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Dubai vs Valencia Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 10 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#5
Record6-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game97.1
Allowed / game90.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30· Coca-Cola Arena
European cup2026
Meetings · Dubai v Valencia
10 Mar 2027
DUB v VAL
upcoming
17 Apr 2026
DUB85
VAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valencia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubaiLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A04/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
58-77
58
77
-19
H08/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#9
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A11/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#20
W
93-79
93
79
+14
A13/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
101-97
101
97
+4
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
108-90
108
90
+18
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
107-91
107
91
+16
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#16
L
93-99
93
99
-6
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-12
19-15
19-28
21-16
10-21
15-19
12-21
20-20
16-25
32-14
24-26
25-23
19-20
26-19
23-17
29-23
27-26
27-19
18-29
35-25
29-23
19-32
25-10
29-14
34-22
19-31
25-24
22-13
23-26
24-18
24-26
25-23
22-31
25-19
21-26
19-22
26-18
29-20
23-23
178.1Avg total
92.7Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.485.1172.6+2.367%
Season at home (5)84.084.6168.6-0.660%
Season away (4)91.885.8177.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)92.785.4178.1+7.380%
Last 5 (5)99.689.2188.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.077.0145.0-9.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.883.6169.4+2.270%
vs Weaker (18)93.383.6176.9+9.778%
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
L
97-102 OT
97
102
-5
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
116-93
116
93
+23
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
104-93
104
93
+11
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
15-17
30-28
31-15
29-17
18-23
27-17
19-25
26-19
14-20
20-29
26-21
31-17
28-17
12-25
19-31
23-31
25-19
24-21
16-20
25-14
33-22
28-24
30-33
32-26
25-28
26-16
21-23
27-19
14-16
18-18
25-22
19-9
17-16
24-21
26-32
25-30
17-14
26-25
26-29
182.8Avg total
94.5Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)97.190.9188.0+6.267%
Season at home (5)95.088.2183.2+6.860%
Season away (4)99.894.2194.0+5.575%
Last 10 (10)94.588.3182.8+6.260%
Last 5 (5)96.887.4184.2+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.386.3175.6+3.057%
vs Weaker (23)98.287.5185.7+10.778%
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.6+5.6Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
DubaiValencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H08/10
Euroleague
Cluj-Napoca
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A11/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A13/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A15/10
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#20
W
64-48
64
48
+16
H19/10
ABA League
Bayern
#18
W
63-36
63
36
+27
A22/10
Euroleague
KK Bosna
#7
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A24/10
ABA League
Paris
#16
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H27/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H30/10
Euroleague
89.6Avg total
47.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.442.087.4+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.443.090.4+4.462%-
Last 30 away (14)43.040.983.9+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.889.6+6.070%-
Last 5 (5)52.843.496.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.540.575.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.341.784.0+0.650%-
vs Weaker (18)48.342.390.6+5.972%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/10
ACB
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H08/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#2
W
59-34
59
34
+25
H13/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H15/10
Euroleague
Murcia
#14
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/10
ACB
Paris
#16
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A23/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#7
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H27/10
Euroleague
Barcelona
#9
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A30/10
Euroleague
86.0Avg total
46.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.140.687.8+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.039.387.3+8.772%-
Last 30 away (12)45.842.688.4+3.275%-
Last 10 (10)46.439.686.0+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)46.838.885.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.137.682.7+7.671%-
vs Weaker (23)47.741.689.3+6.274%-
This opponent (Dubai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubai: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.9
60.1%
55.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
77.1%15.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 94.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.6
55.4%
55.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.615.2
73.8%
77.1%15.2
They take 72.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubai
WLWWWWWWLW
Valencia
LWWWWLLLWW
#8
League position
#5
+9.9
Net rating
+7.0
110.0
Offensive rating
106.7
100.2
Defensive rating
99.7
58.9%
Effective FG%
54.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
11.0%
Turnover %
8.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.8%
3-point %
35.4%
59.2%
Assist %
52.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 106.7Defence100.2 · 99.7Shooting58.9% · 54.5%3-point %37.8% · 35.4%Ball care11.0% · 8.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Dubai   ■ Valencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dubai wins
2
Valencia wins
DateGameScore
17/04/26Dubai v Valencia85-95
30/10/25Valencia v Dubai80-78
Dubailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv97-83
27/10/26HParis93-99
24/10/26AKK Bosna93-83
22/10/26ABayern107-91
19/10/26HStudentski Centar108-90
15/10/26AOlimpia Milano101-97
13/10/26ABaskonia93-79
11/10/26ACluj-Napoca92-85
08/10/26HCrvena zvezda58-77
04/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija85-70
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ABarcelona94-98
27/10/26HFenerbahce86-78
25/10/26HBaskonia84-75
23/10/26AParis104-93
18/10/26HMurcia116-93
15/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv88-91
13/10/26HOlympiacos97-102 OT
11/10/26ABarcelona86-89
08/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv93-82
04/10/26ABasket Zaragoza97-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubai
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game87.484.091.8
Allowed / game85.184.685.8
Point differential+2.3-0.6+6.0
Avg total172.6168.6177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valencia
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL67%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game97.195.099.8
Allowed / game90.988.294.2
Point differential+6.2+6.8+5.5
Avg total188.0183.2194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%40%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos97278%84.675.0+9.6
2 Olympiacos97278%90.683.8+6.8
3 Crvena zvezda96367%85.677.0+8.6
4 Real Madrid96367%96.288.0+8.2
5 Valencia96367%97.190.9+6.2
6 Hapoel Tel-Aviv96367%92.387.3+5.0
7 Fenerbahce96367%79.976.6+3.3
8 Dubai96367%87.485.1+2.3
9 Barcelona96367%90.888.6+2.2
10 Zalgiris Kaunas95456%85.984.0+1.9
11 Besiktas94544%90.091.8-1.8
12 Partizan94544%78.480.2-1.8
13 Virtus Bologna94544%86.889.1-2.3
14 Anadolu Efes94544%83.686.2-2.7
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne94544%87.692.3-4.8
16 Paris93633%88.392.9-4.6
17 Maccabi Tel Aviv92722%86.794.7-8.0
18 Bayern92722%85.494.4-9.0
19 Olimpia Milano91811%82.090.2-8.2
20 Baskonia91811%83.194.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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