96-68
96
68
+28
98avg 79
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
50-77
50
77
-27
36avg 79
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
47-83
47
83
-36
31avg 79
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
84-65
84
65
+19
70avg 79
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
69-87
69
87
-18
no box
H04/11
Euroleague Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
27-20
19-17
7-19
26-14
18-10
29-5
18-18
24-11
21-20
27-10
20-9
18-15
25-15
28-20
19-14
16-25
11-13
14-28
15-23
30-16
19-18
27-21
20-13
18-19
5-13
14-20
13-25
12-25
10-22
14-15
11-21
23-16
16-17
29-16
16-16
20-23
15-15
12-33
22-16
146.7Avg total
75.9Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.561.8152.2+28.8100%
Season at home (3)92.760.7153.3+32.0100%
Season away (1)84.065.0149.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.970.8146.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)69.276.0145.2-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.878.8136.7-21.017%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.757.7147.4+32.0100%
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
Donza WMechelen W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Donza WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Braine W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A04/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H10/04
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#4
W
29-20
29
20
+9
A12/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H16/04
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
25-55
25
55
-30
A19/04
Top Division Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H26/09
Top Division Women
Waregem W
#10
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A03/10
Top Division Women
Kortrijk W
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H10/10
Top Division Women
Mechelen W
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A18/10
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A31/10
Top Division Women
70.9Avg total
31.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.237.372.5-2.245%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.973.1-2.636%-
Last 30 away (15)35.136.972.0-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)31.639.370.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)34.838.673.4-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.344.776.0-13.37%-
vs Similar (3)38.334.072.3+4.367%-
vs Weaker (11)39.528.367.8+11.391%-
This opponent (Mechelen W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mechelen WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Namur W
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A24/04
Top Division Women
Namur W
#3
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H26/04
Top Division Women
Liege W
#6
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H03/10
Top Division Women
Phantoms W
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Donza W
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
Top Division Women
Galatasaray W
#11
L
23-32
23
32
-9
H22/10
Euroleague Women
Schio W
#5
L
22-47
22
47
-25
H29/10
Euroleague Women
Jeugd Gentson W
#7
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/10
Top Division Women
Crvena zvezda W
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/11
Euroleague Women
71.2Avg total
37.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.531.073.5+11.477%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.832.274.0+9.672%-
Last 30 away (12)43.529.272.8+14.283%-
Last 10 (10)37.134.171.2+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.636.870.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)26.236.863.0-10.70%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.529.676.1+17.096%-
This opponent (Donza W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Donza Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donza W: 64.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.018.7
45.6%
46.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.95.8
26.5%
31.5%17.4
🏀 Free throws14.710.0
68.0%
71.8%10.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mechelen Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mechelen W: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.0 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.117.9
47.0%
46.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.5
32.9%
31.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.1%
71.8%14.5
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Donza W
LLLWLLLWWL
Mechelen W
LWLLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#1
-17.7
Net rating
+26.5
69.6
Offensive rating
92.4
87.3
Defensive rating
65.9
43.6%
Effective FG%
48.0%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
26.5%
3-point %
32.9%
52.7%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence69.6 · 92.4Defence87.3 · 65.9Shooting43.6% · 48.0%3-point %26.5% · 32.9%Ball care18.6% · 16.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Donza W   ■ Mechelen W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Donza W wins
7
Mechelen W wins
DateGameScore
18/10/26Mechelen W v Donza W96-68
19/04/26Mechelen W v Donza W98-44
16/04/26Donza W v Mechelen W59-98
06/03/26Mechelen W v Donza W82-62
28/02/26Donza W v Mechelen W59-93
05/01/25Mechelen W v Donza W99-52
02/11/24Donza W v Mechelen W69-101
Donza Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ALiege W59-77
18/10/26AMechelen W68-96
10/10/26HKortrijk W69-72
03/10/26AWaregem W85-60
26/09/26HJeugd Gentson W67-69
19/04/26AMechelen W44-98
16/04/26HMechelen W59-98
12/04/26AKortrijk W72-57
10/04/26HKortrijk W63-60
04/04/26ABraine W62-71
Mechelen Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/26HCrvena zvezda W69-87
31/10/26AJeugd Gentson W84-65
29/10/26HSchio W47-83
22/10/26HGalatasaray W50-77
18/10/26HDonza W96-68
14/10/26ACrvena zvezda W56-89
11/10/26HPhantoms W90-64
03/10/26HLiege W92-50
26/04/26HNamur W91-47
24/04/26ANamur W84-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Donza W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game69.668.070.7
Allowed / game74.870.577.7
Point differential-5.2-2.5-7.0
Avg total144.4138.5148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mechelen W
Top Division Women 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.592.784.0
Allowed / game61.860.765.0
Point differential+28.8+32.0+19.0
Avg total152.2153.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mechelen W440100%90.561.8+28.8
2 Braine W550100%88.673.2+15.4
3 Namur W54180%88.658.4+30.2
4 Phantoms W54180%77.664.2+13.4
5 Kortrijk W64267%82.064.0+18.0
6 Liege W74357%70.366.7+3.6
7 Jeugd Gentson W52340%74.682.0-7.4
8 Spirou Basket W41325%50.275.8-25.5
9 Donza W51420%69.674.8-5.2
10 Waregem W7070%62.188.1-26.0
11 Lummen W5050%49.889.0-39.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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