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Jena vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-79
17-21 15-10 23-28 27-20
Position#6
Record10-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.5
Jena 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#9
Record7-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game80.0
GermanyPro ARound 14
Other2023-24
Meetings · Jena v Dresden
03 Jan 2025
JEN101
DRES78
27 Dec 2023
JEN82
DRES79
23 Dec 2022
JEN86
DRES96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jena winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JenaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#8
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A22/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
68-85
68
85
-17
H27/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H29/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
93-74
93
74
+19
A05/11
Pro A
Trier
#1
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A18/11
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H24/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A02/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
96-79
96
79
+17
H10/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A16/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
107-80
107
80
+27
H23/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
18-17
14-12
24-26
24-20
13-15
10-26
21-24
25-11
25-12
19-23
16-22
24-13
25-15
17-20
27-26
16-20
18-17
36-15
25-31
22-18
21-24
15-19
28-14
22-21
27-22
13-19
13-25
15-21
22-19
26-15
33-24
24-21
16-24
21-22
32-16
34-17
20-20
30-23
23-20
166.3Avg total
86.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)87.478.5165.8+8.977%
Season at home (7)88.475.6164.0+12.986%
Season away (6)86.281.8168.0+4.367%
Last 10 (10)86.879.5166.3+7.370%
Last 5 (5)91.480.8172.2+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.282.6158.8-6.420%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.982.1163.0-1.340%
vs Weaker (10)87.476.3163.7+11.180%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#2
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H21/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H27/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A29/10
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
59-81
59
81
-22
H04/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H18/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
99-74
99
74
+25
A25/11
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H03/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A09/12
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
71-76
71
76
-5
H16/12
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
W
106-100 OT
106
100
+6
A22/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
23-23
14-23
17-19
21-16
26-20
16-20
21-20
16-19
23-24
24-17
28-18
16-26
13-16
13-24
17-15
10-22
22-12
16-19
18-22
23-10
30-23
21-17
25-24
35-24
21-17
15-14
22-14
16-26
25-16
20-22
17-18
27-26
22-20
14-15
8-15
23-27
22-18
20-11
14-23
163.1Avg total
83.2Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.280.0165.2+5.254%
Season at home (7)80.678.1158.7+2.443%
Season away (6)90.782.2172.8+8.567%
Last 10 (10)83.279.9163.1+3.350%
Last 5 (5)89.480.2169.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.085.8158.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.185.2168.3-2.147%
vs Weaker (10)90.380.8171.1+9.570%
This opponent (Jena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
JenaDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JenaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A22/10
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H29/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A05/11
Pro A
Trier
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A18/11
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H24/11
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A02/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A16/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H23/12
Pro A
79.8Avg total
42.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.280.4+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.237.981.2+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.679.4-1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.537.379.8+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.039.076.0-2.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.842.484.2-0.660%-
vs Weaker (10)42.434.476.8+8.070%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Giessen
#2
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H21/10
Pro A
Nurnberger
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H27/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#7
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A29/10
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H04/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H18/11
Pro A
Koblenz
#16
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A25/11
Pro A
Munster
#8
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H03/12
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A09/12
Pro A
Trier
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H16/12
Pro A
Paderborn
#18
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A22/12
Pro A
85.3Avg total
44.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.642.085.6+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.939.782.6+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)44.544.689.1-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.885.3+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)48.841.490.2+7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.244.083.2-4.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.542.786.2+0.767%-
vs Weaker (10)46.139.085.1+7.160%-
This opponent (Jena) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jenatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jena wins
2
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Dresden v Jena81-70
23/12/22Jena v Dresden86-96
Jenalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HDusseldorf107-80
16/12/23AVechta 293-83
10/12/23HKoblenz96-79
02/12/23AKirchheim75-87
24/11/23HFrankfurt86-75
18/11/23ATrier95-83
05/11/23ABremerhaven93-74
29/10/23HNurnberger85-68
27/10/23HBayreuth68-85
22/10/23AMunster70-81
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23APaderborn106-100 OT
16/12/23HTrier71-76
09/12/23ADusseldorf78-82
03/12/23HMunster93-69
25/11/23AKoblenz99-74
18/11/23HBayreuth66-75
04/11/23HFrankfurt59-81
29/10/23AKirchheim91-78
27/10/23HNurnberger84-76
21/10/23HGiessen85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jena
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW77%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%86%67%
Points / game87.488.486.2
Allowed / game78.575.681.8
Point differential+8.9+12.9+4.3
Avg total165.8164.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeWLLWL43%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%43%67%
Points / game85.280.690.7
Allowed / game80.078.182.2
Point differential+5.2+2.4+8.5
Avg total165.2158.7172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%29%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier1411379%88.879.9+8.9
2 Frankfurt1310377%80.470.6+9.8
3 Jena1310377%87.478.5+8.9
4 Phoenix Hagen1310377%88.382.6+5.7
5 Giessen139469%87.283.6+3.5
6 Kirchheim139469%83.882.5+1.2
7 Bayreuth148657%86.380.0+6.3
8 PS Karlsruhe148657%79.174.9+4.2
9 Munster148657%82.082.8-0.8
10 Dresden137654%85.280.0+5.2
11 Nurnberger146843%81.880.6+1.2
12 Bremerhaven135838%87.389.2-1.8
13 Koblenz135838%79.485.8-6.4
14 Dusseldorf145936%81.187.6-6.5
15 Vechta 21331023%80.586.4-5.9
16 Bochum1331023%85.494.1-8.7
17 Paderborn1431121%76.386.4-10.1
18 Artland141137%74.688.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jena1715232782
Dresden2110282079
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