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EBAA Aarhus vs Randers Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 23 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Postponed
Position#8
Record4-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game89.4
vs
Position#2
Record19-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game94.7
Allowed / game83.0
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 24
Other2019-20
Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Randers
23 Mar 2020
EBAA v RAND
upcoming
30 Dec 2018
EBAA56
RAND82
30 Oct 2015
EBAA76
RAND96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Randers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
50-86
50
86
-36
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H15/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A26/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H02/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
57-95
57
95
-38
A26/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-24
14-19
15-23
9-20
17-18
23-17
21-15
26-18
12-30
18-18
20-18
15-26
19-27
20-28
33-27
27-18
22-15
16-18
23-18
25-27
27-22
10-7
14-25
18-25
16-19
18-15
18-19
17-33
14-17
13-16
37-23
23-28
16-17
16-23
17-22
7-21
8-23
23-27
15-27
11-18
157.6Avg total
72.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)72.689.4162.0-16.721%
Season at home (10)75.484.8160.2-9.430%
Season away (9)69.694.4164.0-24.911%
Last 10 (10)72.585.1157.6-12.630%
Last 5 (5)67.685.4153.0-17.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)69.292.2161.3-23.05%
vs Similar (7)76.077.9153.9-1.957%
vs Weaker (3)81.379.7161.0+1.767%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H29/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
98-79
98
79
+19
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
H13/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H25/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
89-127
89
127
-38
A13/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
114-71
114
71
+43
H15/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
H01/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
H07/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A11/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
28-16
25-24
19-20
29-23
22-20
26-17
21-19
18-26
15-12
31-15
17-27
33-27
23-14
17-17
23-26
23-24
24-26
27-16
24-32
24-39
13-33
23-21
29-34
28-24
25-23
34-15
27-9
22-17
20-26
18-19
28-20
19-21
19-20
25-30
21-13
15-17
17-21
13-14
29-20
180.9Avg total
93.0Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)94.783.0177.7+11.679%
Season at home (12)96.880.5177.2+16.292%
Season away (12)92.685.6178.2+7.067%
Last 10 (10)93.087.9180.9+5.180%
Last 5 (5)90.689.2179.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)88.495.4183.9-7.033%
vs Similar (4)86.886.0172.8+0.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)97.478.9176.3+18.488%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +1.8+1.8
EBAA AarhusRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H02/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A26/02
Basketligaen
73.4Avg total
33.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.544.680.1-9.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.942.178.0-6.133%-
Last 30 away (15)35.147.182.3-12.013%-
Last 10 (10)33.440.073.4-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.237.269.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)33.247.580.7-14.25%-
vs Similar (7)39.739.979.6-0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)41.336.778.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H29/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A07/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H13/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H25/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A30/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-72
37
72
-35
A13/02
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H15/02
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H01/03
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H07/03
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A11/03
Basketligaen
89.4Avg total
44.0Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.088.3+2.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.840.889.6+8.064%-
Last 30 away (16)42.244.987.1-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.489.4-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)40.448.288.6-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)43.449.793.1-6.222%-
vs Similar (4)42.841.584.2+1.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.939.886.6+7.159%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
4
Randers wins
DateGameScore
03/10/19Randers v EBAA Aarhus95-64
30/12/18EBAA Aarhus v Randers56-82
06/10/18Randers v EBAA Aarhus101-90
30/10/15EBAA Aarhus v Randers76-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/20AHorsens57-95
15/02/20AHerlev Wolfpack56-83
02/02/20HVaerlose87-84
26/01/20AVaerlose69-86
15/01/20HSvendborg69-79
12/01/20HAmager86-78
29/12/19AHerlev Wolfpack99-100
20/12/19HBakken Bears65-92
15/12/19HCopenhagen87-68
24/11/19ATeam FOG Naestved50-86
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/20ASvendborg74-72
07/03/20HTeam FOG Naestved88-94 OT
01/03/20HSvendborg88-82
15/02/20HCopenhagen114-71
13/02/20ABakken Bears89-127
30/01/20AHorsens107-105 OT
25/01/20HBakken Bears96-84
13/01/20HBakken Bears81-80
07/01/20ATeam FOG Naestved98-79
29/12/19HVaerlose95-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL21%
HomeWLWLW30%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %21%30%11%
Points / game72.675.469.6
Allowed / game89.484.894.4
Point differential-16.7-9.4-24.9
Avg total162.0160.2164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW79%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %79%92%67%
Points / game94.796.892.6
Allowed / game83.080.585.6
Point differential+11.6+16.2+7.0
Avg total177.7177.2178.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%58%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2320387%96.477.2+19.2
2 Randers2419579%94.783.0+11.6
3 Horsens2217577%91.777.0+14.7
4 Team FOG Naestved24131154%84.579.4+5.1
5 Herlev Wolfpack21101148%81.384.5-3.2
6 Svendborg24111346%82.881.9+1.0
7 Vaerlose2091145%85.287.7-2.5
8 EBAA Aarhus1941521%72.689.4-16.7
9 Copenhagen2031715%77.394.2-16.9
10 Amager1921711%75.897.7-21.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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