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Bayern vs Tubingen Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-73
21-13 22-27 24-17 25-16
Position#1
Record23-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game77.6
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#18
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game96.7
GermanyBBLRound 30· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Tubingen
28 Apr 2024
BAY92
TUB73
12 Nov 2017
BAY84
TUB72
29 Oct 2016
BAY82
TUB70
10 Apr 2016
BAY95
TUB70
02 Nov 2014
BAY107
TUB81
17 Nov 2013
BAY105
TUB68
15 Dec 2012
BAY107
TUB80
12 Oct 2011
BAY86
TUB77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tubingen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 78
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 78
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 78
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 78
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 78
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 78
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
82avg 78
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
90-82
90
82
+8
92avg 78
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 78
A21/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
14-29
16-23
30-20
25-17
20-17
25-19
20-23
25-23
14-17
30-25
13-21
25-26
163.4Avg total
82.4Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)89.377.6166.9+11.782%
Season at home (14)90.675.7166.4+14.993%
Season away (14)87.979.4167.4+8.571%
Last 10 (10)82.481.0163.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)84.680.6165.2+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.084.6161.6-7.60%
vs Similar (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.175.6164.8+13.588%
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTubingen
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
70-101
70
101
-31
36avg 73
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
76-97
76
97
-21
67avg 73
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
89avg 73
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
69-112
69
112
-43
60avg 73
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
79-98
79
98
-19
75avg 73
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
81-96
81
96
-15
76avg 73
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
69avg 73
H05/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-113
82
113
-31
78avg 73
A13/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 73
H19/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
22-17
10-34
24-25
16-23
30-25
17-31
19-13
25-24
14-21
18-30
19-22
19-16
27-28
20-12
22-22
24-21
10-35
16-32
19-24
26-18
16-30
15-29
22-21
17-26
25-25
13-22
26-23
13-27
22-28
15-21
25-16
25-27
16-25
24-29
17-32
12-17
25-17
20-22
20-32
174.6Avg total
77.9Scored
96.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.096.7180.7-12.621%
Season at home (15)84.395.7180.0-11.320%
Season away (14)83.797.7181.4-14.021%
Last 10 (10)77.996.7174.6-18.810%
Last 5 (5)78.897.4176.2-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)84.097.2181.2-13.223%
vs Similar (3)84.392.3176.7-8.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -9.4-9.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
BayernTubingen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
Monaco
#3
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A11/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A14/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/04
BBL
80.7Avg total
39.2Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.239.982.1+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.638.580.1+3.171%-
Last 30 away (13)43.041.784.7+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.580.7-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.844.478.2-10.620%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.437.183.6+9.394%-
This opponent (Tubingen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TubingenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/02
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H14/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A02/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H09/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A16/03
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H22/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A30/03
BBL
Rostock
#15
L
35-55
35
55
-20
H05/04
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A13/04
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H19/04
BBL
87.3Avg total
39.8Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.988.1-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.046.889.8-3.831%-
Last 30 away (14)41.344.986.1-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.847.587.3-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)39.448.087.4-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)42.546.589.0-4.131%-
vs Similar (3)43.342.786.0+0.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.9
56.3%
54.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.9
38.9%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.812.3
77.8%
76.0%12.3
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tubingentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tubingen: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.3
55.1%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
35.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.514.7
79.5%
76.0%14.7
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWLWLWLWLL
Tubingen
LLLLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#18
+1.8
Net rating
-24.1
113.6
Offensive rating
102.8
111.7
Defensive rating
126.9
57.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
60.7%
16.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
38.9%
3-point %
32.6%
62.8%
Assist %
73.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.6 · 102.8Defence111.7 · 126.9Shooting57.3% · 52.4%3-point %38.9% · 32.6%Ball care16.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds25.5% · 26.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Bayern   ■ Tubingen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Bayern wins
0
Tubingen wins
DateGameScore
26/12/23Tubingen v Bayern74-96
27/04/18Tubingen v Bayern72-87
12/11/17Bayern v Tubingen84-72
12/03/17Tubingen v Bayern63-85
29/10/16Bayern v Tubingen82-70
10/04/16Bayern v Tubingen95-70
30/12/15Tubingen v Bayern73-87
08/02/15Tubingen v Bayern80-117
02/11/14Bayern v Tubingen107-81
23/02/14Tubingen v Bayern70-78
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/04/24AHeidelberg82-89
14/04/24AWurzburg90-82
11/04/24AMonaco85-89
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
Tubingenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/24HVechta77-88
13/04/24AChemnitz82-113
05/04/24HRostock75-92
30/03/24AWurzburg81-96
22/03/24HLudwigsburg79-98
16/03/24AAlba Berlin69-112
09/03/24HSyntainics MBC88-78
02/03/24ABamberg76-97
14/02/24HBonn82-92
11/02/24AGottingen70-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWWWLW93%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %82%93%71%
Points / game89.390.687.9
Allowed / game77.675.779.4
Point differential+11.7+14.9+8.5
Avg total166.9166.4167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%64%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Tubingen
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%20%21%
Points / game84.084.383.7
Allowed / game96.795.797.7
Point differential-12.6-11.3-14.0
Avg total180.7180.0181.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%89.377.6+11.7
2 Alba Berlin2923679%91.382.0+9.3
3 Chemnitz3023777%89.779.2+10.5
4 Ulm3021970%92.085.0+7.0
5 Wurzburg3021970%86.179.6+6.5
6 Ludwigsburg30181260%88.782.2+6.5
7 Vechta30181260%88.982.7+6.2
8 Bonn30181260%90.286.0+4.2
9 Oldenburg30161453%85.784.2+1.5
10 Hamburg30141647%85.587.2-1.7
11 Bamberg30131743%88.190.4-2.3
12 Basketball Braunschweig30131743%82.785.7-3.1
13 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
14 Gottingen3092130%86.193.8-7.6
15 Rostock3082227%88.293.9-5.7
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins3072323%80.892.4-11.6
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2122242592
Tubingen1327171673
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