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Vaerlose vs Herlev Wolfpack Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-84
25-24 21-19 17-20 25-21
Position#7
Record5-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game90.3
vs
Position#5
Record8-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.7
DenmarkBasketligaenRound 18
Other2019-20
Meetings · Vaerlose v Herlev Wolfpack
08 Mar 2025
VAER100
HERL80
03 Oct 2024
VAER71
HERL86
07 Jan 2024
VAER81
HERL76
01 Dec 2022
VAER71
HERL85
20 Mar 2022
VAER74
HERL64
13 Jan 2022
VAER103
HERL87
26 Mar 2021
VAER88
HERL82
23 Jan 2020
VAER88
HERL84
11 Oct 2019
VAER96
HERL93
02 Jan 2019
VAER93
HERL84
02 Nov 2018
VAER84
HERL109
09 Mar 2015
VAER77
HERL105
16 Nov 2014
VAER73
HERL84
22 Mar 2014
VAER68
HERL89
11 Dec 2013
VAER68
HERL91
28 Sep 2011
VAER73
HERL82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vaerlose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Herlev Wolfpack winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VaerloseDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A03/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
A17/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
96-82
96
82
+14
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
H08/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
85-95
85
95
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
71-85
71
85
-14
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
98-71
98
71
+27
A15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
18-18
18-14
19-23
27-23
21-24
26-23
17-32
21-31
17-27
17-17
26-27
19-17
19-28
27-26
20-24
20-17
30-14
23-19
23-32
23-14
20-22
19-19
26-20
19-16
19-32
27-23
18-29
25-23
16-28
24-25
20-19
20-24
22-20
13-20
16-21
24-13
25-14
18-21
31-23
173.7Avg total
85.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.590.3174.9-5.833%
Season at home (7)81.791.7173.4-10.029%
Season away (8)87.089.1176.1-2.138%
Last 10 (10)85.788.0173.7-2.340%
Last 5 (5)85.085.2170.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)80.299.1179.3-18.90%
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.182.0167.1+3.171%
vs Weaker (7)88.177.7165.9+10.471%
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H23/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A09/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A15/12
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H29/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
85-82
85
82
+3
H15/01
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
23-23
17-26
21-24
17-31
13-24
20-12
21-32
10-21
18-15
22-14
21-15
18-25
25-16
13-23
21-17
21-16
16-13
18-22
29-14
26-16
15-24
18-26
11-21
22-20
21-29
32-20
24-27
27-19
28-20
27-33
18-27
17-25
13-18
18-20
16-31
21-21
18-26
31-17
15-18
166.2Avg total
80.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.882.7163.5-1.953%
Season at home (7)81.679.7161.3+1.971%
Season away (8)80.185.2165.4-5.138%
Last 10 (10)80.685.6166.2-5.050%
Last 5 (5)83.691.6175.2-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.995.5168.4-22.513%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.379.8161.2+1.533%
vs Weaker (9)85.376.3161.7+9.089%
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
VaerloseHerlev Wolfpack
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VaerloseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A03/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A17/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A30/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H08/12
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H15/12
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A29/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H10/01
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
49-27
49
27
+22
A15/01
Basketligaen
85.2Avg total
42.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.444.385.8-2.938%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.844.085.8-2.240%-
Last 30 away (14)41.144.785.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)42.942.385.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.283.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)39.150.289.3-11.17%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.940.184.0+3.757%-
vs Weaker (7)44.036.080.0+8.086%-
This opponent (Herlev Wolfpack) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Herlev WolfpackLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Horsens
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H30/10
Basketligaen
Randers
#2
L
30-55
30
55
-25
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H06/11
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A14/11
Basketligaen
Amager
#10
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H23/11
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A09/12
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A15/12
Basketligaen
EBAA Aarhus
#8
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H29/12
Basketligaen
Horsens
#3
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A11/01
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/01
Basketligaen
81.0Avg total
39.3Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.743.982.6-5.243%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.341.882.2-1.558%-
Last 30 away (18)37.745.382.9-7.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.341.781.0-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.685.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.547.983.4-12.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.740.783.3+2.067%-
vs Weaker (9)41.639.380.9+2.256%-
This opponent (Vaerlose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vaerlose wins
8
Herlev Wolfpack wins
Vaerloselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20AAmager98-71
10/01/20HBakken Bears71-85
29/12/19ARanders85-95
15/12/19HTeam FOG Naestved83-100
08/12/19HCopenhagen88-75
30/11/19ASvendborg96-82
24/11/19AHorsens85-95
17/11/19ABakken Bears81-102
08/11/19HRanders91-102
03/11/19AEBAA Aarhus79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/20HCopenhagen85-82
11/01/20AHorsens64-94
29/12/19HEBAA Aarhus100-99
15/12/19ABakken Bears99-96
09/12/19ASvendborg70-87
23/11/19HAmager84-65
14/11/19ATeam FOG Naestved77-81
06/11/19HCopenhagen71-65
02/11/19ARanders71-99
30/10/19HHorsens85-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vaerlose
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLWLL29%
AwayLLWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%29%38%
Points / game84.581.787.0
Allowed / game90.391.789.1
Point differential-5.8-10.0-2.1
Avg total174.9173.4176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Herlev Wolfpack
Basketligaen 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW53%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%71%38%
Points / game80.881.680.1
Allowed / game82.779.785.2
Point differential-1.9+1.9-5.1
Avg total163.5161.3165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears1614288%95.274.8+20.4
2 Horsens1714382%91.174.4+16.6
3 Randers1714382%95.179.9+15.2
4 Svendborg1710759%84.281.1+3.1
5 Herlev Wolfpack158753%80.882.7-1.9
6 Team FOG Naestved189950%82.979.1+3.8
7 Vaerlose1551033%84.590.3-5.8
8 EBAA Aarhus1531220%74.190.0-15.9
9 Copenhagen1621412%75.693.5-17.9
10 Amager141137%74.499.3-24.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vaerlose2521172588
Herlev Wolfpack2419202184
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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