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Herlev Wolfpack vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-99
19-24 22-33 20-14 25-28
Position#8
Record3-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game94.7
vs
Position#6
Record3-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game85.4
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · Herlev Wolfpack v EBAA Aarhus
15 Feb 2020
HERL83
EBAA56
29 Dec 2019
HERL100
EBAA99
08 Mar 2019
HERL70
EBAA72
08 Dec 2018
HERL86
EBAA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
68-103
68
103
-35
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
77-98
77
98
-21
H23/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
A29/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
66-88
66
88
-22
H29/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H06/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H20/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
91-98
91
98
-7
A27/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
109-84
109
84
+25
A02/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
76-124
76
124
-48
H10/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
95-83
95
83
+12
H20/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
19-36
12-28
12-10
29-25
16-23
20-17
12-33
29-25
27-31
13-24
28-17
9-22
20-24
24-17
13-25
28-15
24-16
22-24
21-31
18-30
17-20
26-23
22-27
24-27
24-21
24-24
19-26
28-19
26-24
27-20
28-21
13-32
23-28
13-34
27-30
29-23
21-22
17-22
28-16
183.9Avg total
86.6Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.994.7182.6-6.943%
Season at home (5)83.096.2179.2-13.240%
Season away (2)100.091.0191.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)86.697.3183.9-10.730%
Last 5 (5)90.897.8188.6-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)75.498.5174.0-23.19%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.084.0175.0+7.080%
vs Weaker (3)89.769.0158.7+20.7100%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H16/12
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
64-82
64
82
-18
H30/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
90-101
90
101
-11
A06/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
83-119
83
119
-36
A08/10
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H14/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H26/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
71-93
71
93
-22
H04/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A10/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H18/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
20-25
20-11
12-25
14-26
15-24
18-17
17-15
29-25
19-33
16-25
26-18
16-28
23-36
24-21
20-34
19-18
17-19
20-16
22-11
8-15
15-23
21-9
20-20
22-22
13-27
14-29
22-23
16-22
14-19
22-33
19-19
26-23
18-12
16-23
32-21
16-7
22-17
22-17
21-22
160.7Avg total
76.3Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)77.185.4162.6-8.333%
Season at home (5)71.673.8145.4-2.240%
Season away (4)84.0100.0184.0-16.025%
Last 10 (10)76.384.4160.7-8.130%
Last 5 (5)75.880.6156.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.795.2169.8-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (3)70.364.0134.3+6.367%
vs Weaker (2)85.071.5156.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -2.8-2.8Q2: -5.9-5.9Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.3+0.3
Herlev WolfpackEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bakken Bears
#1
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A18/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H23/03
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A29/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H29/09
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H06/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H20/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A27/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A02/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#2
L
36-60
36
60
-24
H10/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H20/11
Basketligaen
94.1Avg total
44.9Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.449.188.4-9.721%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.447.185.5-8.825%-
Last 30 away (13)40.651.592.1-10.815%-
Last 10 (10)44.949.294.1-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)44.649.293.8-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.652.089.7-14.45%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)45.039.284.2+5.860%-
vs Weaker (2)44.541.085.5+3.5100%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Herlev Wolfpack
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H30/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A06/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-64
39
64
-25
A08/10
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H14/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H26/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H04/11
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A10/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H18/11
Basketligaen
79.4Avg total
35.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)35.943.579.4-7.620%-
Last 30 at home (6)32.238.270.3-6.017%-
Last 30 away (4)41.551.593.0-10.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.943.579.4-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.037.471.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.350.286.5-13.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)30.531.061.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (2)40.036.076.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Herlev Wolfpack wins
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
16/12/17EBAA Aarhus v Herlev Wolfpack69-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/18HStevnsgade95-83
10/11/18HHorsens76-124
02/11/18AVaerlose109-84
27/10/18ARanders91-98
20/10/18HTeam FOG Naestved83-100
06/10/18HVaerlose95-86
29/09/18HSvendborg66-88
29/03/18ABakken Bears106-109 OT
23/03/18HBakken Bears77-98
18/03/18ABakken Bears68-103
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HVaerlose81-63
10/11/18AStevnsgade92-79
04/11/18HSvendborg71-93
28/10/18ATeam FOG Naestved71-101
26/10/18HVaerlose64-67
14/10/18HStevnsgade78-64
08/10/18ABakken Bears83-119
06/10/18ARanders90-101
30/09/18HHorsens64-82
16/12/17HHerlev Wolfpack69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game87.983.0100.0
Allowed / game94.796.291.0
Point differential-6.9-13.2+9.0
Avg total182.6179.2191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW33%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%40%25%
Points / game77.171.684.0
Allowed / game85.473.8100.0
Point differential-8.3-2.2-16.0
Avg total162.6145.4184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears10100100%106.879.1+27.7
2 Svendborg108280%86.779.7+7.0
3 Horsens107370%96.483.7+12.7
4 Team FOG Naestved116555%92.584.9+7.6
5 Randers94544%87.193.8-6.7
6 Herlev Wolfpack73443%87.994.7-6.9
7 EBAA Aarhus93633%77.185.4-8.3
8 Vaerlose91811%75.089.4-14.4
9 Stevnsgade9090%69.696.8-27.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Herlev Wolfpack1922202586
EBAA Aarhus2433142899
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