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East Carolina vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 60-64
28-36 32-28
Position#238
Record8-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game67.1
vs
Position#199
Record9-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game67.4
Allowed / game70.2
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Meetings · East Carolina v UCF Knights
04 Jan 2023
EAST61
UCF 64
18 Jan 2022
EAST85
UCF 92
04 Mar 2021
EAST60
UCF 64
06 Feb 2020
EAST64
UCF 68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#92
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
68-58
68
58
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A02/01
NCAA
South Florida
#244
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H09/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A06/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
56-71
56
71
-15
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-25
40-39
32-25
36-33
24-28
32-32
26-25
37-44
18-49
35-31
25-42
39-29
35-37
33-40
37-40
45-33
26-35
33-31
24-30
32-41
133.1Avg total
64.2Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)67.467.1134.4+0.350%
Season at home (11)70.768.1138.8+2.664%
Season away (5)60.064.8124.8-4.820%
Last 10 (10)64.268.9133.1-4.730%
Last 5 (5)65.871.6137.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)64.673.5138.1-8.922%
vs Similar ◀ (9)68.365.7134.0+2.756%
vs Weaker (3)75.766.0141.7+9.767%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#39
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H13/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A14/02
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
81-65
81
65
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
84-81
84
81
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
38-34
39-43
29-52
40-44
23-30
38-45
34-25
31-33
30-36
30-25
29-30
24-19
34-35
34-34
39-31
42-34
36-37
48-44
37-21
36-48
141.8Avg total
70.2Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)67.470.2137.7-2.845%
Season at home (10)66.063.2129.2+2.870%
Season away (10)68.877.3146.1-8.520%
Last 10 (10)70.271.6141.8-1.450%
Last 5 (5)71.866.6138.4+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)66.275.2141.4-9.123%
vs Similar ◀ (14)67.666.6134.1+1.064%
vs Weaker (3)78.767.0145.7+11.767%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -5.6-5.61st half: -0.2-0.22nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -0.7-0.7
East CarolinaUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H22/12
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
24-28
24
28
-4
A02/01
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H09/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
18-49
18
49
-31
H24/01
NCAA
UCF Knights
#199
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H03/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A06/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#62
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H08/02
NCAA
61.6Avg total
28.0Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.533.864.3-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.432.464.7+0.053%-
Last 30 away (13)28.235.663.8-7.523%-
Last 10 (10)28.033.661.6-5.630%-
Last 5 (5)29.436.866.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)28.435.463.8-6.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.731.464.1+1.256%-
vs Weaker (3)36.731.067.7+5.7100%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#39
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A30/01
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A02/02
NCAA
Memphis
#73
L
23-30
23
30
-7
A04/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H06/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#39
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#169
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A14/02
NCAA
South Florida
#244
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/02
NCAA
Tulane
#233
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#198
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H03/03
NCAA
66.0Avg total
32.9Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.831.763.5+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.027.961.9+6.167%-
Last 30 away (15)29.535.565.1-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)32.933.166.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.030.865.8+4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)29.834.364.2-4.531%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.330.062.3+2.343%-
vs Weaker (3)37.728.366.0+9.3100%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
East Carolina wins
3
UCF Knights wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/21HSMU Mustangs56-71
06/02/21AMemphis59-66
03/02/21HHouston82-73
30/01/21HTulsa68-77
28/01/21AUCF Knights64-71
24/01/21HMemphis53-80
09/01/21HSouth Florida63-69
02/01/21ATulane56-60
22/12/20HTulane68-58
19/12/20HJames Madison73-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/21HTulsa73-69
20/02/21ATulane84-81
18/02/21HSouth Florida81-65
14/02/21ACincinnati68-69
13/02/21HTulane53-49
11/02/21HWichita State60-61
06/02/21HTulsa65-58
04/02/21AMemphis61-75
02/02/21AMemphis69-96
30/01/21AWichita State88-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Carolina
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLLLWL64%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %50%64%20%
Points / game67.470.760.0
Allowed / game67.168.164.8
Point differential+0.3+2.6-4.8
Avg total134.4138.8124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%9%0%
UCF Knights
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW45%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game67.466.068.8
Allowed / game70.263.277.3
Point differential-2.9+2.8-8.5
Avg total137.7129.2146.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wichita State1814478%72.968.1+4.8
2 UAB2519676%73.760.5+13.2
3 Memphis2115671%72.562.1+10.4
4 North Texas2013765%72.562.3+10.2
5 UTSA Roadrunners24141058%79.673.5+6.1
6 Florida Atlantic1910953%77.767.8+9.8
7 Rice23121152%75.474.8+0.6
8 Tulsa22111150%68.365.1+3.2
9 East Carolina168850%67.467.1+0.3
10 Tulane2191243%63.965.8-2.0
11 South Florida1981142%65.671.2-5.6
12 Charlotte2291341%63.365.7-2.5
13 Temple1551033%65.568.5-3.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor2120195%85.265.2+20.0
2 Houston2320387%77.657.3+20.3
3 Brigham Young2419579%78.667.3+11.3
4 Colorado2619773%74.063.3+10.7
5 West Virginia2518772%77.571.6+5.9
6 Oklahoma State2417771%76.272.0+4.3
7 Kansas2719870%73.365.9+7.4
8 Texas Tech2517868%73.362.3+11.0
9 Arizona2617965%75.468.6+6.8
10 TCU24121250%67.771.0-3.4
11 Arizona State21101148%76.276.4-0.1
12 Cincinnati1991047%69.272.1-2.8
13 Utah Utes22101245%69.268.2+1.0
14 UCF Knights2091145%67.470.2-2.9
15 Kansas State2671927%61.271.4-10.2
16 Iowa State222209%65.777.2-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Carolina283260
UCF Knights362864
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