EBAA Aarhus vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 13:00

Final 87-84

14-17 13-16 37-23 23-28

Position#8

Record3-13

FormLLWLL

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game89.8

EBAA Aarhus 🏆

Vaerlose

Position#7

Record7-10

FormLLWWW

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game88.7

BasketligaenRound 20

Other2019-20

Meetings · EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

EBAA Aarhus winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vaerlose winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EBAA Aarhus Denmark

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

91-101

101

-10

A06/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

92-83

A09/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

78-93

-15

H17/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

50-86

-36

A24/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

87-68

+19

H15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

65-92

-27

H20/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

99-100

100

-1

A29/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

86-78

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

69-79

-10

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

69-86

-17

A26/01

Basketligaen

20-21

16-32

26-22

29-26

28-20

21-17

16-23

27-23

22-19

15-24

22-18

19-32

12-24

14-19

15-23

9-20

17-18

23-17

21-15

26-18

12-30

18-18

20-18

15-26

19-27

20-28

33-27

27-18

22-15

16-18

23-18

25-27

27-22

10-7

14-25

18-25

16-19

18-15

18-19

17-33

165.2Avg total

78.6Scored

86.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	73.8	89.8	163.5	-16.0	19%
Season at home (9)	74.1	84.9	159.0	-10.8	22%
Season away (7)	73.3	96.0	169.3	-22.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	86.6	165.2	-8.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	87.0	164.6	-9.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	69.9	92.7	162.6	-22.8	0%
vs Similar (7)	76.0	77.9	153.9	-1.9	57%
vs Weaker (4)	83.0	75.2	158.2	+7.8	75%

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Vaerlose

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

81-102

102

-21

A17/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

85-95

-10

A24/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

96-82

+14

A30/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

88-75

+13

H08/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

83-100

100

-17

H15/12

Basketligaen

Randers

85-95

-10

A29/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

71-85

-14

H10/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

98-71

+27

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

88-84

H23/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

86-69

+17

H26/01

Basketligaen

21-31

17-27

17-17

26-27

19-17

19-28

27-26

20-24

20-17

30-14

23-19

23-32

23-14

20-22

19-19

26-20

19-16

19-32

27-23

18-29

25-23

16-28

24-25

20-19

20-24

22-20

13-20

16-21

24-13

25-14

18-21

31-23

25-24

21-19

17-20

25-21

19-16

15-18

19-18

33-17

171.9Avg total

86.1Scored

85.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	84.8	88.7	173.5	-3.9	41%
Season at home (9)	82.9	88.3	171.2	-5.4	44%
Season away (8)	87.0	89.1	176.1	-2.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	85.8	171.9	+0.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	80.8	166.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	80.9	99.4	180.4	-18.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	84.4	82.0	166.4	+2.4	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	87.9	76.6	164.5	+11.2	75%

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EBAA AarhusVaerlose

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	21.7	40.0	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	23.4	42.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.6	41.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.6	25.3	42.9	-7.7	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	17.9	36.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	16.5	39.2	+6.2	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.7	21.2	41.9	-0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.4	25.1	46.5	-3.6	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	20.8	16.2	37.0	+4.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	20.9	39.8	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	23.2	40.5	-5.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	17.2	33.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	16.9	22.8	39.7	-5.9	17%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	22.4	42.9	-1.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	22.3	43.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.4	42.3	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.1	24.6	42.8	-6.5	21%	-
vs Similar (7)	23.7	21.1	44.9	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.0	19.5	41.5	+2.5	38%	-

EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Svendborg

36-53

-17

A06/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

49-37

+12

A09/11

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

37-43

-6

H17/11

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

26-43

-17

A24/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

40-35

H15/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

30-48

-18

H20/12

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

39-55

-16

A29/12

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

38-33

H12/01

Basketligaen

Svendborg

37-29

H15/01

Basketligaen

Vaerlose

34-34

A26/01

Basketligaen

77.6Avg total

36.6Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	44.6	81.4	-7.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	42.5	79.8	-5.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	46.6	83.1	-10.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	41.0	77.6	-4.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	39.8	75.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	34.5	48.1	82.6	-13.6	11%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.7	39.9	79.6	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	34.2	75.2	+6.8	75%	-

This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bakken Bears

38-58

-20

A17/11

Basketligaen

Horsens

38-45

-7

A24/11

Basketligaen

Svendborg

50-31

+19

A30/11

Basketligaen

Copenhagen

43-36

H08/12

Basketligaen

Team FOG Naestved

38-48

-10

H15/12

Basketligaen

Randers

41-51

-10

A29/12

Basketligaen

Bakken Bears

42-44

-2

H10/01

Basketligaen

Amager

#10

49-27

+22

A15/01

Basketligaen

Herlev Wolfpack

46-43

H23/01

Basketligaen

EBAA Aarhus

34-34

H26/01

Basketligaen

83.6Avg total

41.9Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.2	43.6	84.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	42.6	83.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	44.7	85.8	-3.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	41.7	83.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.8	82.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.6	49.7	89.3	-10.1	7%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.7	40.4	83.1	+2.3	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	42.8	35.8	78.5	+7.0	75%	-

