Dresden vs Trier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 71-76

27-26 22-20 14-15 8-15

Position#9

Record6-5

FormLLWWL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game78.5

Dresden

Trier 🏆

Position#1

Record8-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game88.1

Allowed / game80.2

Pro ARound 12

Other2023-24

Meetings · Dresden v Trier

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Trier winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dresden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bochum

#17

106-82

106

+24

H08/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

86-91

-5

A14/10

Pro A

Giessen

85-88

-3

H21/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

84-76

H27/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

91-78

+13

A29/10

Pro A

Frankfurt

59-81

-22

H04/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

66-75

-9

H18/11

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

99-74

+25

A25/11

Pro A

Munster

93-69

+24

H03/12

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

78-82

-4

A09/12

Pro A

22-11

24-25

29-22

31-24

27-16

26-26

22-18

11-31

31-23

23-23

14-23

17-19

21-16

26-20

16-20

21-20

16-19

23-24

24-17

28-18

16-26

13-16

13-24

17-15

10-22

22-12

16-19

18-22

23-10

30-23

21-17

25-24

35-24

21-17

15-14

22-14

16-26

25-16

20-22

17-18

164.3Avg total

84.7Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	84.6	78.5	163.2	+6.1	55%
Season at home (6)	82.2	78.5	160.7	+3.7	50%
Season away (5)	87.6	78.6	166.2	+9.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	79.6	164.3	+5.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	76.2	155.2	+2.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	73.7	89.0	162.7	-15.3	0%
vs Similar (17)	84.0	86.2	170.2	-2.2	47%
vs Weaker (9)	88.6	78.7	167.2	+9.9	67%

This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Trier

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

#13

81-63

+18

A06/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

89-76

+13

H15/10

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

70-76

-6

A21/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

73-71

H27/10

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

96-88 OT

H29/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

82-70

+12

A05/11

Pro A

Jena

83-95

-12

H18/11

Pro A

Munster

117-95

117

+22

A25/11

Pro A

Bochum

#17

97-103

103

-6

A03/12

Pro A

Kirchheim

95-67

+28

H10/12

Pro A

16-13

26-18

25-21

14-11

27-22

23-19

19-15

20-20

21-18

15-23

25-17

9-18

16-14

21-16

19-21

17-20

17-19

21-22

25-19

21-24

15-18

22-13

26-16

19-23

20-16

17-18

15-36

31-25

33-27

31-22

26-19

27-27

24-28

24-26

25-24

24-25

25-17

24-17

15-17

31-16

168.7Avg total

88.3Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	88.1	80.2	168.3	+7.9	73%
Season at home (6)	87.0	79.2	166.2	+7.8	83%
Season away (5)	89.4	81.4	170.8	+8.0	60%
Last 10 (10)	88.3	80.4	168.7	+7.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.8	86.0	180.8	+8.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	81.0	101.7	182.7	-20.7	0%
vs Similar (13)	84.2	90.5	174.8	-6.3	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	89.1	79.2	168.4	+9.9	71%

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

DresdenTrier

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.5	43.9	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.1	35%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.7	19.0	41.7	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.2	43.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	23.1	45.1	-1.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.2	40.6	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	27.7	47.0	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.3	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	21.6	43.6	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	23.1	45.5	-0.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.2	43.5	+3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	16.8	39.0	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	24.3	42.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.2	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	23.6	19.3	42.9	+4.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	18.6	38.9	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	20.9	43.1	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	64%	-

DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bochum

#17

46-36

+10

H08/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

53-42

+11

A14/10

Pro A

Giessen

54-46

H21/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

47-36

+11

H27/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

39-43

-4

A29/10

Pro A

Frankfurt

29-42

-13

H04/11

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

32-34

-2

H18/11

Pro A

Koblenz

#16

53-33

+20

A25/11

Pro A

Munster

56-41

+15

H03/12

Pro A

Dusseldorf

#15

41-42

-1

A09/12

Pro A

84.5Avg total

45.0Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	42.4	85.6	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	39.3	81.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.8	45.6	89.4	-1.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	39.5	84.5	+5.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	38.4	80.6	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.0	43.3	79.3	-7.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	43.0	43.8	86.8	-0.8	59%	-
vs Weaker (9)	46.2	38.3	84.6	+7.9	67%	-

This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vechta 2

#13

42-31

+11

A06/10

Pro A

Bremerhaven

#10

50-41

H15/10

Pro A

Phoenix Hagen

36-41

-5

A21/10

Pro A

PS Karlsruhe

37-30

H27/10

Pro A

Bayreuth

#11

38-41

-3

H29/10

Pro A

Nurnberger

#12

37-31

A05/11

Pro A

Jena

37-34

H18/11

Pro A

Munster

64-49

+15

A25/11

Pro A

Bochum

#17

48-54

-6

A03/12

Pro A

Kirchheim

49-34

+15

H10/12

Pro A

82.4Avg total

43.8Scored

38.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	40.9	84.0	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.2	38.1	80.4	+4.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	44.2	44.0	88.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	38.6	82.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	40.4	87.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.3	47.7	84.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	43.7	42.7	86.4	+1.0	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.1	37.7	81.9	+6.4	71%	-

