EBAA Aarhus vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Jan 2019

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 75-89

20-19 17-31 16-17 22-22

Position#6

Record5-8

FormWWLWL

Points / game76.6

Allowed / game85.4

EBAA Aarhus

Bakken Bears 🏆

Position#1

Record13-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game103.1

Allowed / game79.8

Basketligaen

Other2018-19

Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Bakken Bears

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Bakken Bears winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

78-64

+14

H14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

64-67

-3

H26/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-101

101

-30

A28/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

71-93

-22

H04/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

92-79

+13

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

81-63

+18

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

99-86

+13

A08/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

64-95

-31

A16/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

83-78

A22/12

Basketligaen

Randers

56-82

-26

H30/12

Basketligaen

19-18

17-19

20-16

22-11

8-15

15-23

21-9

20-20

22-22

13-27

14-29

22-23

16-22

14-19

22-33

19-19

26-23

18-12

16-23

32-21

16-7

22-17

21-22

24-19

33-22

14-20

28-25

6-27

25-22

13-24

20-22

22-17

22-27

19-15

20-19

15-23

19-17

9-23

13-19

156.7Avg total

75.9Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	76.6	85.4	162.0	-8.8	38%
Season at home (6)	69.0	75.2	144.2	-6.2	33%
Season away (7)	83.1	94.1	177.3	-11.0	43%
Last 10 (10)	75.9	80.8	156.7	-4.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	80.8	157.4	-4.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	71.0	93.5	164.5	-22.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	77.5	69.5	147.0	+8.0	75%
vs Weaker (3)	84.3	73.7	158.0	+10.7	100%

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken Bears Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

118-57

118

+61

A16/11

Basketligaen

Z-Mobile Prishtina

#26

100-77

100

+23

A21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

110-98

110

+12

H23/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

110-86

110

+24

H05/12

Basketligaen

Randers

103-107

103

107

-4

A08/12

Basketligaen

Leiden

#22

111-71

111

+40

H12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vaerlose

113-74

113

+39

H15/12

Basketligaen

Kataja

#21

104-89

104

+15

A19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

79-67

+12

A30/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

81-78

A03/01

Basketligaen

28-12

32-17

34-18

24-10

16-27

29-12

21-18

34-20

28-22

26-31

32-25

24-20

22-28

29-20

30-21

29-17

25-35

25-28

29-27

24-17

27-22

18-13

26-21

40-15

29-6

29-26

28-15

27-27

27-15

26-17

18-26

33-31

15-13

23-22

20-14

21-18

20-16

18-26

23-20

20-16

183.3Avg total

102.9Scored

80.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	103.1	79.8	182.9	+23.4	93%
Season at home (8)	109.1	82.5	191.6	+26.6	100%
Season away (6)	95.2	76.2	171.3	+19.0	83%
Last 10 (10)	102.9	80.4	183.3	+22.5	90%
Last 5 (5)	97.6	75.8	173.4	+21.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	83.2	69.5	152.8	+13.8	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	100.6	77.9	178.5	+22.7	92%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EBAA AarhusBakken Bears

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	15.0	17.9	32.9	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (7)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	18.6	35.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	16.9	23.4	40.2	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	18.9	43.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.4	19.6	46.1	+6.8	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.7	19.6	43.3	+4.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	14.4	38.0	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	25.2	16.5	41.8	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	24.0	19.2	43.3	+4.8	77%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.6	23.1	42.7	-3.4	36%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.4	20.6	38.0	-3.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	21.9	25.6	47.4	-3.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.5	25.4	43.9	-6.9	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	19.2	44.3	+5.9	77%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.1	20.3	46.4	+5.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.0	18.0	42.0	+6.0	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.5	21.2	46.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.8	43.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	18.8	18.8	37.5	+0.0	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	26.1	19.3	45.4	+6.8	85%	-

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

36-37

-1

H14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

23-38

-15

H26/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

35-49

-14

A28/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

30-41

-11

H04/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

44-35

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-24

+14

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

57-41

+16

A08/12

Basketligaen

Horsens

31-49

-18

A16/12

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

44-44

A22/12

Basketligaen

Randers

34-40

-6

H30/12

Basketligaen

77.0Avg total

37.2Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	37.5	43.5	81.0	-6.0	21%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	32.4	38.4	70.9	-6.0	14%	-
Last 30 away (7)	42.6	48.6	91.1	-6.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.8	77.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	39.6	80.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.4	48.8	84.1	-13.4	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	34.3	73.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.3	38.7	80.0	+2.7	33%	-

This opponent (Bakken Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Bakken BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Stevnsgade

