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Edmonton Stingers vs Niagara River Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 92-81
23-19 26-23 20-22 23-17
Position#4
Record13-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#3
Record14-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game88.0
CanadaCEBL· EXPO Centre
Other2025
Meetings · Edmonton Stingers v Niagara River
08 Aug 2025
EDMO92
NIAG81
09 Jun 2024
EDMO79
NIAG100
31 May 2023
EDMO99
NIAG94
27 May 2022
EDMO74
NIAG86
22 Aug 2021
EDMO101
NIAG65
02 Jul 2021
EDMO82
NIAG75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Edmonton Stingers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara River winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Edmonton StingersCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStingers
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
98-81
98
81
+17
95avg 87
H29/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
93avg 87
H01/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
W
113-90
113
90
+23
111avg 87
H06/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
65avg 87
A11/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 87
A17/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
99-111
99
111
-12
76avg 87
A21/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
95-92
95
92
+3
88avg 87
A26/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
105-121
105
121
-16
90avg 87
H02/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
88-90
88
90
-2
77avg 87
H03/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
100-94
100
94
+6
102avg 87
A07/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
26-25
23-30
21-12
22-21
26-17
17-19
29-26
24-17
16-26
42-21
31-26
23-29
19-13
18-20
21-13
16-27
19-11
28-27
24-20
25-27
21-28
23-29
30-27
25-26
24-22
16-25
30-19
25-31
32-29
24-37
24-24
29-30
16-14
18-21
25-25
26-30
25-27
24-19
25-18
188.2Avg total
96.0Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)94.092.0186.0+1.959%
Season at home (10)96.789.5186.2+7.260%
Season away (12)91.794.2185.8-2.558%
Last 10 (10)96.092.2188.2+3.870%
Last 5 (5)97.4101.6199.0-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)96.599.8196.2-3.238%
vs Similar (10)85.987.6173.5-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.888.2182.9+6.675%
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverCanadaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiver
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
87avg 78
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 78
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
96-77
96
77
+19
94avg 78
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
97avg 78
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 78
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
91-89
91
89
+2
86avg 78
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
76avg 78
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
93-96
93
96
-3
84avg 78
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
64-81
64
81
-17
47avg 78
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 78
A07/08
CEBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
23-14
22-20
20-24
13-19
28-15
15-16
21-23
20-17
20-22
27-17
29-21
17-26
20-13
34-13
26-27
24-19
26-10
20-22
26-30
27-18
14-17
21-29
29-25
15-27
23-23
20-14
28-20
19-26
23-18
30-20
21-32
20-21
9-21
18-23
17-16
27-21
18-21
16-23
20-21
170.2Avg total
87.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.688.0174.5-1.464%
Season at home (12)93.787.4181.1+6.275%
Season away (10)78.188.6166.7-10.550%
Last 10 (10)87.482.8170.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)83.087.2170.2-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)88.596.5185.0-8.050%
vs Similar (14)88.288.5176.7-0.371%
vs Weaker (12)89.686.8176.4+2.875%
This opponent (Edmonton Stingers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
Edmonton StingersNiagara River
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Edmonton StingersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H29/06
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H01/07
CEBL
Guelph Nighthawks
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H06/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A17/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A21/07
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A26/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H02/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/08
CEBL
Saskatchewan Rattlers
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A07/08
CEBL
93.1Avg total
46.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.591.6+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.743.290.9+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)44.547.892.3-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)46.746.493.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.652.8102.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)47.449.596.9-2.125%-
vs Similar (10)42.443.686.0-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)48.344.492.8+3.975%-
This opponent (Niagara River) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Niagara RiverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H04/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A06/07
CEBL
Fraser Valley Bandits
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H10/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
W
50-29
50
29
+21
H20/07
CEBL
Montreal Alliance
#8
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H25/07
CEBL
Brampton Honey Badgers
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A27/07
CEBL
Ottawa Blackjacks
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/07
CEBL
Scarborough Shooting Stars
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A03/08
CEBL
Winnipeg Sea Bears
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A07/08
CEBL
80.6Avg total
41.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.843.988.7+0.960%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.941.588.4+5.478%-
Last 30 away (12)41.647.589.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.280.6+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.042.681.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.549.293.8-4.850%-
vs Similar (14)44.441.886.2+2.664%-
vs Weaker (12)45.344.689.9+0.858%-
This opponent (Edmonton Stingers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Edmonton Stingerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Edmonton Stingers: 95.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.1
52.7%
50.7%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.0
33.8%
34.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.714.5
77.5%
72.4%14.5
They take 78.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Niagara Rivertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niagara River: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.222.2
48.1%
50.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.7
32.6%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.416.5
73.7%
72.4%16.5
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Edmonton Stingers
WLLWLWWWWW
Niagara River
LLLWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#3
+4.0
Net rating
+6.7
109.9
Offensive rating
108.5
105.9
Defensive rating
101.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.4%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
16.3%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
32.6%
55.1%
Assist %
67.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 108.5Defence105.9 · 101.8Shooting52.1% · 48.4%3-point %33.8% · 32.6%Ball care16.3% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 32.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Edmonton Stingers   ■ Niagara River
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/25ASaskatchewan Rattlers100-94
03/08/25HSaskatchewan Rattlers88-90
02/08/25HFraser Valley Bandits105-121
26/07/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears95-92
21/07/25AFraser Valley Bandits99-111
17/07/25AOttawa Blackjacks87-85
11/07/25AScarborough Shooting Stars81-75
06/07/25HGuelph Nighthawks113-90
01/07/25HMontreal Alliance94-83
29/06/25HScarborough Shooting Stars98-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/08/25AWinnipeg Sea Bears81-86
03/08/25AScarborough Shooting Stars64-81
31/07/25HOttawa Blackjacks93-96
27/07/25ABrampton Honey Badgers86-84
25/07/25HMontreal Alliance91-89
20/07/25HScarborough Shooting Stars96-81
16/07/25HBrampton Honey Badgers97-79
10/07/25HFraser Valley Bandits96-77
06/07/25AMontreal Alliance77-73
04/07/25HWinnipeg Sea Bears93-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Edmonton Stingers
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW59%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %59%60%58%
Points / game94.096.791.7
Allowed / game92.089.594.2
Point differential+1.9+7.2-2.5
Avg total186.0186.2185.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%60%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Niagara River
CEBL 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game86.693.778.1
Allowed / game88.087.488.6
Point differential-1.4+6.2-10.5
Avg total174.5181.1166.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)60% (5)83% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fraser Valley Bandits2318578%97.587.4+10.1
2 Guelph Nighthawks2215768%94.988.2+6.7
3 Niagara River2214864%86.688.0-1.4
4 Edmonton Stingers2213959%94.092.0+1.9
5 Ottawa Blackjacks23121152%91.587.5+4.0
6 Scarborough Shooting Stars23111248%89.888.9+0.9
7 Winnipeg Sea Bears23111248%85.988.9-3.0
8 Montreal Alliance2381535%87.488.7-1.3
9 Saskatchewan Rattlers2261627%85.593.5-8.0
10 Brampton Honey Badgers2351822%80.490.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Edmonton Stingers2326202392
Niagara River1923221781
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