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Morehead State vs Tennessee State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 66-63
37-39 29-24
Position#291
Record8-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#193
Record13-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.8
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Morehead State v Tennessee State
14 Feb 2026
MORE94
TENN86
21 Dec 2024
MORE74
TENN68
06 Jan 2024
MORE78
TENN68
16 Feb 2023
MORE74
TENN64
24 Jan 2022
MORE67
TENN54
25 Feb 2021
MORE74
TENN60
22 Feb 2020
MORE66
TENN63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tennessee State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#30
L
59-77
59
77
-18
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
59-71
59
71
-12
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
71-78
71
78
-7
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
57-85
57
85
-28
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-35
26-42
29-38
30-33
22-43
29-29
48-36
42-38
33-31
52-46
16-15
42-34
30-40
35-31
37-42
34-36
32-45
25-40
25-34
42-46
139.6Avg total
66.2Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.671.7139.2-4.135%
Season at home (11)76.471.5147.8+4.964%
Season away (12)59.571.8131.3-12.38%
Last 10 (10)66.273.4139.6-7.230%
Last 5 (5)63.672.6136.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)67.779.0146.7-11.314%
vs Similar ◀ (11)68.569.1137.5-0.655%
vs Weaker (2)73.062.5135.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
88-92
88
92
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
74-99
74
99
-25
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
A02/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H09/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A14/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
70-55
70
55
+15
H16/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-49
43-43
43-52
31-47
29-32
35-44
28-31
44-31
29-36
32-25
37-36
33-32
29-33
36-40
28-34
23-40
30-21
40-34
29-53
33-30
143.7Avg total
68.8Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.873.3144.1-2.554%
Season at home (9)76.270.4146.7+5.878%
Season away (15)67.575.0142.5-7.540%
Last 10 (10)68.874.9143.7-6.140%
Last 5 (5)63.670.6134.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)66.376.4142.6-10.127%
vs Similar ◀ (8)71.667.8139.4+3.975%
vs Weaker (5)79.475.4154.8+4.080%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -1.6-1.6
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -1.6-1.6
Morehead StateTennessee State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#30
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A25/01
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#337
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H31/01
NCAA
UT Martin
#311
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#329
W
16-15
16
15
+1
A07/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#167
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H21/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
30.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.366.8-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.233.470.6+3.862%-
Last 30 away (17)28.934.963.9-6.024%-
Last 10 (10)30.535.966.4-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)28.035.263.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.438.670.0-7.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)31.630.361.9+1.455%-
vs Weaker (2)36.024.060.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Tennessee State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tennessee StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A24/01
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A26/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#242
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A02/02
NCAA
Austin Peay
#60
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Murray State
#47
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H09/02
NCAA
Belmont
#30
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#301
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H16/02
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#224
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A21/02
NCAA
70.4Avg total
32.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)32.833.065.8-0.341%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.529.464.9+6.170%-
Last 30 away (17)31.235.266.4-4.024%-
Last 10 (10)32.737.770.4-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)30.635.466.0-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.234.366.5-2.127%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.634.067.6-0.438%-
vs Weaker (5)37.034.471.4+2.660%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morehead State wins
1
Tennessee State wins
DateGameScore
17/01/20Tennessee State v Morehead State64-48
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/20HBelmont67-80
15/02/20AMurray State57-85
14/02/20HEastern Kentucky71-78
08/02/20AEastern Illinois65-71
07/02/20ASiu Edwardsville58-49
01/02/20HUT Martin85-77
31/01/20HSoutheast Missouri State90-74
25/01/20AJacksonville State51-72
24/01/20ATennessee Tech59-71
18/01/20ABelmont59-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/20AEastern Kentucky62-83
16/02/20HTennessee Tech70-55
14/02/20ABelmont51-74
09/02/20HMurray State65-73
07/02/20HAustin Peay70-68
02/02/20ATennessee Tech72-67 OT
31/01/20AJacksonville State72-62
26/01/20AMurray State64-76
24/01/20AAustin Peay74-99
18/01/20HEastern Kentucky88-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%64%8%
Points / game67.676.459.5
Allowed / game71.771.571.8
Point differential-4.1+4.9-12.3
Avg total139.2147.8131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tennessee State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeWLWLW78%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24915
Win %54%78%40%
Points / game70.876.267.5
Allowed / game73.370.475.0
Point differential-2.5+5.8-7.5
Avg total144.1146.7142.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)75% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UALR2215768%72.869.5+3.3
2 Tennessee State24131154%70.873.3-2.5
3 Eastern Illinois23111248%73.770.9+2.9
4 Morehead State2381535%67.671.7-4.1
5 Tennessee Tech2271532%67.573.8-6.2
6 UT Martin2161529%74.682.0-7.4
7 Western Illinois1951426%73.878.5-4.7
8 Southeast Missouri State2561924%65.273.7-8.4
9 Siu Edwardsville2351822%68.074.0-6.1
10 Lindenwood2020%56.5106.5-50.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State372966
Tennessee State392463
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