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Dziki Warszawa vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 19 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 93-85 (OT)
19-19 17-22 18-19 20-14 19-11
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#16
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game90.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 5· Hala Sportowa Kolo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Dziki Warszawa v Lancut
19 Oct 2023
DWA93
LANC85
24 Apr 2022
DWA62
LANC66
23 Apr 2022
DWA85
LANC58
30 Oct 2021
DWA58
LANC71
30 Jan 2021
DWA74
LANC96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dziki Warszawa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dziki WarszawaPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarszawa
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
no box
H30/04
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
no box
A06/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A07/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
A13/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
W
72-57
72
57
+15
no box
A14/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
W
66-62
66
62
+4
no box
H20/05
1 Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
86-65
86
65
+21
84avg 73
H23/09
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 73
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
62-61
62
61
+1
58avg 73
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
76avg 73
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
18-21
23-22
22-13
22-34
31-24
18-17
16-21
22-17
4-18
25-17
23-20
13-24
19-17
20-16
21-9
15-12
18-11
18-20
21-14
19-14
14-18
22-15
11-15
19-10
22-19
22-18
23-18
17-16
23-18
20-14
20-24
10-14
19-14
15-20
18-13
19-18
23-25
22-22
21-31
149.1Avg total
77.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.273.5151.8+4.875%
Season at home (1)86.065.0151.0+21.0100%
Season away (3)75.776.3152.0-0.767%
Last 10 (10)77.172.0149.1+5.180%
Last 5 (5)75.871.2147.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.580.5166.0+5.050%
vs Similar (13)73.068.5141.5+4.577%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.073.0158.0+12.087%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
no box
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
no box
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 68
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 68
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 68
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
no box
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
20-17
14-27
29-14
17-18
21-27
21-21
22-18
23-28
21-17
17-19
14-23
24-16
22-17
22-20
18-21
20-18
18-21
20-28
21-16
25-27
14-20
22-16
15-12
25-21
24-25
20-21
10-18
18-25
18-28
14-20
14-15
20-19
23-26
20-31
20-23
16-28
26-16
18-18
21-19
163.0Avg total
79.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.590.2168.8-11.80%
Season at home (2)76.088.5164.5-12.50%
Season away (2)81.092.0173.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)79.283.8163.0-4.630%
Last 5 (5)78.087.2165.2-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)76.482.1158.5-5.735%
vs Similar (13)78.778.5157.2+0.238%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
Dziki WarszawaLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dziki WarszawaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
HydroTruck Radom
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/04
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A06/05
1 Liga
HydroTruck Radom
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A07/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A13/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A14/05
1 Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#2
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H20/05
1 Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H23/09
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A11/10
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A15/10
Energa Basket Liga
73.1Avg total
37.0Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.477.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.079.4+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)36.238.874.9-2.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.173.1+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.270.2+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.536.077.5+5.550%-
vs Similar (13)36.138.274.2-2.146%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.438.979.3+1.540%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/04
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#11
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A06/04
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A15/04
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#7
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H20/04
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#5
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H27/04
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A03/05
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
84.3Avg total
41.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.279.0-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.837.174.8+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)39.642.582.1-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.084.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)41.847.088.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)40.241.581.8-1.347%-
vs Similar (13)36.938.475.3-1.531%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Dziki Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dziki Warszawatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dziki Warszawa: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.8
51.0%
53.6%39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.87.5
38.0%
34.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws25.515.2
59.8%
73.2%15.2
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.7
51.7%
53.6%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.04.3
20.6%
34.7%13.0
🏀 Free throws25.319.7
77.6%
73.2%19.7
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dziki Warszawa
LWWWWWWWLW
Lancut
LLLLWLWLLW
#8
League position
#16
+5.8
Net rating
-20.5
106.2
Offensive rating
94.6
100.4
Defensive rating
115.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
44.5%
44.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.42
38.0%
3-point %
20.6%
59.6%
Assist %
68.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 94.6Defence100.4 · 115.1Shooting53.0% · 44.5%3-point %38.0% · 20.6%Ball care18.4% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.2% · 21.9%Free throws0.44 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Dziki Warszawa   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dziki Warszawa wins
6
Lancut wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23ATrefl Sopot85-96
11/10/23ALegia62-61
06/10/23ATorun80-72
23/09/23HOstrow Wielkopolski86-65
20/05/23HGornik Walbrzych66-62
14/05/23AGornik Walbrzych72-57
13/05/23AGornik Walbrzych73-66
07/05/23AHydroTruck Radom74-72
06/05/23AHydroTruck Radom87-96
30/04/23HHydroTruck Radom86-73
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HZielona Gora88-89 OT
08/10/23ALublin83-99
30/09/23HAnwil Wloclawek64-88
24/09/23ASzczecin79-85
03/05/23ASlask Wroclaw76-75
27/04/23HSpojnia Stargard79-83
20/04/23HZielona Gora86-74
15/04/23AOstrow Wielkopolski75-87
06/04/23AGdynia81-84
01/04/23HTrefl Sopot81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dziki Warszawa
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game78.286.075.7
Allowed / game73.565.076.3
Point differential+4.8+21.0-0.7
Avg total151.8151.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game78.576.081.0
Allowed / game90.288.592.0
Point differential-11.8-12.5-11.0
Avg total168.8164.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek440100%91.078.8+12.2
2 Szczecin43175%95.282.0+13.2
3 Spojnia Stargard43175%80.874.0+6.8
4 Dabrowa Gornicza43175%97.091.2+5.8
5 Dziki Warszawa43175%78.273.5+4.8
6 Lublin43175%92.588.2+4.2
7 Legia42250%79.574.2+5.2
8 Ostrow Wielkopolski42250%80.576.8+3.8
9 Trefl Sopot42250%87.285.8+1.5
10 Slask Wroclaw42250%77.079.8-2.8
11 Torun42250%81.284.5-3.2
12 Gdynia41325%82.086.5-4.5
13 Zielona Gora41325%80.090.0-10.0
14 Czarni Slupsk41325%75.587.5-12.0
15 Lancut4040%78.590.2-11.8
16 GTK Gliwice4040%77.891.0-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Dziki Warszawa191718201993
Lancut192219141185
← all games of the day
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