This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.5	39.2	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.1	19.6	36.7	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	23.5	41.7	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.8	41.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	18.2	23.3	41.5	-5.1	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	14.1	19.7	33.9	-5.6	14%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.2	20.5	39.8	-1.2	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.9	21.3	42.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	20.3	42.1	+1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	22.5	42.4	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.8	41.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.8	39.0	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.9	24.0	45.9	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.8	18.8	38.5	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	20.2	39.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.5	21.5	39.9	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	24.8	46.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	25.8	46.2	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	17.2	21.3	38.4	-4.1	39%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	18.3	40.4	+3.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (4)	22.8	20.5	43.2	+2.2	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	23.6	44.9	-2.3	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	23.0	44.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	24.2	45.1	-3.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	23.3	47.1	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	20.2	45.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.5	25.7	45.2	-6.2	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.6	22.6	44.1	-1.0	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.1	20.8	44.9	+3.4	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	41.7	78.5	-4.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.5	41.1	76.6	-5.5	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.0	45.6	87.6	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	47.2	89.2	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	35.4	44.6	79.9	-9.2	22%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.3	38.0	74.3	-1.7	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.1	44.9	87.1	-2.8	34%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.4	43.3	86.7	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.8	46.7	87.5	-5.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	44.1	88.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	41.0	84.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	41.4	49.7	91.1	-8.4	7%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.7	41.6	83.3	+0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.9	39.5	83.4	+4.4	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

EBAA Aarhus wins

Vaerlose wins

Date	Game	Score
26/01/20	Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus	86-69
03/11/19	EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose	73-79
16/03/19	Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus	99-73
03/03/19	Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus	68-64
18/11/18	EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose	81-63
26/10/18	EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose	64-67

EBAA Aarhuslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	A	Vaerlose	69-86
15/01/20	H	Svendborg	69-79
12/01/20	H	Amager	86-78
29/12/19	A	Herlev Wolfpack	99-100
20/12/19	H	Bakken Bears	65-92
15/12/19	H	Copenhagen	87-68
24/11/19	A	Team FOG Naestved	50-86
17/11/19	H	Amager	78-93
09/11/19	A	Copenhagen	92-83
06/11/19	A	Svendborg	91-101

Vaerloselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	H	EBAA Aarhus	86-69
23/01/20	H	Herlev Wolfpack	88-84
15/01/20	A	Amager	98-71
10/01/20	H	Bakken Bears	71-85
29/12/19	A	Randers	85-95
15/12/19	H	Team FOG Naestved	83-100
08/12/19	H	Copenhagen	88-75
30/11/19	A	Svendborg	96-82
24/11/19	A	Horsens	85-95
17/11/19	A	Bakken Bears	81-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

EBAA Aarhus

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	19%
Home	LWLWL	22%
Away	LWLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	9	7
Win %	19%	22%	14%
Points / game	73.8	74.1	73.3
Allowed / game	89.8	84.9	96.0
Point differential	-16.0	-10.8	-22.7
Avg total	163.5	159.0	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	11%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Vaerlose

Basketligaen 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	41%
Home	WLLWW	44%
Away	LLWLW	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	44%	38%
Points / game	84.8	82.9	87.0
Allowed / game	88.7	88.3	89.1
Point differential	-3.9	-5.4	-2.1
Avg total	173.5	171.2	176.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	22%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	6%	0%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Randers	19	16	3	84%	95.7	81.4	+14.3
2	Bakken Bears	17	14	3	82%	94.5	76.1	+18.5
3	Horsens	19	15	4	79%	91.3	76.2	+15.1
4	Svendborg	18	10	8	56%	83.8	81.2	+2.6
5	Team FOG Naestved	19	10	9	53%	83.1	78.5	+4.6
6	Herlev Wolfpack	17	8	9	47%	80.2	83.2	-3.0
7	Vaerlose	17	7	10	41%	84.8	88.7	-3.9
8	EBAA Aarhus	16	3	13	19%	73.8	89.8	-16.0
9	Amager	15	2	13	13%	75.0	97.9	-22.9
10	Copenhagen	17	2	15	12%	75.8	92.9	-17.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
EBAA Aarhus	14	13	37	23	87
Vaerlose	17	16	23	28	84

← all games of the day

EBAA Aarhus vs Vaerlose Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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