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East Tennessee St vs Morehead State Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 29 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#288
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game65.3
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#242
Record2-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game81.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Morehead State
29 Nov 2026
EAST v MORE
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
EAST77
MORE62
11 Dec 2021
EAST82
MORE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
78-69
78
69
+9
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
83-76
83
76
+7
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#35
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
L
63-77
63
77
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
44-35
39-36
48-39
37-33
32-39
35-49
41-33
36-32
47-44
24-38
45-29
35-42
26-34
31-37
34-38
36-35
27-42
25-25
43-28
144.1Avg total
71.9Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.368.3133.7-3.033%
Season at home (1)68.053.0121.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)71.972.2144.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)65.269.6134.8-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)64.076.0140.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.476.2147.6-4.938%
vs Weaker (20)78.168.5146.6+9.675%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
73-70
73
70
+3
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
76-70
76
70
+6
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
67-93
67
93
-26
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#99
L
58-83
58
83
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#501
W
114-60
114
60
+54
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#152
L
57-107
57
107
-50
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
44-42
43-27
38-32
29-29
35-34
37-24
39-46
29-36
37-25
34-55
33-38
28-38
30-45
58-24
56-36
33-46
24-61
32-28
47-47
147.6Avg total
73.5Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.081.2158.2-4.250%
Season at home (2)96.567.5164.0+29.0100%
Season away (2)57.595.0152.5-37.50%
Last 10 (10)73.574.1147.6-0.670%
Last 5 (5)75.083.6158.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.281.1153.2-8.942%
vs Similar ◀ (9)69.672.2141.8-2.767%
vs Weaker (8)78.565.9144.4+12.688%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.3-2.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.9-2.91st half: +1.7+1.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.3-2.3
East Tennessee StMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A18/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H07/03
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H08/03
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/03
NCAA
Arizona State
#35
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A03/11
NCAA
NC State
#39
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
D
25-25
25
25
+0
H12/11
NCAA
69.3Avg total
33.2Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.769.6+0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.333.167.4+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.236.169.3-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)30.235.465.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.536.069.5-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)32.640.272.9-7.60%-
vs Weaker (20)36.032.368.3+3.870%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A20/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A21/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H25/02
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A27/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H07/03
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A08/03
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#99
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#501
W
58-24
58
24
+34
H05/11
NCAA
Louisville
#152
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#125
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H15/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.2Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.534.069.5+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.531.870.3+6.757%-
Last 30 away (16)32.935.968.9-3.038%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.568.7+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.038.275.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.638.071.6-4.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)32.733.766.3-1.044%-
vs Weaker (8)38.528.967.4+9.662%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
East Tennessee St wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCampbell68-53
07/11/26ANC State63-77
03/11/26AArizona State65-75
09/03/26HFurman61-76
08/03/26HWestern Carolina69-67
07/03/26HCitadel83-76
28/02/26AMercer76-82
26/02/26HWofford69-72
21/02/26ANC Greensboro87-75
18/02/26AFurman78-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HIU Indy79-75
07/11/26ALouisville57-107
05/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg114-60
03/11/26AWestern Kentucky58-83
08/03/26ATennessee State67-93
07/03/26HSoutheast Missouri State66-61
27/02/26AUALR76-70
25/02/26HSouthern Indiana64-63
21/02/26AWestern Illinois81-59
20/02/26AEastern Illinois73-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game65.368.064.0
Allowed / game68.353.076.0
Point differential-3.0+15.0-12.0
Avg total133.7121.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game77.096.557.5
Allowed / game81.267.595.0
Point differential-4.2+29.0-37.5
Avg total158.2164.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee Tech53260%93.878.8+15.0
2 Tennessee State42250%98.077.8+20.2
3 UT Martin42250%85.074.2+10.8
4 Southeast Missouri State42250%79.877.5+2.2
5 Morehead State42250%77.081.2-4.2
6 Lindenwood52340%82.069.8+12.2
7 Siu Edwardsville52340%71.672.8-1.2
8 Southern Indiana41325%78.066.5+11.5
9 Western Illinois41325%74.573.2+1.2
10 UALR41325%76.085.5-9.5
11 Eastern Illinois51420%70.081.2-11.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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