PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Eastern Michigan will host Detroit on 17 November 2026 in an NCAA contest that the Pythia model deems a clear favourite for the Eagles, rating them 86% to win largely because of their 2-1 record and a points per game advantage of 77.3 to 43.5, while Detroit struggles at 0-2 with 96.5 points allowed per game. Eastern Michigan has won both of its games in the season, scoring 77.3 and allowing 63.3 per game, and has a perfect 1-0 home record with a 108-44 win that shows their defensive potency; their last five games include two wins and three losses, with a recent 108-44 triumph over Great Lakes Christian. Detroit, meanwhile, has lost both games it has played, averaging 43.5 points and conceding 96.5, and its road record is 0-2 with a 43.5/96.5 average; the last five games also contain two wins and three losses, though all were away losses, including a 32-93 defeat to Marquette. In the five meetings between the clubs, Eastern Michigan has won four times, most recently 72-62 in November 2025. The Pythia model projects a 78-66 score, 144.8 total points, an 86% chance for the home team to win, a 14% chance for Detroit, and a 3% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 77.3 | 63.3 | 140.7 | +14.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 108.0 | 44.0 | 152.0 | +64.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 62.0 | 73.0 | 135.0 | -11.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.6 | 73.2 | 145.8 | -0.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 67.8 | 141.4 | +5.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 68.1 | 77.3 | 145.4 | -9.2 | 12% |
| vs Similar (9) | 70.1 | 72.8 | 142.9 | -2.7 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 78.0 | 59.0 | 137.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 43.5 | 96.5 | 140.0 | -53.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (2) | 43.5 | 96.5 | 140.0 | -53.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 70.2 | 77.4 | 147.6 | -7.2 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 60.8 | 77.2 | 138.0 | -16.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 68.0 | 79.5 | 147.5 | -11.5 | 38% |
| vs Similar (11) | 78.2 | 79.4 | 157.5 | -1.2 | 45% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 83.0 | 70.7 | 153.7 | +12.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.4 | 34.3 | 67.7 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 34.3 | 29.5 | 63.8 | +4.8 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 32.8 | 37.9 | 70.6 | -5.1 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.9 | 35.0 | 68.9 | -1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 32.2 | 66.8 | +2.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 30.8 | 37.7 | 68.5 | -6.9 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 35.2 | 31.3 | 66.6 | +3.9 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 35.3 | 28.7 | 64.0 | +6.7 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.2 | 34.6 | 69.9 | +0.6 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 39.2 | 33.7 | 72.9 | +5.5 | 77% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 32.2 | 35.4 | 67.5 | -3.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.6 | 34.3 | 66.9 | -1.7 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 27.8 | 34.0 | 61.8 | -6.2 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (13) | 31.5 | 35.5 | 67.0 | -4.1 | 54% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 36.9 | 35.9 | 72.8 | +1.0 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 40.3 | 30.3 | 70.7 | +10.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 62-72 |
| 01/12/24 | Eastern Michigan v Detroit | 89-98 OT |
| 22/11/23 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 72-76 |
| 18/12/22 | Eastern Michigan v Detroit | 79-77 |
| 07/12/19 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 51-55 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Great Lakes Christian | 108-44 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Xavier | 53-76 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Coastal Carolina | 71-70 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Bowling Green | 69-77 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Buffalo | 67-72 |
| 24/02/26 | H | Miami (Ohio) | 64-74 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Toledo | 75-94 |
| 17/02/26 | H | Central Michigan | 66-54 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Western Michigan | 62-76 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Kent State | 91-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Xavier | 55-100 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Marquette | 32-93 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Wright State | 63-66 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Robert Morris | 70-64 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 84-63 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Oakland | 95-89 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Robert Morris | 62-73 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Wisc. Green Bay | 74-70 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 91-86 |
| 15/02/26 | H | Youngstown State | 76-70 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.3 | 108.0 | 62.0 |
| Allowed / game | 63.3 | 44.0 | 73.0 |
| Point differential | +14.0 | +64.0 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 140.7 | 152.0 | 135.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | - | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 43.5 | - | 43.5 |
| Allowed / game | 96.5 | - | 96.5 |
| Point differential | -53.0 | - | -53.0 |
| Avg total | 140.0 | - | 140.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Akron | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.5 | 62.5 | +31.0 |
| 2 |  Central Michigan | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 68.7 | +20.3 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 86.3 | 76.0 | +10.3 |
| 4 |  Miami (Ohio) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 75.0 | +8.0 |
| 5 |  Western Michigan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.0 | 60.8 | +18.2 |
| 6 | Eastern Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 77.3 | 63.3 | +14.0 |
| 7 |  UMass | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 66.0 | 64.3 | +1.7 |
| 8 |  Ohio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.0 | 75.7 | +0.3 |
| 9 |  Northern Illinois | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.2 | 75.5 | +5.8 |
| 10 |  Kent State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.3 | 75.3 | +8.0 |
| 11 |  Buffalo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 79.0 | -1.3 |
| 12 |  Ball State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 68.8 | 72.5 | -3.8 |
| 13 |  Toledo | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 70.0 | 78.5 | -8.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wright State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.2 | 69.0 | +22.2 |
| 2 |  Wisc. Green Bay | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 75.2 | 66.8 | +8.4 |
| 3 |  Cleveland State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.2 | 88.0 | -12.8 |
| 4 |  Northern Kentucky | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.0 | 99.8 | -20.8 |
| 5 |  Wisc. Milwaukee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 76.0 | 77.4 | -1.4 |
| 6 |  IPFW | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 74.7 | +3.0 |
| 7 |  Youngstown State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.0 | 83.7 | -9.7 |
| 8 |  Oakland | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 69.0 | 95.0 | -26.0 |
| 9 |  Robert Morris | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 52.7 | 80.3 | -27.7 |
| 10 | Detroit | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 43.5 | 96.5 | -53.0 |
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