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Vaerlose vs EBAA Aarhus Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 68-64
12-16 17-23 27-11 12-14
Position#7
Record5-14
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#6
Record7-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.7
DenmarkBasketligaen
Other2018-19
Meetings · Vaerlose v EBAA Aarhus
26 Jan 2020
VAER86
EBAA69
16 Mar 2019
VAER99
EBAA73
03 Mar 2019
VAER68
EBAA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
EBAA Aarhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
A22/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
H27/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
H02/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#11
W
111-77
111
77
+34
A07/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
70-112
70
112
-42
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
94-101
94
101
-7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A26/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
85-114
85
114
-29
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
16-17
13-15
11-24
16-31
17-26
16-19
21-19
21-20
33-21
23-22
16-21
–
–
–
–
20-33
19-28
15-23
16-28
23-20
21-28
27-24
23-29
15-18
27-14
25-20
12-19
22-11
25-19
23-13
18-17
28-29
19-29
17-27
21-29
18-16
21-26
13-20
22-22
171.2Avg total
82.9Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.188.0165.1-10.926%
Season at home (8)83.890.4174.1-6.625%
Season away (11)72.286.3158.5-14.127%
Last 10 (10)82.988.3171.2-5.440%
Last 5 (5)84.086.0170.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.798.5172.2-24.80%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.886.2164.0-8.333%
vs Weaker (7)81.671.6153.1+10.086%
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
56-82
56
82
-26
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
W
87-74
87
74
+13
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
56-88
56
88
-32
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
88-69
88
69
+19
H01/03
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-17
9-23
13-19
20-19
17-31
16-17
22-22
26-30
17-25
26-7
18-12
21-15
19-12
17-29
31-6
20-19
27-21
15-25
13-22
8-19
21-25
15-17
18-24
12-24
15-29
15-19
14-16
26-34
19-22
25-28
19-15
26-17
23-17
15-17
16-17
20-12
33-19
14-14
21-24
155.9Avg total
75.6Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)76.884.7161.5-7.937%
Season at home (11)71.677.5149.1-5.836%
Season away (8)83.994.8178.6-10.938%
Last 10 (10)75.680.3155.9-4.740%
Last 5 (5)75.081.8156.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.492.3164.8-19.90%
vs Similar ◀ (6)75.772.5148.2+3.267%
vs Weaker (5)84.270.2154.4+14.0100%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -5.3-5.3Q4: +0.8+0.8
VaerloseEBAA Aarhus
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A22/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#3
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H27/12
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H02/01
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Horsens
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H16/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/01
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H30/01
Basketligaen
Randers
#5
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A09/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/02
Basketligaen
89.0Avg total
42.9Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)39.042.681.6-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.540.281.8+1.250%-
Last 30 away (13)36.744.781.4-8.031%-
Last 10 (9)42.946.189.0-3.233%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.085.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.349.888.1-11.48%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.241.779.8-3.533%-
vs Weaker (6)42.031.873.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (EBAA Aarhus) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EBAA AarhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H30/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
Basketligaen
Herlev
#9
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A06/01
Denmark Cup
Stevnsgade
#5
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A13/01
Denmark Cup
Team FOG Naestved
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H16/01
Basketligaen
Horsens
#1
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H20/01
Denmark Cup
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
L
27-53
27
53
-26
H27/01
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#4
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A13/02
Basketligaen
Stevnsgade
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H23/02
Basketligaen
Herlev Wolfpack
#8
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H01/03
Basketligaen
83.4Avg total
40.4Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)38.943.482.3-4.530%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.140.176.2-4.031%-
Last 30 away (10)42.647.890.4-5.230%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.684.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.848.385.1-11.68%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.637.477.0+2.260%-
vs Weaker (5)42.635.478.0+7.260%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vaerlose wins
1
EBAA Aarhus wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose81-63
26/10/18EBAA Aarhus v Vaerlose64-67
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/19AHerlev Wolfpack74-84
09/02/19ARanders85-114
30/01/19HStevnsgade88-60
26/01/19AStevnsgade79-71
16/01/19HHorsens94-101
13/01/19ATeam FOG Naestved70-112
07/01/19AAmager111-77
02/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack93-84
27/12/18HTeam FOG Naestved70-95
22/12/18AHorsens65-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/19HHerlev Wolfpack88-69
23/02/19HStevnsgade80-68
13/02/19ASvendborg89-99
27/01/19HHerlev Wolfpack56-88
20/01/19HHorsens62-85
16/01/19HTeam FOG Naestved75-87
13/01/19AStevnsgade88-62
06/01/19AHerlev87-74
04/01/19HBakken Bears75-89
30/12/18HRanders56-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL26%
HomeLLWLW25%
AwayLLWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game77.183.872.2
Allowed / game88.090.486.3
Point differential-10.9-6.6-14.1
Avg total165.1174.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
EBAA Aarhus
Basketligaen 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW37%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%36%38%
Points / game76.871.683.9
Allowed / game84.777.594.8
Point differential-7.9-5.8-10.9
Avg total161.5149.1178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears2221195%103.580.6+22.8
2 Horsens2115671%94.381.4+12.9
3 Svendborg2113862%83.782.0+1.7
4 Team FOG Naestved2213959%91.381.9+9.4
5 Randers22121055%90.491.3-0.9
6 EBAA Aarhus1971237%76.884.7-7.9
7 Herlev Wolfpack2071335%82.593.5-11.0
8 Vaerlose1951426%77.188.0-10.9
9 Stevnsgade200200%69.890.7-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose1217271268
EBAA Aarhus1623111464
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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