This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.6	40.4	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	20.1	40.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	67%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.4	24%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	19.1	39.6	+1.3	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	21.9	43.6	-0.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.4	43.8	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.3	29.3	48.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	22.2	41.6	-2.7	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	21.4	19.8	41.1	+1.6	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.0	39.9	-0.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.0	25.7	45.7	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.5	19.2	38.7	+0.2	76%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	23.6	45.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	23.6	46.9	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	23.6	44.8	-2.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.9	42.2	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	23.2	49.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	25.3	24.7	50.0	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (13)	21.1	25.7	46.8	-4.6	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	43%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	40.6	80.3	-0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	40.3	79.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	40.9	81.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	40.1	79.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	37.8	74.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.7	45.7	83.3	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.0	41.1	80.1	-2.1	41%	-
vs Weaker (9)	41.1	38.4	79.6	+2.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	45.4	88.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.4	45.2	87.7	-2.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.9	45.5	88.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	41.4	84.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	45.6	93.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	44.7	54.0	98.7	-9.3	0%	-
vs Similar (13)	40.5	47.8	88.4	-7.3	15%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)	44.1	41.2	85.4	+2.9	57%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀46%

🏀

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	19.0	59.4%	-	38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	36.0	13.0	36.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	9.0	8.0	88.9%	-	8.0

They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	16.0	44.4%	-	32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.0	13.0	59.1%	-	39.0
🏀 Free throws	24.0	15.0	62.5%	-	15.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Dresden wins

Trier wins

Date	Game	Score
29/01/23	Dresden v Trier	79-95
30/10/22	Trier v Dresden	89-95
07/01/17	Trier v Dresden	78-64
16/10/16	Dresden v Trier	91-83

Dresdenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/23	A	Dusseldorf	78-82
03/12/23	H	Munster	93-69
25/11/23	A	Koblenz	99-74
18/11/23	H	Bayreuth	66-75
04/11/23	H	Frankfurt	59-81
29/10/23	A	Kirchheim	91-78
27/10/23	H	Nurnberger	84-76
21/10/23	H	Giessen	85-88
14/10/23	A	PS Karlsruhe	86-91
08/10/23	H	Bochum	106-82

Trierlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/23	H	Kirchheim	95-67
03/12/23	A	Bochum	97-103
25/11/23	A	Munster	117-95
18/11/23	H	Jena	83-95
05/11/23	A	Nurnberger	82-70
29/10/23	H	Bayreuth	96-88 OT
27/10/23	H	PS Karlsruhe	73-71
21/10/23	A	Phoenix Hagen	70-76
15/10/23	H	Bremerhaven	89-76
06/10/23	A	Vechta 2	81-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	55%
Home	LWLLW	50%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	55%	50%	60%
Points / game	84.6	82.2	87.6
Allowed / game	78.5	78.5	78.6
Point differential	+6.1	+3.7	+9.0
Avg total	163.2	160.7	166.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	33%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Trier

Pro A 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	73%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	WLWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	6	5
Win %	73%	83%	60%
Points / game	88.1	87.0	89.4
Allowed / game	80.2	79.2	81.4
Point differential	+7.9	+7.8	+8.0
Avg total	168.3	166.2	170.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	33%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	9%	17%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Frankfurt	11	9	2	82%	78.5	68.5	+10.1
2	Jena	12	9	3	75%	85.8	78.3	+7.4
3	Trier	11	8	3	73%	88.1	80.2	+7.9
4	Phoenix Hagen	11	8	3	73%	88.8	84.4	+4.5
5	Giessen	11	7	4	64%	86.9	84.6	+2.3
6	Kirchheim	11	7	4	64%	84.5	83.5	+1.0
7	Munster	11	7	4	64%	82.2	83.5	-1.3
8	Dresden	11	6	5	55%	84.6	78.5	+6.1
9	Bayreuth	11	6	5	55%	86.2	81.1	+5.1
10	PS Karlsruhe	11	6	5	55%	78.9	74.9	+4.0
11	Nurnberger	11	5	6	45%	82.2	79.2	+3.0
12	Dusseldorf	11	5	6	45%	83.9	86.8	-2.9
13	Koblenz	11	4	7	36%	79.5	87.7	-8.2
14	Bremerhaven	11	3	8	27%	83.1	87.8	-4.7
15	Bochum	11	3	8	27%	84.7	91.8	-7.1
16	Paderborn	11	3	8	27%	72.2	82.5	-10.4
17	Vechta 2	12	3	9	25%	81.1	86.3	-5.2
18	Artland	11	1	10	9%	74.6	86.4	-11.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Dresden	27	22	14	8	71
Trier	26	20	15	15	76

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Dresden vs Trier Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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