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Horsens vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2020
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 95-57
23-8 27-23 27-15 18-11
Position#3
Record15-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game77.5
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#8
Record4-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game89.1
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 18
Other2019-20
Meetings · Horsens v EBAA Aarhus
26 Feb 2020
HORS95
EBAA57
16 Dec 2018
HORS95
EBAA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
W
97-70
97
70
+27
A07/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A14/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
103-61
103
61
+42
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
H23/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A25/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
105-107 OT
105
107
-2
H30/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
94-103
94
103
-9
H16/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
23-9
19-19
34-18
14-14
17-15
23-24
21-12
22-16
20-17
25-20
21-30
17-18
28-17
32-12
26-14
25-17
18-13
20-18
31-16
26-17
31-28
11-18
17-10
14-26
14-30
19-23
23-24
18-19
8-35
27-5
29-17
24-23
26-24
16-27
32-24
22-26
33-14
20-35
19-28
169.8Avg total
89.3Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)91.577.5169.0+13.975%
Season at home (10)92.477.6170.0+14.870%
Season away (10)90.577.5168.0+13.080%
Last 10 (10)89.380.5169.8+8.870%
Last 5 (5)87.292.4179.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.289.8162.0-17.70%
vs Similar (6)93.782.2175.8+11.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)95.972.6168.5+23.494%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H17/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
50-86
50
86
-36
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H15/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
69-86
69
86
-17
A26/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H02/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A15/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
15-24
22-18
19-32
12-24
14-19
15-23
9-20
17-18
23-17
21-15
26-18
12-30
18-18
20-18
15-26
19-27
20-28
33-27
27-18
22-15
16-18
23-18
25-27
27-22
10-7
14-25
18-25
16-19
18-15
18-19
17-33
14-17
13-16
37-23
23-28
16-17
16-23
17-22
7-21
159.5Avg total
74.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)73.589.1162.6-15.622%
Season at home (10)75.484.8160.2-9.430%
Season away (8)71.194.4165.5-23.212%
Last 10 (10)74.684.9159.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)73.482.0155.4-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.091.8161.8-21.75%
vs Similar (7)76.077.9153.9-1.957%
vs Weaker (3)81.379.7161.0+1.767%
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -6.2-6.2
HorsensEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A07/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H12/12
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A14/12
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A28/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H11/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A16/01
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
28-56
28
56
-28
H23/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A25/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H30/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H16/02
Basketligaen
82.3Avg total
42.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.438.181.6+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.636.379.9+7.275%-
Last 30 away (14)43.340.283.5+3.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.282.3+1.980%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.491.6-5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.841.871.7-12.017%-
vs Similar (6)45.741.387.0+4.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)47.235.883.1+11.483%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Amager
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H17/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A26/01
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#7
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H02/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
Basketligaen
73.3Avg total
34.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.144.380.3-8.227%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.641.978.6-5.338%-
Last 30 away (14)35.446.982.4-11.514%-
Last 10 (10)34.039.373.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.867.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)34.047.081.0-13.010%-
vs Similar (7)39.739.979.6-0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)41.336.778.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Horsens wins
0
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
11/10/19EBAA Aarhus v Horsens78-115
20/01/19EBAA Aarhus v Horsens62-85
16/12/18Horsens v EBAA Aarhus95-64
30/09/18EBAA Aarhus v Horsens64-82
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/20HTeam FOG Naestved94-103
30/01/20HRanders105-107 OT
25/01/20ASvendborg82-76
23/01/20HBakken Bears70-103
16/01/20ATeam FOG Naestved85-73
11/01/20HHerlev Wolfpack94-64
28/12/19ACopenhagen103-61
14/12/19ASvendborg88-83
12/12/19HRanders75-65
07/12/19AAmager97-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/20AHerlev Wolfpack56-83
02/02/20HVaerlose87-84
26/01/20AVaerlose69-86
15/01/20HSvendborg69-79
12/01/20HAmager86-78
29/12/19AHerlev Wolfpack99-100
20/12/19HBakken Bears65-92
15/12/19HCopenhagen87-68
24/11/19ATeam FOG Naestved50-86
17/11/19HAmager78-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL75%
HomeWWLLL70%
AwayWWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%70%80%
Points / game91.592.490.5
Allowed / game77.577.677.5
Point differential+13.9+14.8+13.0
Avg total169.0170.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL22%
HomeWLWLW30%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %22%30%12%
Points / game73.575.471.1
Allowed / game89.184.894.4
Point differential-15.6-9.4-23.2
Avg total162.6160.2165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2118386%94.577.1+17.4
2 Randers2117481%96.383.1+13.2
3 Horsens2015575%91.577.5+13.9
4 Herlev Wolfpack1910953%81.481.6-0.3
5 Svendborg21111052%83.281.4+1.8
6 Team FOG Naestved22111150%83.679.4+4.2
7 Vaerlose2091145%85.287.7-2.5
8 EBAA Aarhus1841422%73.589.1-15.6
9 Amager1721512%75.297.1-21.8
10 Copenhagen1921711%76.094.2-18.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2327271895
EBAA Aarhus823151157
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