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Dresden vs Bayreuth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 66-75
10-22 22-12 16-19 18-22
Position#9
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#11
Record3-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game81.0
GermanyPro ARound 8
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dresden v Bayreuth
15 Mar 2025
DRES88
BAR84
18 Nov 2023
DRES66
BAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayreuth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDresden
Date
Competition
Giessen
#4
L
72-89
72
89
-17
no box
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
no box
A10/05
Pro A
Hamburg
#12
L
85-88
85
88
-3
79avg 79
H24/09
German Cup
Artland
#14
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
A30/09
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
106-82
106
82
+24
no box
H08/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
no box
A14/10
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
no box
H21/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
H27/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
no box
A29/10
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
59-81
59
81
-22
no box
H04/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
22-26
21-21
9-22
20-27
12-19
21-23
23-20
20-24
19-29
27-13
19-22
22-17
33-19
18-12
11-20
22-11
24-25
29-22
31-24
27-16
26-26
22-18
11-31
31-23
23-23
14-23
17-19
21-16
26-20
16-20
21-20
16-19
23-24
24-17
28-18
16-26
13-16
13-24
17-15
165.8Avg total
82.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.080.6165.6+4.457%
Season at home (4)83.581.8165.2+1.850%
Season away (3)87.079.0166.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)82.883.0165.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)81.082.8163.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.789.0162.7-15.30%
vs Similar (21)83.685.7169.3-2.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)92.281.6173.8+10.680%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
72-83
72
83
-11
58avg 75
H04/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
106-120
106
120
-14
107avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#9
L
82-89
82
89
-7
71avg 75
H22/09
German Cup
Frankfurt
#3
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A01/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
97-72
97
72
+25
no box
H07/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
L
89-96
89
96
-7
no box
A14/10
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
100-80
100
80
+20
no box
H21/10
Pro A
Jena
#6
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
A27/10
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
no box
A29/10
Pro A
Munster
#8
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
H05/11
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
17-27
19-22
19-14
30-32
32-33
16-23
28-32
22-26
30-24
13-19
17-20
18-13
22-18
16-17
7-18
22-18
25-16
26-11
24-27
24-16
21-27
30-26
14-27
27-21
22-15
31-22
20-22
20-24
15-13
26-10
24-21
19-17
22-21
19-25
24-21
19-26
22-26
21-18
24-19
172.7Avg total
86.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.981.0167.9+5.943%
Season at home (3)94.380.3174.7+14.067%
Season away (4)81.281.5162.8-0.225%
Last 10 (10)86.885.9172.7+0.930%
Last 5 (5)89.685.8175.4+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)81.791.9173.6-10.113%
vs Similar (6)93.288.3181.5+4.850%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.0-2.0
DresdenBayreuth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#4
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/05
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A10/05
Pro A
Hamburg
#12
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H24/09
German Cup
Artland
#14
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A30/09
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/10
Pro A
PS Karlsruhe
#5
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A14/10
Pro A
Giessen
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/10
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H04/11
Pro A
86.2Avg total
43.6Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.243.385.5-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.340.181.4+1.262%-
Last 30 away (14)43.247.090.2-3.843%-
Last 10 (10)43.642.686.2+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.886.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.043.379.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (21)42.143.986.0-1.752%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.839.085.8+7.880%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H04/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A07/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H22/09
German Cup
Frankfurt
#3
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A01/10
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H07/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Pro A
Bochum
#17
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/10
Pro A
Jena
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A27/10
Pro A
Trier
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A29/10
Pro A
Munster
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
H05/11
Pro A
87.9Avg total
44.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.887.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.245.989.1-2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)41.443.484.8-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.387.9+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.283.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)41.245.887.0-4.630%-
vs Similar (6)45.040.085.0+5.067%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dresden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.0
53.3%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.3
37.9%
-33.9
🏀 Free throws19.814.1
71.2%
-14.1
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
LWWLLWWLLL
Bayreuth
LLWWLWLLLL
#9
League position
#11
-1.2
Net rating
-19.5
102.7
Offensive rating
112.0
103.9
Defensive rating
131.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
61.8%
19.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.1%
3-point %
37.9%
75.0%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Dresden   ■ Bayreuth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dresden wins
0
Bayreuth wins
No previous meetings.
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HFrankfurt59-81
29/10/23AKirchheim91-78
27/10/23HNurnberger84-76
21/10/23HGiessen85-88
14/10/23APS Karlsruhe86-91
08/10/23HBochum106-82
30/09/23AArtland84-68
24/09/23HHamburg85-88
10/05/23AGiessen76-89
07/05/23HGiessen72-89
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HMunster86-89
29/10/23ATrier88-96 OT
27/10/23AJena85-68
21/10/23HBochum100-80
14/10/23ADusseldorf89-96
07/10/23HKoblenz97-72
01/10/23AFrankfurt63-66
22/09/23HHeidelberg82-89
07/05/23ABamberg106-120
04/05/23HAlba Berlin72-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game85.083.587.0
Allowed / game80.681.879.0
Point differential+4.4+1.8+8.0
Avg total165.6165.2166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayreuth
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game86.994.381.2
Allowed / game81.080.381.5
Point differential+5.9+14.0-0.2
Avg total167.9174.7162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%67%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankfurt880100%80.665.5+15.1
2 Trier76186%82.474.6+7.9
3 Phoenix Hagen76186%86.180.3+5.9
4 Munster86275%81.478.2+3.1
5 Jena75271%83.476.1+7.3
6 Giessen75271%85.481.3+4.1
7 Dresden74357%85.080.6+4.4
8 Kirchheim74357%83.382.4+0.9
9 Koblenz84450%80.083.6-3.6
10 Bayreuth73443%86.981.0+5.9
11 PS Karlsruhe73443%76.475.1+1.3
12 Vechta 283538%82.883.0-0.2
13 Nurnberger72529%84.985.3-0.4
14 Bremerhaven72529%81.187.3-6.1
15 Dusseldorf82625%83.289.4-6.1
16 Paderborn82625%71.484.4-13.0
17 Bochum71614%82.393.7-11.4
18 Artland7070%72.686.7-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden1022161866
Bayreuth2212192275
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