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East Carolina vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 61-64
27-25 34-39
Position#220
Record10-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game67.9
vs
Position#148
Record10-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game60.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · East Carolina v UCF Knights
04 Jan 2023
EAST61
UCF 64
18 Jan 2022
EAST85
UCF 92
04 Mar 2021
EAST60
UCF 64
06 Feb 2020
EAST64
UCF 68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H23/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
50-71
50
71
-21
A27/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H30/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H03/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H11/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#244
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H21/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H29/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
42-36
30-31
20-40
35-39
33-34
41-26
38-43
24-36
37-38
37-42
47-33
37-18
27-38
32-18
28-31
23-22
34-37
39-35
40-34
134.1Avg total
68.1Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)71.967.9139.8+3.967%
Season at home (9)73.766.1139.8+7.678%
Season away (6)69.270.7139.8-1.550%
Last 10 (10)68.166.0134.1+2.160%
Last 5 (5)68.861.6130.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.872.9137.7-8.127%
vs Similar (12)68.269.7137.9-1.450%
vs Weaker (7)72.064.4136.4+7.686%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H24/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H04/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
75-49
75
49
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A15/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H17/12
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H22/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H29/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
25-16
32-34
35-30
41-26
26-32
38-34
33-31
37-39
30-27
45-22
36-26
36-35
36-35
30-33
38-32
35-26
26-23
26-22
31-39
34-32
128.1Avg total
68.0Scored
60.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.560.4129.9+9.171%
Season at home (11)70.559.8130.4+10.773%
Season away (3)65.762.7128.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)68.060.1128.1+7.970%
Last 5 (5)65.660.6126.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.075.4134.4-16.40%
vs Similar (16)71.467.3138.8+4.169%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)68.158.9127.0+9.278%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +5.1+5.1
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.9+3.91st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: +5.1+5.1
East CarolinaUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UT Arlington
#300
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A27/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H30/11
NCAA
Campbell
#225
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H03/12
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#58
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#344
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H11/12
NCAA
South Carolina
#308
W
37-18
37
18
+19
A17/12
NCAA
High Point
#244
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Temple
#210
W
23-22
23
22
+1
H29/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A31/12
NCAA
63.1Avg total
33.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.233.564.6-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.232.664.8-0.438%-
Last 30 away (14)30.034.564.5-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)33.529.663.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.627.060.6+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.736.566.3-6.818%-
vs Similar (12)31.330.862.2+0.542%-
vs Weaker (7)33.133.166.3+0.043%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#53
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Tarleton
#183
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#292
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A15/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H17/12
NCAA
Stetson
#146
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H22/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A31/12
NCAA
60.7Avg total
31.6Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.230.661.8+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.228.361.5+4.979%-
Last 30 away (11)27.834.562.3-6.618%-
Last 10 (10)31.629.160.7+2.580%-
Last 5 (5)33.431.064.4+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)27.436.263.6-8.80%-
vs Similar (16)30.330.560.8-0.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)35.027.662.6+7.478%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
East Carolina wins
7
UCF Knights wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AWichita State79-69
29/12/22HTemple57-59
21/12/22HHigh Point60-49
17/12/22ASouth Carolina64-56
11/12/22HCoppin State84-75
07/12/22ANC Wilmington61-74
03/12/22HCampbell79-69
30/11/22HSouth Carolina St68-73
27/11/22AOld Dominion50-71
23/11/22HUT Arlington79-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22AHouston65-71
29/12/22HWichita State52-45
22/12/22HStetson73-58
17/12/22HMissouri66-68
15/12/22AOle Miss72-61
11/12/22HTarleton75-49
04/12/22HSamford80-77 OT
27/11/22HMiami (FL)64-66
24/11/22HEvansville76-56
21/11/22HSanta Clara57-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeLWWWL78%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%78%50%
Points / game71.973.769.2
Allowed / game67.966.170.7
Point differential+3.9+7.6-1.5
Avg total139.8139.8139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14113
Win %71%73%67%
Points / game69.570.565.7
Allowed / game60.459.862.7
Point differential+9.1+10.7+3.0
Avg total129.9130.4128.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %21%18%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida Atlantic1312192%78.561.2+17.4
2 UAB1412286%86.669.2+17.4
3 Rice1411379%82.672.6+9.9
4 North Texas1411379%61.752.1+9.6
5 Charlotte1411379%69.660.6+9.1
6 Memphis1511473%78.771.0+7.7
7 East Carolina1510567%71.967.9+3.9
8 Tulane138562%79.872.7+7.2
9 Temple158753%68.968.2+0.7
10 Wichita State147750%64.861.1+3.7
11 South Florida147750%71.068.2+2.8
12 UTSA Roadrunners146843%68.974.3-5.4
13 Tulsa134931%67.474.5-7.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston1514193%75.050.9+24.1
2 Arizona1413193%88.772.8+15.9
3 Kansas State1413193%78.564.9+13.6
4 Kansas1413193%77.965.1+12.8
5 TCU1312192%78.161.2+16.8
6 Iowa State1210283%71.457.3+14.1
7 Arizona State1411379%71.864.4+7.4
8 Baylor1310377%79.366.3+13.0
9 Utah Utes1511473%73.561.0+12.5
10 Texas Tech1410471%79.563.6+15.9
11 West Virginia1410471%79.467.5+11.9
12 UCF Knights1410471%69.560.4+9.1
13 Brigham Young1712571%75.868.0+7.8
14 Cincinnati1510567%79.669.2+10.4
15 Oklahoma State149564%71.061.9+9.1
16 Colorado159660%76.169.9+6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Carolina273461
UCF Knights253964
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