PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Vaerlose vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-69
19-16 15-18 19-18 33-17
Position#7
Record6-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game89.9
vs
Position#8
Record3-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game90.0
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 19
Other2019-20
Meetings · Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus
26 Jan 2020
VAER86
EBAA69
16 Mar 2019
VAER99
EBAA73
03 Mar 2019
VAER68
EBAA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A17/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H08/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H23/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
21-24
26-23
17-32
21-31
17-27
17-17
26-27
19-17
19-28
27-26
20-24
20-17
30-14
23-19
23-32
23-14
20-22
19-19
26-20
19-16
19-32
27-23
18-29
25-23
16-28
24-25
20-19
20-24
22-20
13-20
16-21
24-13
25-14
18-21
31-23
25-24
21-19
17-20
25-21
175.7Avg total
86.6Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.889.9174.7-5.238%
Season at home (8)82.590.8173.2-8.238%
Season away (8)87.089.1176.1-2.138%
Last 10 (10)86.689.1175.7-2.540%
Last 5 (5)85.087.0172.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.999.4180.4-18.50%
vs Similar (8)85.582.2167.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)88.177.7165.9+10.471%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
91-101
91
101
-10
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
A09/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
78-93
78
93
-15
H17/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
50-86
50
86
-36
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
65-92
65
92
-27
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
99-100
99
100
-1
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
18-18
14-18
23-19
20-21
16-32
26-22
29-26
28-20
21-17
16-23
27-23
22-19
15-24
22-18
19-32
12-24
14-19
15-23
9-20
17-18
23-17
21-15
26-18
12-30
18-18
20-18
15-26
19-27
20-28
33-27
27-18
22-15
16-18
23-18
25-27
27-22
10-7
14-25
18-25
164.9Avg total
79.0Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.190.0164.1-15.920%
Season at home (9)74.184.9159.0-10.822%
Season away (6)74.097.7171.7-23.717%
Last 10 (10)79.085.9164.9-6.930%
Last 5 (5)81.283.4164.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)70.292.8163.1-22.60%
vs Similar (7)76.077.9153.9-1.957%
vs Weaker (4)83.075.2158.2+7.875%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: -1.6-1.6
VaerloseEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A17/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A15/01
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H23/01
Basketligaen
86.3Avg total
43.3Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.943.985.8-2.041%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.743.185.7-0.447%-
Last 30 away (14)41.144.785.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.343.086.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.649.789.3-10.17%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.584.6+3.662%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.036.080.0+8.086%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#7
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H03/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A09/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H17/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A24/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H15/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H20/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#5
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A29/12
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H12/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H15/01
Basketligaen
78.6Avg total
36.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.045.182.1-8.130%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.243.080.2-5.838%-
Last 30 away (14)36.647.584.1-10.921%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.878.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.840.076.8-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)34.749.083.7-14.311%-
vs Similar (7)39.739.979.6-0.157%-
vs Weaker (4)41.034.275.2+6.875%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vaerlose wins
1
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
03/11/19EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose73-79
16/03/19Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus99-73
03/03/19Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus68-64
18/11/18EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose81-63
26/10/18EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose64-67
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/20HHerlev Wolfpack88-84
15/01/20AAmager98-71
10/01/20HBakken Bears71-85
29/12/19ARanders85-95
15/12/19HTeam FOG Naestved83-100
08/12/19HCopenhagen88-75
30/11/19ASvendborg96-82
24/11/19AHorsens85-95
17/11/19ABakken Bears81-102
08/11/19HRanders91-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20HSvendborg69-79
12/01/20HAmager86-78
29/12/19AHerlev Wolfpack99-100
20/12/19HBakken Bears65-92
15/12/19HCopenhagen87-68
24/11/19ATeam FOG Naestved50-86
17/11/19HAmager78-93
09/11/19ACopenhagen92-83
06/11/19ASvendborg91-101
03/11/19HVaerlose73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLWLLW38%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game84.882.587.0
Allowed / game89.990.889.1
Point differential-5.2-8.2-2.1
Avg total174.7173.2176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%12%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL20%
HomeLWLWL22%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %20%22%17%
Points / game74.174.174.0
Allowed / game90.084.997.7
Point differential-15.9-10.8-23.7
Avg total164.1159.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Horsens1815383%90.674.5+16.1
2 Randers1815383%95.180.1+15.0
3 Bakken Bears1714382%94.576.1+18.5
4 Svendborg1810856%83.881.2+2.6
5 Team FOG Naestved1910953%83.178.5+4.6
6 Herlev Wolfpack178947%80.283.2-3.0
7 Vaerlose1661038%84.889.9-5.2
8 EBAA Aarhus1531220%74.190.0-15.9
9 Amager1521313%75.097.9-22.9
10 Copenhagen1721512%75.892.9-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1915193386
EBAA Aarhus1618181769
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.