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UCF Knights vs Tarleton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-49
30-27 45-22
Position#148
Record6-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game61.8
vs
Position#183
Record5-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UCF Knights v Tarleton
08 Dec 2024
UCF 66
TARL51
11 Dec 2022
UCF 75
TARL49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tarleton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H11/03
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A12/03
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
70-37
70
37
+33
H15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
W
60-56 OT
60
56
+4
A19/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
76-56
76
56
+20
H24/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H27/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
80-77 OT
80
77
+3
H04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
31-29
31-41
38-44
33-36
43-40
39-29
29-25
37-18
33-19
17-28
35-24
25-16
32-34
35-30
41-26
26-32
38-34
33-31
37-39
133.6Avg total
69.9Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.261.8133.0+9.575%
Season at home (7)72.962.6135.4+10.371%
Season away (1)60.056.0116.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.963.7133.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)67.461.0128.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)60.773.7134.3-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.869.1141.9+3.669%
vs Weaker (8)67.658.6126.2+9.075%
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#60
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
95-49
95
49
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-26
33-35
29-32
30-30
39-30
56-19
44-31
45-50
35-19
35-35
25-35
39-36
32-44
39-39
35-28
40-37
49-23
49-32
30-39
27-41
139.5Avg total
73.4Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.366.7142.0+8.756%
Season at home (4)83.060.0143.0+23.075%
Season away (5)69.272.0141.2-2.840%
Last 10 (10)73.466.1139.5+7.350%
Last 5 (5)73.070.8143.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)63.671.2134.9-7.621%
vs Similar ◀ (5)71.875.0146.8-3.240%
vs Weaker (10)71.655.9127.5+15.7100%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: +3.9+3.9
UCF KnightsTarleton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Florida
#332
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H11/03
NCAA
Memphis
#78
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A12/03
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H12/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
37-18
37
18
+19
H15/11
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#163
L
17-28
17
28
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#53
W
25-16
25
16
+9
H21/11
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H24/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H27/11
NCAA
Samford
#78
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H04/12
NCAA
59.5Avg total
30.5Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.730.361.0+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (19)33.728.862.6+4.974%-
Last 30 away (11)25.532.758.3-7.29%-
Last 10 (10)30.529.059.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)27.227.454.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)27.732.760.3-5.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)29.830.660.4-0.850%-
vs Weaker (8)34.927.862.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Tarleton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TarletonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Abilene Christian
#60
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Kansas Christian
#479
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Belmont
#79
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A18/11
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A21/11
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H30/11
NCAA
Wiley
#583
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Baylor
#67
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A07/12
NCAA
64.8Avg total
34.1Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.730.162.8+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.228.962.1+4.353%-
Last 30 away (15)32.231.363.5+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.130.764.8+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)34.233.868.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)29.133.362.4-4.221%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.435.470.8+0.040%-
vs Weaker (10)34.823.758.5+11.190%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UCF Knights wins
0
Tarleton wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/22HSamford80-77 OT
27/11/22HMiami (FL)64-66
24/11/22HEvansville76-56
21/11/22HSanta Clara57-50
19/11/22AOklahoma State60-56 OT
15/11/22HWestern Illinois70-37
12/11/22HFlorida State68-54
08/11/22HUNC Asheville95-98 OT
12/03/22AMemphis69-85
11/03/22HSouth Florida60-58
Tarletonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/22ABaylor57-80
03/12/22HWiley98-55
30/11/22HWeber State75-65
26/11/22AWichita State71-83
22/11/22HDrake64-71
21/11/22ABoston College70-54
18/11/22ABelmont89-81
11/11/22HKansas Christian95-49
08/11/22AArizona State59-62
06/03/22AAbilene Christian56-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UCF Knights
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games871
Win %75%71%100%
Points / game71.272.960.0
Allowed / game61.862.656.0
Point differential+9.5+10.3+4.0
Avg total133.0135.4116.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %38%29%100%
Tarleton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game75.383.069.2
Allowed / game66.760.072.0
Point differential+8.7+23.0-2.8
Avg total142.0143.0141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%75%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston109190%73.949.7+24.2
2 Kansas109190%79.465.6+13.8
3 Arizona State109190%72.159.8+12.3
4 Arizona98189%91.277.3+13.9
5 TCU98189%75.862.7+13.1
6 Kansas State98189%73.262.1+11.1
7 Utah Utes108280%74.558.6+15.9
8 West Virginia108280%80.565.4+15.1
9 Baylor97278%84.669.1+15.4
10 Iowa State97278%70.058.8+11.2
11 Texas Tech86275%72.561.0+11.5
12 UCF Knights86275%71.261.8+9.5
13 Oklahoma State96367%72.862.3+10.4
14 Cincinnati106460%79.270.1+9.1
15 Brigham Young116555%74.972.8+2.1
16 Colorado105550%73.568.4+5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Western Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California Baptist117464%65.061.5+3.5
2 Southern Utah106460%86.671.1+15.5
3 Utah Valley State106460%75.070.5+4.5
4 Tarleton95456%75.366.7+8.7
5 Abilene Christian116555%76.465.8+10.5
6 Utah Tech105550%74.073.6+0.4
7 UT Arlington114736%68.662.5+6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UCF Knights304575
Tarleton272249
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