Horsens vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 95-64

27-6 22-25 24-13 22-20

Position#2

Record8-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game97.3

Allowed / game81.9

Horsens 🏆

EBAA Aarhus

Position#6

Record4-6

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game85.5

Basketligaen

Other2018-19

Meetings · Horsens v EBAA Aarhus

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

EBAA Aarhus winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Horsens

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

95-81

+14

A02/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

106-70

106

+36

H07/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

78-101

101

-23

A21/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

90-92

-2

H25/10

Basketligaen

Randers

106-90

106

+16

H01/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

124-76

124

+48

A10/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

80-75

H15/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

98-110

110

-12

A23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

105-78

105

+27

H06/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

106-64

106

+42

A12/12

Basketligaen

27-14

19-20

25-18

24-29

26-20

30-19

30-13

20-18

23-28

14-23

22-30

19-20

24-23

21-34

30-13

15-22

21-11

26-24

32-24

27-31

32-13

28-23

34-13

30-27

20-19

20-23

20-14

20-19

22-28

31-26

25-32

20-24

29-16

29-17

14-31

33-14

28-12

22-25

31-14

25-13

182.5Avg total

98.8Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (11)	97.3	81.9	179.2	+15.4	73%
Season at home (5)	97.4	81.0	178.4	+16.4	80%
Season away (6)	97.2	82.7	179.8	+14.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	98.8	83.7	182.5	+15.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	102.6	80.6	183.2	+22.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	88.0	105.5	193.5	-17.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	77.5	83.8	161.2	-6.2	25%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	98.4	78.0	176.4	+20.5	90%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

64-82

-18

H30/09

Basketligaen

Randers

90-101

101

-11

A06/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

83-119

119

-36

A08/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

78-64

+14

H14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

64-67

-3

H26/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

71-101

101

-30

A28/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

71-93

-22

H04/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

92-79

+13

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

81-63

+18

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

99-86

+13

A08/12

Basketligaen

14-26

15-24

18-17

17-15

29-25

19-33

16-25

26-18

16-28

23-36

24-21

20-34

19-18

17-19

20-16

22-11

8-15

15-23

21-9

20-20

22-22

13-27

14-29

22-23

16-22

14-19

22-33

19-19

26-23

18-12

16-23

32-21

16-7

22-17

21-22

24-19

33-22

14-20

28-25

164.8Avg total

79.3Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	79.3	85.5	164.8	-6.2	40%
Season at home (5)	71.6	73.8	145.4	-2.2	40%
Season away (5)	87.0	97.2	184.2	-10.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	79.3	85.5	164.8	-6.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	84.4	167.2	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	74.7	95.2	169.8	-20.5	0%
vs Similar (4)	77.5	69.5	147.0	+8.0	75%
vs Weaker (2)	85.0	71.5	156.5	+13.5	100%

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

HorsensEBAA Aarhus

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	19.9	43.3	+3.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.0	41.5	+3.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.3	20.8	45.1	+3.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.2	18.4	43.6	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.2	17.6	43.8	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	28.0	50.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.4	22.6	42.0	-3.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	18.0	43.1	+7.1	85%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	18.8	19.9	38.7	-1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	15.0	17.0	32.0	-2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (5)	23.4	23.4	46.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.5	39.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.0	22.8	41.8	-3.8	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.0	13.7	29.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	20.5	43.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	21.0	44.4	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	21.7	45.9	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	23.4	47.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	22.8	48.8	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	24.5	47.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	23.0	42.8	-3.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.9	19.8	44.8	+5.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	19.0	23.4	42.4	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	17.2	21.2	38.3	-4.0	17%	-
Last 30 away (5)	21.2	26.0	47.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	23.2	42.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.3	27.3	44.7	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.3	20.7	44.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	15.5	33.0	+2.0	50%	-

HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Randers

46-34

+12

A02/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

56-39

+17

H07/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

37-51

-14

A21/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

45-57

-12

H25/10

Basketligaen

Randers

47-35

+12

H01/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

60-36

+24

A10/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

40-42

-2

H15/11

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

53-54

-1

A23/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

58-33

+25

H06/12

Basketligaen

Svendborg

50-37

+13

A12/12

Basketligaen

91.0Avg total

49.2Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	40.9	87.7	+6.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.7	40.7	87.4	+5.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.0	41.0	88.0	+6.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	41.8	91.0	+7.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	52.2	40.4	92.6	+11.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	45.0	52.5	97.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.1	45.6	84.8	-6.5	12%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	50.1	37.8	87.9	+12.3	90%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Horsens

