PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Eastern Michigan hosts Detroit on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Eagles as the clear favourite with an 80% chance of victory, reflecting their 2-1 record and 77.3 points per game compared to Detroit's 0-2 record and 43.5 points per game. Eastern Michigan's season has seen them score 77.3 points and allow 63.3, while Detroit has struggled, averaging 43.5 points and conceding 96.5. At home, Eastern Michigan is undefeated 1-0, scoring 108.0 and allowing 44.0, and in their last five games they have won two and lost three, including a 108-44 win over Great Lakes Christian and a 71-70 win over Coastal Carolina. Detroit's road record is 0-2, with 43.5 points scored and 96.5 allowed, and in their last five they have also gone 2-3, losing to Xavier 55-100, Marquette 32-93 and Wright State 63-66. Historically, Eastern Michigan has won four of five encounters, most recently 72-62 on 18 November 2025. Pythia projects a 77-67 score, 144.2 total points, and an 80% probability that Eastern Michigan will win, with a 20% chance for Detroit; the model also assigns a 4% overtime probability. The game will hinge on Eastern Michigan's ability to maintain their offensive output while Detroit must improve defensively, as the last meeting showed a decisive margin.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 77.3 | 63.3 | 140.7 | +14.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 108.0 | 44.0 | 152.0 | +64.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 62.0 | 73.0 | 135.0 | -11.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 72.6 | 73.2 | 145.8 | -0.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 73.6 | 67.8 | 141.4 | +5.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 68.1 | 77.3 | 145.4 | -9.2 | 12% |
| vs Similar (9) | 70.1 | 72.8 | 142.9 | -2.7 | 44% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 78.0 | 59.0 | 137.0 | +19.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 53.0 | 92.7 | 145.7 | -39.7 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 72.0 | 85.0 | 157.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 43.5 | 96.5 | 140.0 | -53.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 69.8 | 78.9 | 148.7 | -9.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 58.4 | 81.6 | 140.0 | -23.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 68.3 | 79.9 | 148.2 | -11.6 | 36% |
| vs Similar (10) | 79.8 | 80.1 | 159.9 | -0.3 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 83.0 | 70.7 | 153.7 | +12.3 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.4 | 34.3 | 67.7 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 34.3 | 29.5 | 63.8 | +4.8 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 32.8 | 37.9 | 70.6 | -5.1 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.9 | 35.0 | 68.9 | -1.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.6 | 32.2 | 66.8 | +2.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (17) | 30.8 | 37.7 | 68.5 | -6.9 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 35.2 | 31.3 | 66.6 | +3.9 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 35.3 | 28.7 | 64.0 | +6.7 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.3 | 35.0 | 70.3 | +0.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 39.3 | 34.6 | 73.9 | +4.7 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 32.2 | 35.4 | 67.5 | -3.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.9 | 35.6 | 68.5 | -2.7 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 28.2 | 37.6 | 65.8 | -9.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (14) | 32.1 | 36.0 | 68.1 | -3.9 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 36.7 | 36.5 | 73.2 | +0.2 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker (6) | 40.3 | 30.3 | 70.7 | +10.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/11/25 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 62-72 |
| 01/12/24 | Eastern Michigan v Detroit | 89-98 OT |
| 22/11/23 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 72-76 |
| 18/12/22 | Eastern Michigan v Detroit | 79-77 |
| 07/12/19 | Detroit v Eastern Michigan | 51-55 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Great Lakes Christian | 108-44 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Xavier | 53-76 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Coastal Carolina | 71-70 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Bowling Green | 69-77 |
| 03/03/26 | A | Buffalo | 67-72 |
| 24/02/26 | H | Miami (Ohio) | 64-74 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Toledo | 75-94 |
| 17/02/26 | H | Central Michigan | 66-54 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Western Michigan | 62-76 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Kent State | 91-95 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Toledo | 72-85 |
| 11/11/26 | A | Xavier | 55-100 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Marquette | 32-93 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Wright State | 63-66 |
| 10/03/26 | A | Robert Morris | 70-64 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 84-63 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Oakland | 95-89 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Robert Morris | 62-73 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Wisc. Green Bay | 74-70 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Wisc. Milwaukee | 91-86 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.3 | 108.0 | 62.0 |
| Allowed / game | 63.3 | 44.0 | 73.0 |
| Point differential | +14.0 | +64.0 | -11.0 |
| Avg total | 140.7 | 152.0 | 135.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 53.0 | 72.0 | 43.5 |
| Allowed / game | 92.7 | 85.0 | 96.5 |
| Point differential | -39.7 | -13.0 | -53.0 |
| Avg total | 145.7 | 157.0 | 140.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Akron | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 62.7 | +21.3 |
| 2 |  Central Michigan | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 83.8 | 65.8 | +18.0 |
| 3 |  Bowling Green | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 86.3 | 76.0 | +10.3 |
| 4 |  Miami (Ohio) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 |
| 5 |  Western Michigan | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 79.0 | 60.8 | +18.2 |
| 6 | Eastern Michigan | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 77.3 | 63.3 | +14.0 |
| 7 |  UMass | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 66.0 | 64.3 | +1.7 |
| 8 |  Ohio | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 76.0 | 75.7 | +0.3 |
| 9 |  Northern Illinois | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 79.4 | 73.2 | +6.2 |
| 10 |  Toledo | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 73.0 | 77.2 | -4.2 |
| 11 |  Kent State | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 83.3 | 75.3 | +8.0 |
| 12 |  Buffalo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 79.0 | -1.3 |
| 13 |  Ball State | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 68.8 | 72.5 | -3.8 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Wright State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 91.2 | 69.0 | +22.2 |
| 2 |  Wisc. Green Bay | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 75.2 | 66.8 | +8.4 |
| 3 |  Youngstown State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 74.0 | 80.5 | -6.5 |
| 4 |  Cleveland State | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 75.2 | 88.0 | -12.8 |
| 5 |  Wisc. Milwaukee | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 76.0 | 77.4 | -1.4 |
| 6 |  Northern Kentucky | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 74.6 | 93.4 | -18.8 |
| 7 |  IPFW | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.7 | 74.7 | +3.0 |
| 8 |  Robert Morris | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 63.0 | 71.5 | -8.5 |
| 9 |  Oakland | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 70.8 | 91.8 | -21.0 |
| 10 | Detroit | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 53.0 | 92.7 | -39.7 |
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