60-29

+31

A16/11

Basketligaen

Z-Mobile Prishtina

#26

45-39

A21/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Horsens

54-53

H23/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

51-48

H05/12

Basketligaen

Randers

50-63

-13

A08/12

Basketligaen

Leiden

#22

45-35

+10

H12/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Vaerlose

58-32

+26

H15/12

Basketligaen

Kataja

#21

53-32

+21

A19/12

FIBA Europe Cup

Team FOG Naestved

38-35

A30/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

38-42

-4

A03/01

Basketligaen

90.0Avg total

49.2Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	38.1	87.4	+11.2	90%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	52.5	39.9	92.4	+12.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.6	36.0	81.6	+9.6	86%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	40.8	90.0	+8.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	35.2	81.6	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	44.0	35.2	79.2	+8.8	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	50.1	38.5	88.7	+11.6	88%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	17.7	20.2	37.9	-2.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	18.9	18.0	36.9	+0.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (7)	16.6	22.4	39.0	-5.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	20.9	37.9	-3.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	19.8	35.2	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	22.9	39.9	-5.9	38%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	19.6	44.3	+5.1	80%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	26.7	19.8	46.5	+6.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	19.4	41.7	+3.0	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.1	20.5	46.6	+5.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.2	42.2	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	19.2	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	25.5	19.6	45.1	+5.9	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (7)	24.0	23.1	47.1	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.1	41.8	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.4	41.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.2	25%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.7	17.0	41.7	+7.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	19.1	43.4	+5.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	20.2	45.2	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.4	17.8	41.2	+5.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.6	19.1	46.7	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	21.4	49.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	20.0	14.8	34.8	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	25.0	19.7	44.7	+5.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	38.6	41.1	79.7	-2.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (7)	36.6	36.7	73.3	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (7)	40.6	45.6	86.1	-5.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	41.0	79.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	41.2	77.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	35.6	44.8	80.4	-9.1	12%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	35.0	78.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.0	38.7	87.6	+10.3	90%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	51.8	40.0	91.8	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.8	37.1	82.9	+8.6	79%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.7	39.6	93.3	+14.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.2	40.6	91.8	+10.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (4)	39.2	34.2	73.5	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	50.5	39.3	89.8	+11.1	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

EBAA Aarhus wins

Bakken Bears wins

Date	Game	Score
08/10/18	Bakken Bears v EBAA Aarhus	119-83

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/18	H	Randers	56-82
22/12/18	A	Stevnsgade	83-78
16/12/18	A	Horsens	64-95
08/12/18	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-86
18/11/18	H	Vaerlose	81-63
10/11/18	A	Stevnsgade	92-79
04/11/18	H	Svendborg	71-93
28/10/18	A	Team FOG Naestved	71-101
26/10/18	H	Vaerlose	64-67
14/10/18	H	Stevnsgade	78-64

Bakken Bearslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/19	A	Svendborg	81-78
30/12/18	A	Team FOG Naestved	79-67
19/12/18	A	Kataja	104-89
15/12/18	H	Vaerlose	113-74
12/12/18	H	Leiden	111-71
08/12/18	A	Randers	103-107
05/12/18	H	Team FOG Naestved	110-86
23/11/18	H	Horsens	110-98
21/11/18	A	Z-Mobile Prishtina	100-77
16/11/18	A	Stevnsgade	118-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	38%
Home	WLLWL	33%
Away	LWWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	38%	33%	43%
Points / game	76.6	69.0	83.1
Allowed / game	85.4	75.2	94.1
Point differential	-8.8	-6.2	-11.0
Avg total	162.0	144.2	177.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	31%	33%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Bakken Bears

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	93%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWLWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	93%	100%	83%
Points / game	103.1	109.1	95.2
Allowed / game	79.8	82.5	76.2
Point differential	+23.4	+26.6	+19.0
Avg total	182.9	191.6	171.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	86%	100%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	14	13	1	93%	103.1	79.8	+23.4
2	Horsens	14	11	3	79%	96.3	78.9	+17.4
3	Svendborg	13	9	4	69%	84.5	81.5	+3.0
4	Randers	14	8	6	57%	89.3	90.4	-1.1
5	Team FOG Naestved	16	9	7	56%	90.6	82.4	+8.2
6	EBAA Aarhus	13	5	8	38%	76.6	85.4	-8.8
7	Herlev Wolfpack	11	3	8	27%	85.4	95.6	-10.3
8	Vaerlose	14	3	11	21%	74.6	88.7	-14.1
9	Stevnsgade	13	0	13	0%	69.5	92.5	-23.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
EBAA Aarhus	20	17	16	22	75
Bakken Bears	19	31	17	22	89

← all games of the day

EBAA Aarhus vs Bakken Bears Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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