29-50

-21

H30/09

Basketligaen

Randers

48-58

-10

A06/10

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

39-64

-25

A08/10

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

36-37

-1

H14/10

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

23-38

-15

H26/10

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

35-49

-14

A28/10

Basketligaen

Svendborg

30-41

-11

H04/11

Basketligaen

Stevnsgade

44-35

A10/11

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

38-24

+14

H18/11

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

57-41

+16

A08/12

Basketligaen

81.6Avg total

37.9Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	37.8	43.3	81.1	-5.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	32.2	38.2	70.3	-6.0	17%	-
Last 30 away (5)	44.6	49.4	94.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	43.7	81.6	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	38.0	78.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.3	50.2	86.5	-13.8	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	39.3	34.3	73.7	+5.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	40.0	36.0	76.0	+4.0	50%	-

This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.9	19.8	43.8	+4.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	19.9	42.3	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.5	19.8	45.3	+5.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.3	20.2	46.5	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	31.0	54.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.1	17.2	38.4	+3.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.1	19.8	44.9	+5.4	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	20.5	17.2	37.7	+3.3	83%	-
Last 30 away (5)	16.8	23.6	40.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	24.4	42.0	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.0	22.7	41.7	-3.7	50%	-
vs Similar (3)	19.0	15.3	34.3	+3.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.6	42.0	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	20.3	43.0	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	21.7	45.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	19.4	45.0	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.2	20.4	43.6	+2.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	21.7	21.2	42.9	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	18.5	18.7	37.2	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (5)	25.6	24.2	49.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	20.8	43.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	19.3	22.3	41.7	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	23.0	22.3	45.3	+0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.0	16.0	43.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	40.5	85.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.1	40.1	85.3	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.5	40.8	86.3	+4.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.6	41.9	91.5	+7.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	40.2	90.6	+10.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	53.0	96.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.4	38.1	76.5	+0.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	48.3	40.1	88.4	+8.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (11)	40.5	41.3	81.8	-0.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (6)	39.0	35.8	74.8	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (5)	42.4	47.8	90.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	41.8	83.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	46.4	88.4	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	38.3	45.0	83.3	-6.7	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	45.0	35.5	80.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Horsens wins

EBAA Aarhus wins

Date	Game	Score
30/09/18	EBAA Aarhus v Horsens	64-82

Horsenslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/12/18	A	Svendborg	106-64
06/12/18	H	Svendborg	105-78
23/11/18	A	Bakken Bears	98-110
15/11/18	H	Team FOG Naestved	80-75
10/11/18	A	Herlev Wolfpack	124-76
01/11/18	H	Randers	106-90
25/10/18	H	Team FOG Naestved	90-92
21/10/18	A	Bakken Bears	78-101
07/10/18	H	Stevnsgade	106-70
02/10/18	A	Randers	95-81

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/18	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-86
18/11/18	H	Vaerlose	81-63
10/11/18	A	Stevnsgade	92-79
04/11/18	H	Svendborg	71-93
28/10/18	A	Team FOG Naestved	71-101
26/10/18	H	Vaerlose	64-67
14/10/18	H	Stevnsgade	78-64
08/10/18	A	Bakken Bears	83-119
06/10/18	A	Randers	90-101
30/09/18	H	Horsens	64-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	73%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	WLWLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	11	5	6
Win %	73%	80%	67%
Points / game	97.3	97.4	97.2
Allowed / game	81.9	81.0	82.7
Point differential	+15.4	+16.4	+14.5
Avg total	179.2	178.4	179.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	60%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

EBAA Aarhus

Basketligaen 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	40%
Home	LWLLW	40%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Points / game	79.3	71.6	87.0
Allowed / game	85.5	73.8	97.2
Point differential	-6.2	-2.2	-10.2
Avg total	164.8	145.4	184.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	40%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bakken Bears	12	11	1	92%	107.0	81.0	+26.0
2	Svendborg	12	9	3	75%	85.1	81.6	+3.5
3	Horsens	11	8	3	73%	97.3	81.9	+15.4
4	Team FOG Naestved	12	7	5	58%	91.8	83.2	+8.6
5	Randers	11	6	5	55%	90.7	93.2	-2.5
6	EBAA Aarhus	10	4	6	40%	79.3	85.5	-6.2
7	Herlev Wolfpack	10	3	7	30%	85.5	95.9	-10.4
8	Vaerlose	11	2	9	18%	74.2	88.9	-14.7
9	Stevnsgade	11	0	11	0%	68.3	92.9	-24.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Horsens	27	22	24	22	95
EBAA Aarhus	6	25	13	20	64

← all games of the day

Horsens vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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