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Dresden vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 67-71
18-21 15-12 18-20 16-18
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Position#7
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.8
GermanyPro ARound 5· Margon Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Dresden v Tubingen
20 Oct 2024
DRES67
TUB71
17 Dec 2022
DRES76
TUB94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDresden
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#18
W
107-68
107
68
+39
no box
H31/03
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A03/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H07/04
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
75-79
75
79
-4
no box
A14/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
no box
H21/04
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
88-89
88
89
-1
no box
A27/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H21/09
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
L
76-79
76
79
-3
no box
A29/09
Pro A
Artland
#15
L
96-109
96
109
-13
no box
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
no box
A12/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
27-16
20-16
32-14
22-17
17-14
19-26
22-29
27-22
18-18
21-16
20-14
21-25
19-22
15-12
20-20
22-17
19-21
26-22
24-21
23-26
27-26
22-20
16-17
24-17
19-15
25-21
16-21
25-17
25-19
15-23
11-20
25-34
31-26
18-25
22-24
19-20
15-34
18-18
20-26
168.8Avg total
85.5Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.090.0172.0-8.025%
Season at home (2)90.091.5181.5-1.550%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)85.583.3168.8+2.240%
Last 5 (5)83.289.8173.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.088.3163.3-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.085.1169.1-1.125%
vs Weaker (19)90.082.1172.1+7.963%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
48avg 71
A28/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 71
H01/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-79
63
79
-16
53avg 71
A04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
64avg 71
H09/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
78-93
78
93
-15
73avg 71
A12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#7
L
63-91
63
91
-28
59avg 71
H14/09
German Cup
Trier
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
A20/09
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
no box
H28/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A06/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
92-84
92
84
+8
no box
H12/10
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
27-22
17-24
16-25
22-17
19-20
17-19
10-25
15-24
13-18
26-23
9-14
25-23
18-24
16-28
19-18
18-26
20-27
22-18
18-22
19-17
19-27
11-24
14-23
22-14
23-22
18-15
14-18
14-17
19-22
11-26
23-20
21-23
15-22
25-15
18-17
22-28
19-23
19-16
32-17
158.2Avg total
73.8Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.878.8157.5+0.075%
Season at home (2)79.584.5164.0-5.050%
Season away (2)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.884.4158.2-10.630%
Last 5 (5)75.681.2156.8-5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)81.094.8175.7-13.817%
vs Similar ◀ (4)78.590.2168.8-11.80%
vs Weaker (2)85.580.5166.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -2.6-2.6
DresdenTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paderborn
#18
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H31/03
Pro A
Bayreuth
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A03/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#15
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H07/04
Pro A
Frankfurt
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/04
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H21/04
Pro A
Giessen
#2
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A27/04
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/09
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A29/09
Pro A
Artland
#15
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H06/10
Pro A
Bremerhaven
#5
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A12/10
Pro A
88.1Avg total
45.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.586.3+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.842.990.6+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.240.282.4+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)45.342.888.1+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)46.646.893.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.350.090.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.243.186.4+0.138%-
vs Weaker (19)46.239.485.6+6.768%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A04/05
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H09/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A12/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H14/09
German Cup
Trier
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A20/09
Pro A
Munster
#10
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H28/09
Pro A
Nurnberger
#14
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A06/10
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H12/10
Pro A
82.0Avg total
38.3Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.145.486.5-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.345.186.4-3.733%-
Last 30 away (15)40.845.786.5-4.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.343.782.0-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.081.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)41.645.987.5-4.335%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.041.881.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker (2)38.548.086.5-9.50%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.9
52.5%
-39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.0
30.3%
-24.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
-15.2
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 20 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dresden
LLLWLWLWLW
Tubingen
WWLWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#7
-1.2
Net rating
-22.3
102.7
Offensive rating
98.9
103.9
Defensive rating
121.2
56.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
61.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
19.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
11.8%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.13
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.1%
3-point %
30.3%
75.0%
Assist %
63.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Dresden   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dresden wins
2
Tubingen wins
DateGameScore
19/04/23Tubingen v Dresden98-69
17/12/22Dresden v Tubingen76-94
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ABremerhaven72-98
06/10/24HArtland96-109
29/09/24AKoblenz76-79
21/09/24HDusseldorf84-74
27/04/24AGiessen88-89
21/04/24HBremerhaven91-81
14/04/24AFrankfurt75-79
07/04/24HDusseldorf86-70
03/04/24ABayreuth80-86
31/03/24HPaderborn107-68
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24HDusseldorf92-84
06/10/24ANurnberger79-77
28/09/24HMunster67-85
20/09/24ATrier77-69
14/09/24HOldenburg63-91
12/05/24AHeidelberg78-93
09/05/24HHamburg78-93
04/05/24AOldenburg63-79
01/05/24HBasketball Braunschweig68-81
28/04/24ABayern73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game82.090.074.0
Allowed / game90.091.588.5
Point differential-8.0-1.5-14.5
Avg total172.0181.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tubingen
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game78.879.578.0
Allowed / game78.884.573.0
Point differential+0.0-5.0+5.0
Avg total157.5164.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena550100%87.675.4+12.2
2 Phoenix Hagen54180%88.274.8+13.4
3 Artland54180%92.082.4+9.6
4 Munster54180%89.281.6+7.6
5 Kirchheim54180%81.874.6+7.2
6 Crailsheim Merlins43175%93.889.5+4.2
7 Tubingen43175%78.878.8+0.0
8 Bremerhaven53260%91.275.8+15.4
9 Giessen53260%85.874.4+11.4
10 Bochum53260%72.869.8+3.0
11 Trier42250%82.277.5+4.8
12 PS Karlsruhe52340%77.678.6-1.0
13 Dresden41325%82.090.0-8.0
14 Koblenz41325%71.281.0-9.8
15 Nurnberger5050%70.479.0-8.6
16 Bayreuth5050%85.0100.6-15.6
17 Dusseldorf5050%70.290.6-20.4
18 Vechta 24040%70.2104.2-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dresden1815181667
Tubingen2112201871
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