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Bayreuth vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 72-83
17-20 17-27 19-22 19-14
Position#18
Record6-26
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Position#2
Record30-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game77.1
GermanyBBLRound 33
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Alba Berlin
04 May 2023
BAR72
ABE83
27 Dec 2021
BAR79
ABE109
13 Nov 2021
BAR57
ABE84
06 Dec 2020
BAR69
ABE71
08 Dec 2019
BAR78
ABE82
25 Apr 2019
BAR80
ABE79
11 Nov 2017
BAR83
ABE76
28 Oct 2016
BAR98
ABE96
22 Apr 2016
BAR78
ABE82
04 Oct 2014
BAR58
ABE68
23 Nov 2013
BAR59
ABE81
30 Dec 2012
BAR90
ABE65
14 Jan 2012
BAR80
ABE77
24 Oct 2010
BAR66
ABE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 74
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 74
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 74
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 74
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-86
42
86
-44
32avg 74
A15/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
86-102
86
102
-16
80avg 74
H18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
113-107
113
107
+6
109avg 74
A23/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
96-102
96
102
-6
81avg 74
H26/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
70-99
70
99
-29
58avg 74
A30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
25-24
19-14
15-17
20-20
22-24
13-18
30-13
31-22
21-23
19-23
24-16
20-14
24-22
17-14
12-28
19-25
27-24
22-27
21-25
11-25
7-17
18-17
6-27
26-24
26-20
15-25
19-33
26-17
29-19
29-40
29-31
24-24
15-25
31-30
26-23
12-23
19-22
20-33
19-21
176.8Avg total
83.8Scored
93.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.190.8172.9-8.719%
Season at home (16)83.689.2172.9-5.631%
Season away (16)80.692.4172.9-11.86%
Last 10 (10)83.893.0176.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)81.499.2180.6-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)81.090.7171.8-9.714%
vs Similar (2)93.596.5190.0-3.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
76-47
76
47
+29
84avg 83
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 83
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
87avg 83
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 83
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 83
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
83-63
83
63
+20
81avg 83
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 83
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 83
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 83
H30/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
22-9
15-14
20-15
25-17
24-25
17-26
22-16
29-23
18-23
24-15
20-17
20-23
27-19
23-12
6-16
20-16
18-20
27-18
23-17
20-11
20-21
28-15
15-16
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
159.2Avg total
85.9Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)88.577.1165.5+11.491%
Season at home (17)88.675.6164.2+13.194%
Season away (16)88.278.6166.9+9.688%
Last 10 (10)85.973.3159.2+12.690%
Last 5 (5)88.076.6164.6+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.588.4164.9-11.912%
vs Similar (7)78.177.1155.3+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.674.6162.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
BayreuthAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A15/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H18/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A23/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H26/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A30/04
BBL
86.0Avg total
42.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.485.7-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.344.988.2-1.643%-
Last 30 away (16)39.544.083.5-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.786.0-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.282.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)41.144.986.0-3.936%-
vs Similar (2)44.037.581.5+6.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#11
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H05/04
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A07/04
Euroleague
Gottingen
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H09/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
83.0Avg total
44.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.081.8+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.981.9+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)41.640.181.7+1.469%-
Last 10 (10)44.438.683.0+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)44.440.484.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.843.585.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (7)38.140.678.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.537.981.4+5.580%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.315.9
52.5%
54.4%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.011.1
38.3%
35.4%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
75.8%15.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.220.8
59.1%
54.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.6
36.2%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.114.8
81.8%
75.8%14.8
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLWLLLLWWL
Alba Berlin
WLWWWWWWWW
#18
League position
#2
-11.8
Net rating
+16.9
113.4
Offensive rating
114.2
125.2
Defensive rating
97.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
59.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
16.9%
Turnover %
20.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.3%
3-point %
36.2%
63.0%
Assist %
71.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 114.2Defence125.2 · 97.3Shooting54.9% · 57.1%3-point %38.3% · 36.2%Ball care16.9% · 20.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bayreuth wins
9
Alba Berlin wins
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23ARostock70-99
26/04/23HHeidelberg96-102
23/04/23AFrankfurt113-107
18/04/23HChemnitz86-102
15/04/23ABonn42-86
08/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig89-101
05/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins73-78
02/04/23HSyntainics MBC95-84
24/03/23HOldenburg85-75
17/03/23AWurzburg89-96 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
16/04/23AHamburg83-63
13/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
11/04/23AChemnitz76-70
09/04/23HGottingen91-78
07/04/23APanathinaikos88-84
05/04/23HWurzburg76-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLWWLL31%
AwayLLLWL6%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %19%31%6%
Points / game82.183.680.6
Allowed / game90.889.292.4
Point differential-8.7-5.6-11.8
Avg total172.9172.9172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW91%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %91%94%88%
Points / game88.588.688.2
Allowed / game77.175.678.6
Point differential+11.4+13.1+9.6
Avg total165.5164.2166.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%53%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3230294%89.272.5+16.8
2 Alba Berlin3330391%88.577.1+11.4
3 Bayern3225778%82.174.6+7.6
4 Oldenburg32201262%85.983.6+2.3
5 Gottingen33191458%85.586.2-0.7
6 Ludwigsburg32181456%87.085.8+1.2
7 Ulm32171553%88.486.2+2.2
8 Chemnitz32151747%83.882.9+0.9
9 Rostock32151747%83.788.1-4.3
10 Wurzburg33151845%81.283.7-2.5
11 Bamberg32141844%87.587.9-0.4
12 Heidelberg32141844%87.990.2-2.3
13 Hamburg33122136%81.085.9-4.9
14 Crailsheim Merlins32112134%85.288.8-3.7
15 Basketball Braunschweig32102231%80.083.7-3.7
16 Syntainics MBC32102231%85.289.7-4.4
17 Frankfurt3292328%79.886.7-6.8
18 Bayreuth3262619%82.190.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth1717191972
Alba Berlin2027221483
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