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Dubrovnik vs Bosco Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 108-87
21-15 42-22 26-19 19-31
Position#8
Record6-6
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game77.8
vs
Position#13
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game97.5
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 13· Sportska dvorana Gospino polje
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dubrovnik v Bosco
09 Mar 2024
DUBR93
BOSC72
17 Dec 2023
DUBR108
BOSC87
09 Apr 2022
DUBR85
BOSC89
22 Feb 2022
DUBR95
BOSC73
27 Mar 2021
DUBR63
BOSC81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrovnik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bosco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DubrovnikCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDubrovnik
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
59avg 67
A15/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
76-72
76
72
+4
72avg 67
H20/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
L
80-90
80
90
-10
69avg 67
H28/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
W
78-74 OT
78
74
+4
no box
A04/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
70avg 67
H11/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
59-98
59
98
-39
46avg 67
A19/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
78-75
78
75
+3
58avg 67
H25/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
56-84
56
84
-28
44avg 67
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 67
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 67
A09/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
13-25
24-14
16-15
20-16
22-16
12-24
22-16
23-23
23-22
18-24
16-21
19-20
10-23
23-11
19-17
19-18
22-33
17-17
19-16
13-23
16-28
21-25
9-22
13-24
24-21
22-18
19-12
15-19
18-23
6-23
17-19
31-11
16-20
21-17
18-24
25-20
13-30
29-15
12-27
157.0Avg total
74.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)77.677.8155.3-0.250%
Season at home (6)75.876.0151.8-0.250%
Season away (6)79.379.5158.8-0.250%
Last 10 (10)74.282.8157.0-8.640%
Last 5 (5)71.684.2155.8-12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.287.0159.2-14.80%
vs Similar (7)73.672.7146.3+0.971%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)82.768.4151.1+14.388%
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBosco
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
90-109
90
109
-19
89avg 61
H14/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
52avg 61
A22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
72avg 61
H29/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
94avg 61
A04/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 61
H11/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
78-104
78
104
-26
66avg 61
A18/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
77-98
77
98
-21
70avg 61
A25/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#3
L
48-90
48
90
-42
31avg 61
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
54-104
54
104
-50
40avg 61
A03/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
67-104
67
104
-37
52avg 61
H08/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
22-27
25-30
27-28
17-29
18-20
20-15
14-20
20-21
25-18
17-25
16-17
18-16
23-25
26-18
28-24
17-25
18-17
33-23
20-26
31-25
12-26
12-25
23-28
16-24
18-20
18-23
25-31
16-19
8-25
13-23
11-23
21-26
8-28
13-26
12-24
19-31
21-30
15-23
12-20
169.2Avg total
74.4Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.897.5171.2-23.88%
Season at home (5)75.497.2172.6-21.80%
Season away (7)72.697.7170.3-25.114%
Last 10 (10)74.494.8169.2-20.410%
Last 5 (5)64.8100.0164.8-35.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.493.2167.6-18.821%
vs Similar (5)93.491.0184.4+2.440%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.9-4.9Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -5.3-5.3
DubrovnikBosco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A15/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H20/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H28/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A04/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H11/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
29-51
29
51
-22
A19/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H25/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/11
Croatian Cup
Skrljevo
#12
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A02/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/12
Premijer liga
82.3Avg total
37.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.477.1+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.777.6+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.639.176.7-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.882.3-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.843.880.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)36.648.284.8-11.620%-
vs Similar (7)35.339.474.7-4.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.134.976.0+6.265%-
This opponent (Bosco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BoscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H14/10
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A22/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H29/10
Premijer liga
Alkar
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A04/11
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#12
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A18/11
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A25/11
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#3
L
24-44
24
44
-20
H29/11
Croatian Cup
Split
#2
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A03/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/12
Premijer liga
84.0Avg total
36.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.847.785.5-9.923%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.846.984.8-9.125%-
Last 30 away (14)37.848.586.3-10.721%-
Last 10 (10)36.447.684.0-11.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.050.884.8-16.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.546.984.4-9.425%-
vs Similar (5)42.052.094.0-10.020%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dubrovnik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.016.4
49.7%
53.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.3
28.9%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
73.4%14.9
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boscotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bosco: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.6
50.3%
53.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.0
35.1%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws13.79.1
66.4%
73.4%9.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dubrovnik
LWLWLLWLWL
Bosco
LLLLLLWLLL
#8
League position
#13
-13.5
Net rating
-24.8
99.9
Offensive rating
93.9
113.4
Defensive rating
118.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
18.9%
Turnover %
22.2%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.9%
3-point %
35.1%
58.7%
Assist %
63.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.9 · 93.9Defence113.4 · 118.7Shooting46.8% · 51.3%3-point %28.9% · 35.1%Ball care18.9% · 22.2%Off. rebounds30.7% · 21.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Dubrovnik   ■ Bosco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Dubrovnik wins
5
Bosco wins
DateGameScore
07/10/23Bosco v Dubrovnik54-101
07/05/22Bosco v Dubrovnik89-68
09/04/22Dubrovnik v Bosco85-89
22/02/22Dubrovnik v Bosco95-73
09/10/21Bosco v Dubrovnik82-69
27/03/21Dubrovnik v Bosco63-81
07/01/21Bosco v Dubrovnik89-75
Dubrovniklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23AZabok79-92
02/12/23ASkrljevo86-72
29/11/23AZadar56-84
25/11/23HAlkar78-75
19/11/23AZadar59-98
11/11/23HCibona77-84
04/11/23ADubrava78-74 OT
28/10/23HDinamo Zagreb80-90
20/10/23HGKK Sibenka76-72
15/10/23ACedevita Junior73-87
Boscolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/23HCedevita Junior67-104
03/12/23ASplit54-104
29/11/23HDubrava48-90
25/11/23AGKK Sibenka77-98
18/11/23AZabok78-104
11/11/23HSkrljevo88-91
04/11/23AAlkar95-83
29/10/23HZadar78-81
22/10/23ACibona69-84
14/10/23HDubrava90-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dubrovnik
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.675.879.3
Allowed / game77.876.079.5
Point differential-0.2-0.2-0.2
Avg total155.3151.8158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Bosco
Premijer liga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %8%0%14%
Points / game73.875.472.6
Allowed / game97.597.297.7
Point differential-23.8-21.8-25.1
Avg total171.2172.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1312192%90.172.6+17.5
2 Split1311285%85.667.6+18.0
3 Cibona1210283%78.173.0+5.1
4 Dinamo Zagreb139469%83.271.5+11.6
5 Cedevita Junior138562%84.579.7+4.8
6 Dubrovnik126650%77.677.8-0.2
7 Zabok135838%82.784.5-1.8
8 GKK Sibenka135838%79.182.8-3.7
9 Dubrava134931%79.484.4-5.0
10 Alkar123925%73.584.5-11.0
11 Skrljevo1321115%78.492.2-13.8
12 Bosco121118%73.897.5-23.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dubrovnik21422619108
Bosco1522193187
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