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Eastern Kentucky vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-76
40-36 40-40
Position#224
Record11-14
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#291
Record9-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.1
Allowed / game71.1
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Eastern Kentucky v Morehead State
07 Dec 2020
EAST71
MORE68
29 Feb 2020
EAST80
MORE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Eastern Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Eastern KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A26/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
99-86
99
86
+13
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
85-93
85
93
-8
A15/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
70-83
70
83
-13
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-36
39-38
57-37
42-49
34-31
36-26
37-38
54-46
30-28
45-55
42-37
36-34
32-46
53-47
53-29
30-33
30-42
40-41
29-29
33-45
156.0Avg total
79.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.078.4152.4-4.444%
Season at home (10)76.173.8149.9+2.360%
Season away (15)72.581.5154.0-8.933%
Last 10 (10)79.376.7156.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)75.676.6152.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)71.483.4154.9-12.021%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.873.5149.4+2.362%
vs Weaker (1)70.057.0127.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-43
29-29
48-36
42-38
33-31
52-46
16-15
42-34
30-40
35-31
37-42
34-36
32-45
25-40
25-34
42-46
37-39
29-24
28-35
30-32
138.4Avg total
66.8Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)67.171.1138.2-4.036%
Season at home (12)75.570.8146.2+4.867%
Season away (13)59.471.5130.8-12.18%
Last 10 (10)66.871.6138.4-4.840%
Last 5 (5)63.874.6138.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.178.2145.3-11.113%
vs Similar ◀ (12)68.268.6136.8-0.358%
vs Weaker (2)73.062.5135.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -5.2-5.22nd half2nd half: -0.6-0.62nd half: +0.4+0.4
Eastern KentuckyMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Eastern KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A26/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H31/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#291
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A15/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H21/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H23/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A28/02
NCAA
73.8Avg total
38.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.973.7-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.436.776.1+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)34.737.171.8-2.441%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.373.8+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.673.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)34.340.474.7-6.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.233.973.2+5.369%-
vs Weaker (1)34.031.065.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#242
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
16-15
16
15
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#193
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/02
NCAA
66.8Avg total
30.8Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.434.266.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.233.871.0+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)28.234.662.8-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)30.836.066.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.839.070.8-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)31.138.469.5-7.313%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)32.131.063.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker (2)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Eastern Kentucky) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Eastern Kentucky wins
0
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
14/02/20Morehead State v Eastern Kentucky71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/20AMurray State62-74
23/02/20HBelmont70-83
21/02/20HTennessee State83-62
15/02/20AAustin Peay85-93
14/02/20AMorehead State78-71
08/02/20ASiu Edwardsville75-83
07/02/20AEastern Illinois91-84
01/02/20HSoutheast Missouri State70-57
31/01/20HUT Martin99-86
26/01/20ATennessee Tech80-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/20AAustin Peay58-67
22/02/20HTennessee State66-63
21/02/20HBelmont67-80
15/02/20AMurray State57-85
14/02/20HEastern Kentucky71-78
08/02/20AEastern Illinois65-71
07/02/20ASiu Edwardsville58-49
01/02/20HUT Martin85-77
31/01/20HSoutheast Missouri State90-74
25/01/20AJacksonville State51-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Eastern Kentucky
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL44%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251015
Win %44%60%33%
Points / game74.076.172.5
Allowed / game78.473.881.5
Point differential-4.4+2.3-8.9
Avg total152.4149.9154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%67%8%
Points / game67.175.559.4
Allowed / game71.170.871.5
Point differential-4.0+4.8-12.1
Avg total138.2146.2130.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Austin Peay2619773%76.970.0+6.9
2 North Florida26161062%77.473.9+3.5
3 Lipscomb24131154%70.971.5-0.6
4 Stetson27131448%62.765.3-2.6
5 North Alabama24111346%68.468.5-0.2
6 Jacksonville25111444%66.866.3+0.6
7 Eastern Kentucky25111444%74.078.4-4.4
8 Central Arkansas2491538%76.981.6-4.7
9 Florida Gulf Coast2691735%61.565.0-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR2518772%74.169.6+4.5
2 Eastern Illinois26141254%73.970.5+3.4
3 Tennessee State26141254%70.372.3-2.0
4 Morehead State2591636%67.171.1-4.0
5 Tennessee Tech2481633%67.572.9-5.5
6 UT Martin2471729%74.481.7-7.3
7 Siu Edwardsville2662023%67.873.3-5.5
8 Western Illinois2251723%73.780.3-6.6
9 Southeast Missouri State2862221%65.874.0-8.2
10 Lindenwood2020%56.5106.5-50.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Eastern Kentucky404080
Morehead State364076
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