Zadar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 84-56

19-15 23-18 23-6 19-17

Position#1

Record-

FormLWWLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Zadar 🏆

Dubrovnik

Position#15

Record-

FormLWLLW

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Croatian Cup· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica

Other2023-24

Meetings · Zadar v Dubrovnik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dubrovnik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zadar

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormZadar

Date

Competition

Cibona

#12

91-64

+27

85avg 79

H27/10

ABA League

Bosco

#13

81-78

70avg 79

A29/10

Premijer liga

Split

88-80

88avg 79

H02/11

Premijer liga

Mega Basket

81-91

-10

73avg 79

A05/11

ABA League

Cedevita Junior

89-68

+21

91avg 79

H09/11

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

74-81

-7

67avg 79

H12/11

ABA League

Split

82-75

80avg 79

A17/11

ABA League

Dubrovnik

98-59

+39

99avg 79

H19/11

Premijer liga

Igokea

94-100 OT

100

-6

91avg 79

A24/11

ABA League

Dinamo Zagreb

78-65

+13

79avg 79

A26/11

Premijer liga

21-21

24-14

27-13

19-16

21-20

18-25

25-17

17-16

28-23

16-19

15-21

29-17

17-26

18-25

26-15

20-25

26-16

24-22

29-18

10-12

24-23

19-22

11-25

20-11

16-14

19-28

25-14

22-19

23-13

28-16

25-21

22-9

25-19

27-17

17-27

14-20

24-11

19-28

20-18

15-8

161.7Avg total

85.6Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	85.6	76.1	161.7	+9.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	76.0	161.2	+9.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.0	86.0	156.0	-16.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	88.2	80.9	169.1	+7.3	67%
vs Weaker (18)	88.8	70.9	159.7	+17.9	94%

Dubrovnik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormDubrovnik

Date

Competition

Zabok

72-59

+13

64avg 68

H30/09

Premijer liga

Bosco

#13

101-54

101

+47

107avg 68

A07/10

Premijer liga

Split

72-76

-4

61avg 68

H12/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

73-87

-14

59avg 68

A15/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

#10

76-72

72avg 68

H20/10

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

80-90

-10

69avg 68

H28/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

78-74 OT

no box

A04/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

77-84

-7

70avg 68

H11/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

59-98

-39

46avg 68

A19/11

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

78-75

58avg 68

H25/11

Premijer liga

17-17

19-15

13-14

23-13

24-21

33-14

19-11

25-8

18-20

16-16

21-17

17-23

20-33

13-25

24-14

16-15

20-16

22-16

12-24

22-16

23-23

23-22

18-24

16-21

19-20

10-23

23-11

19-17

19-18

22-33

17-17

19-16

13-23

16-28

21-25

9-22

13-24

24-21

22-18

19-12

153.5Avg total

76.6Scored

76.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	76.6	76.9	153.5	-0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.4	84.2	158.6	-9.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	72.2	87.0	159.2	-14.8	0%
vs Similar (7)	73.0	68.4	141.4	+4.6	86%
vs Weaker (18)	82.8	68.6	151.4	+14.2	89%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZadarDubrovnik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	17.9	40.3	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.8	17.3	40.1	+5.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.9	76%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.6	41.1	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	16.0	38.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	21.7	39.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	19.8	41.6	+2.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.6	16.3	39.9	+7.3	94%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	19.6	39.4	+0.2	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.5	40.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	23.4	42.0	-4.8	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.0	40.9	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	16.5	40.0	+7.1	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	20.9	41.6	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	21.6	42.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.2	44.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.3	19.0	42.3	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.7	18.8	40.4	+2.9	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.7	38.6	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.3	41.1	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	25.4	44.4	-6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	24.8	42.8	-6.8	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	19.9	37.7	-2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.2	16.6	37.8	+4.6	72%	-

ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cibona

#12

45-35

+10

H27/10

ABA League

Bosco

#13

39-45

-6

A29/10

Premijer liga

Split

44-42

H02/11

Premijer liga

Mega Basket

35-51

-16

A05/11

ABA League

Cedevita Junior

50-38

+12

H09/11

Premijer liga

Crvena zvezda

43-45

-2

H12/11

ABA League

Split

35-42

-7

A17/11

ABA League

Dubrovnik

51-29

+22

H19/11

Premijer liga

Igokea

52-36

+16

A24/11

ABA League

Dinamo Zagreb

43-39

A26/11

Premijer liga

83.9Avg total

43.7Scored

40.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.4	36.9	81.2	+7.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	46.3	33.8	80.1	+12.5	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	42.9	39.2	82.1	+3.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.7	40.2	83.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	38.2	83.0	+6.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	42.0	78.7	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.1	38.8	83.9	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (18)	45.3	35.1	80.3	+10.2	78%	-

DubrovnikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zabok

36-32

H30/09

Premijer liga

Bosco

#13

57-35

+22

A07/10

Premijer liga

Split

34-36

-2

H12/10

Premijer liga

Cedevita Junior

33-58

-25

A15/10

Premijer liga

GKK Sibenka

#10

42-32

+10

H20/10

Premijer liga

Dinamo Zagreb

46-45

H28/10

Premijer liga

Dubrava

29-43

-14

A04/11

Premijer liga

Cibona

41-51

-10

H11/11

Premijer liga

Zadar

29-51

-22

A19/11

Premijer liga

Alkar

#11

37-45

-8

H25/11

Premijer liga

81.2Avg total

38.4Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.7	76.6	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.9	37.4	77.4	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.7	38.0	75.7	-0.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	42.8	81.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	47.0	83.4	-10.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	36.6	48.2	84.8	-11.6	20%	-
vs Similar (7)	35.7	37.0	72.7	-1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (18)	40.8	35.1	75.8	+5.7	61%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.9	40.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	25.3	40.0	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.7	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.9	37.5	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	15.9	35.6	+3.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	20.2	39.8	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.5	36.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	16.6	35.3	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	19.8	18.1	37.8	+1.7	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.8	18.2	39.9	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	15.3	34.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	13.4	32.0	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.7	16.7	38.4	+5.1	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	15.9	35.9	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	14.7	35.3	+5.9	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	16.3	34.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.6	34.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.4	19.4	34.8	-4.0	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	14.4	32.0	+3.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	22.3	15.5	37.8	+6.8	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.7	79.1	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.3	36.3	78.6	+6.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.7	38.7	79.4	+2.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	34.2	75.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	34.4	72.6	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.3	44.0	77.3	-10.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.8	39.2	79.0	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (18)	43.6	35.8	79.4	+7.7	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	33.8	73.5	+5.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	32.9	72.1	+6.3	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	34.9	75.1	+5.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.8	71.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.6	73.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.6	38.8	74.4	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.3	31.0	67.3	+5.3	71%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.1	33.6	75.6	+8.5	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game

49%

37%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.4	56.4%	52.6%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.4	33.3%	35.7%	31.2
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.6	75.3%	73.6%	14.6

They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Dubrovniktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dubrovnik: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game

49%

37%

14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	18.8	52.3%	52.6%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	8.3	28.6%	35.7%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.2	74.4%	73.6%	13.2

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	17.4	52.6%	52.6%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	10.1	34.0%	35.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	13.1	10.0	76.3%	73.6%	10.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.9	17.9	59.9%	52.6%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.1	34.2%	35.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	14.2	10.2	71.9%	73.6%	10.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	18.1	55.3%	52.6%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.0	32.3%	35.7%	29.9
🏀 Free throws	22.5	16.9	74.9%	73.6%	16.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	18.7	51.2%	52.6%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.7	9.6	34.7%	35.7%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	16.3	12.3	75.3%	73.6%	12.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	29.9	17.9	59.9%	52.6%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.6	10.1	34.2%	35.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	14.2	10.2	71.9%	73.6%	10.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Zadar

WLWWLWLWWW

Dubrovnik

WLLWLWLLWW

League position

#15

+12.5

Net rating

-0.8

111.7

Offensive rating

103.3

99.1

Defensive rating

104.0

53.4%

Effective FG%

48.1%

51.8%

Opp. effective FG%

55.6%

17.2%

Turnover %

17.5%

32.8%

Off. rebound %

31.5%

0.30

Free-throw rate

0.27

33.3%

3-point %

28.6%

72.1%

Assist %

61.9%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Zadar ■ Dubrovnik

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zadar wins

Dubrovnik wins

Date	Game	Score
19/11/23	Zadar v Dubrovnik	98-59
06/03/12	Dubrovnik v Zadar	56-103
02/12/11	Zadar v Dubrovnik	101-64
06/05/09	Zadar v Dubrovnik	128-74
03/05/09	Dubrovnik v Zadar	81-101

Zadarlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/23	A	Dinamo Zagreb	78-65
24/11/23	A	Igokea	94-100 OT
19/11/23	H	Dubrovnik	98-59
17/11/23	A	Split	82-75
12/11/23	H	Crvena zvezda	74-81
09/11/23	H	Cedevita Junior	89-68
05/11/23	A	Mega Basket	81-91
02/11/23	H	Split	88-80
29/10/23	A	Bosco	81-78
27/10/23	H	Cibona	91-64

Dubrovniklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	H	Alkar	78-75
19/11/23	A	Zadar	59-98
11/11/23	H	Cibona	77-84
04/11/23	A	Dubrava	78-74 OT
28/10/23	H	Dinamo Zagreb	80-90
20/10/23	H	GKK Sibenka	76-72
15/10/23	A	Cedevita Junior	73-87
12/10/23	H	Split	72-76
07/10/23	A	Bosco	101-54
30/09/23	H	Zabok	72-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar

Croatian Cup 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Dubrovnik

Croatian Cup 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Dubrava	1	1	0	100%	90.0	48.0	+42.0
2	Kvarner	1	1	0	100%	88.0	85.0	+3.0
3	Osijek	1	1	0	100%	81.0	78.0	+3.0
4	Alkar	1	0	1	0%	78.0	81.0	-3.0
5	Samobor	1	0	1	0%	85.0	88.0	-3.0
6	Bosco	1	0	1	0%	48.0	90.0	-42.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zadar	19	23	23	19	84
Dubrovnik	15	18	6	17	56

← all games of the day

Zadar vs Dubrovnik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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