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Duke vs Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 67-66
36-24 31-42
Position#8
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.9
Allowed / game58.8
Duke 🏆
USA
vs
Position#28
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Duke winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
95-54
95
54
+41
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
114-59
114
59
+55
A12/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H19/11
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
100-42
100
42
+58
H22/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
93-56
93
56
+37
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
46-37
39-28
34-28
33-42
32-33
43-27
45-21
50-33
49-30
65-29
51-32
49-30
41-33
37-33
47-19
53-23
52-18
41-38
41-35
39-36
149.2Avg total
88.7Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.958.8150.6+33.1100%
Season at home (6)90.256.7146.8+33.5100%
Season away (2)97.065.0162.0+32.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.760.5149.2+28.290%
Last 5 (5)90.259.4149.6+30.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)86.963.7150.5+23.293%
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
104-64
104
64
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H12/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H17/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
80-45
80
45
+35
H22/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
90-78
90
78
+12
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
44-42
38-46
41-27
28-31
37-32
46-50
41-43
52-28
52-36
37-40
41-36
39-29
43-39
44-17
36-28
44-39
36-45
45-39
45-39
155.2Avg total
82.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.972.6158.4+13.371%
Season at home (6)85.769.2154.8+16.583%
Season away (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)82.972.3155.2+10.680%
Last 5 (5)82.070.2152.2+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.076.7158.7+5.383%
vs Weaker (24)84.971.3156.2+13.688%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +15.2+15.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +13.0+13.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
-19-10+0+10+191st half1st half: +15.2+15.21st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +13.0+13.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
DukeFlorida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#34
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/03
NCAA
Houston
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H06/04
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H08/11
NCAA
Army
#318
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A12/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H22/11
NCAA
Howard
#55
W
52-18
52
18
+34
H23/11
NCAA
Arkansas
#36
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A28/11
NCAA
72.4Avg total
43.8Scored
28.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.830.373.1+12.587%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.829.572.2+13.280%-
Last 30 away (10)43.031.974.9+11.1100%-
Last 10 (10)43.828.672.4+15.290%-
Last 5 (5)46.427.473.8+19.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)42.830.373.1+12.587%-
This opponent (Florida) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#33
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/03
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A05/04
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A08/04
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A04/11
NCAA
North Florida
#361
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H07/11
NCAA
Florida State
#167
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H17/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
44-17
44
17
+27
H22/11
NCAA
TCU
#77
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H27/11
NCAA
Providence
#246
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H28/11
NCAA
76.9Avg total
41.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.034.874.8+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (20)42.532.875.3+9.785%-
Last 30 away (10)35.038.773.7-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)41.335.676.9+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.832.874.6+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.040.080.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (24)40.033.573.5+6.567%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Duke wins
0
Florida wins
No previous meetings.
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25AArkansas80-71
23/11/25HHoward93-56
22/11/25HNiagara100-42
19/11/25HKansas78-66
15/11/25HIndiana State100-62
12/11/25AArmy114-59
08/11/25HWestern Carolina95-54
05/11/25HTexas75-60
06/04/25HHouston67-70
30/03/25HAlabama85-65
Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HProvidence90-78
27/11/25HTCU80-84
22/11/25HMerrimack Warriors80-45
17/11/25HMiami (FL)82-68
12/11/25HFlorida State78-76
07/11/25HNorth Florida104-64
04/11/25AArizona87-93
08/04/25AHouston65-63
05/04/25AAuburn79-73
29/03/25HTexas Tech84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Duke
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.990.297.0
Allowed / game58.856.765.0
Point differential+33.1+33.5+32.0
Avg total150.6146.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %71%83%0%
Points / game85.985.787.0
Allowed / game72.669.293.0
Point differential+13.3+16.5-6.0
Avg total158.4154.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisville770100%96.763.0+33.7
2 Duke880100%91.958.8+33.1
3 SMU Mustangs880100%92.074.0+18.0
4 Clemson87188%85.263.8+21.5
5 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
6 North Carolina76186%83.365.7+17.6
7 California76186%84.469.6+14.9
8 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
9 Miami (FL)86275%86.665.4+21.2
10 Virginia86275%83.472.4+11.0
11 NC State75271%93.676.6+17.0
12 Florida State75271%88.373.9+14.4
13 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Notre Dame85362%75.467.2+8.1
16 Georgia Tech85362%71.567.5+4.0
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College84450%70.565.6+4.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 LSU770100%94.368.3+26.0
2 Missouri880100%92.968.1+24.8
3 Vanderbilt880100%97.973.5+24.4
4 Georgia87188%99.071.0+28.0
5 Tennessee97278%83.065.0+18.0
6 Texas A&M97278%92.275.1+17.1
7 Texas86275%90.971.9+19.0
8 Auburn86275%88.574.6+13.9
9 Oklahoma86275%86.573.6+12.9
10 Kentucky75271%89.963.1+26.7
11 Arkansas75271%88.171.6+16.6
12 Alabama75271%95.682.0+13.6
13 Florida75271%85.972.6+13.3
14 Ole Miss75271%79.167.7+11.4
15 South Carolina85362%81.072.0+9.0
16 Mississippi St.74357%82.079.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Duke363167
Florida244266
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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