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El Talar W vs Avellaneda W Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Projected 77-60
Projected total 136.1
Final 74-47
25-9 13-12 25-20 11-6
Position#5
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game60.2
Vs
93%
■ EL T 93%■ AVEL 7%
Pythia win probability
Position#18
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.3
Allowed / game69.1
ArgentinaLiga Femenina Women· Gimnasio Teodoro Palacios Flores
Women2027
Meetings · El Talar W v Avellaneda W
10 Nov 2026
EL T74
AVEL47
06 Mar 2025
EL T81
AVEL63
07 Dec 2024
EL T71
AVEL48
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

El Talar W host Avellaneda W on 10 November 2026 in the Liga Femenina Women, with the Pythia model naming El Talar W the clear favourite at 91% due to their 3-1 season record, 72.5 points per game and only 60.2 points allowed, placing them fifth, while Avellaneda W sit 14th with 1-3, 59.5 points per game and 64.8 points allowed; El Talar W have a 1-1 home record, averaging 67.5 points and conceding 68.5 at home, and have won three of their last five, including a 67-53 away win over Avellaneda W on 16 October 2026, whereas Avellaneda W are 0-2 on the road, averaging 51.5 points and conceding 74.0, and have lost four of their last five, most recently 53-67 at home to El Talar W; the teams have met five times, all victories for El Talar W, the last being the 67-53 win on 16 October 2026; Pythia projects a 75-60 score for El Talar W, a total of 135.3 points, a 91% probability that El Talar W will win and a 9% chance for Avellaneda W, with a 2% overtime probability.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

El Talar W winWon
92.9%fair 1.08
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellaneda W winLost
7.1%fair 14.13
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

El Talar WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
74-50
74
50
+24
A06/04
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
55-71
55
71
-16
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
88-51
88
51
+37
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-15
24-9
13-12
21-22
23-10
22-12
12-11
14-18
11-12
16-12
26-11
17-10
10-15
9-17
20-10
17-14
7-19
11-12
20-26
10-24
11-13
20-22
33-21
18-20
17-28
22-11
14-11
18-13
14-11
22-13
13-16
21-8
16-17
32-11
19-15
25-20
15-15
10-13
14-19
129.6Avg total
69.4Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.560.2132.8+12.275%
Season at home (2)67.568.5136.0-1.050%
Season away (2)77.552.0129.5+25.5100%
Last 10 (10)69.460.2129.6+9.270%
Last 5 (5)72.864.2137.0+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)67.170.7137.8-3.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)71.962.8134.7+9.179%
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellaneda WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa W
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
51-74
51
74
-23
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
82-44
82
44
+38
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
L
53-67
53
67
-14
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
45-85
45
85
-40
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A09/11
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-10
13-22
13-15
28-9
17-28
15-16
17-17
13-16
18-23
9-20
12-10
12-21
16-11
20-13
23-6
23-14
13-18
11-14
13-22
16-13
11-18
16-27
6-22
12-18
15-24
15-15
13-10
15-14
23-24
12-16
10-24
11-23
10-16
11-15
11-7
11-12
16-21
19-22
26-27
17-18
129.2Avg total
60.1Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)59.369.1128.4-9.914%
Season at home (4)58.562.0120.5-3.525%
Season away (3)60.378.7139.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)60.169.1129.2-9.020%
Last 5 (5)56.074.6130.6-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)57.575.8133.2-18.30%
vs Similar (11)63.559.4122.8+4.164%
vs Weaker (6)74.752.5127.2+22.283%
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 121Push
Over 121
83.0%
Under 121
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 126Actual: Under 126
Over 126
73.8%
Under 126
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 131Actual: Under 131
Over 131
62.5%
Under 131
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

El Talar W total 60.5Actual: El Talar W over 60.5
Over 60.5
94.7%
Under 60.5
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Talar W total 64.5Actual: El Talar W over 64.5
Over 64.5
88.9%
Under 64.5
11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
El Talar W total 68.5Actual: El Talar W over 68.5
Over 68.5
79.4%
Under 68.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 58Actual: Avellaneda W under 58
Over 58
55.9%
Under 58
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 62Actual: Avellaneda W under 62
Over 62
39.4%
Under 62
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellaneda W total 66Actual: Avellaneda W under 66
Over 66
24.9%
Under 66
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread El Talar W -3Actual: El Talar W -3
EL T -3
90.1%
AVEL +3
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
EL T
No market prices yet.
AVEL
No market prices yet.
Spread El Talar W 0Actual: El Talar W 0
EL T 0
92.9%
AVEL 0
7.1%
Best 5 market prices
EL T
No market prices yet.
AVEL
No market prices yet.
Spread El Talar W +3Actual: El Talar W +3
EL T +3
95.4%
AVEL -3
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
EL T
No market prices yet.
AVEL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.0+0.0
El Talar WAvellaneda W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
El Talar WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/04
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H20/04
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
27-25
27
25
+2
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H02/05
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A08/05
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H10/10
Liga Femenina Women
Avellaneda W
#18
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A19/10
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/10
Liga Femenina Women
64.0Avg total
32.2Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.066.5+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.435.169.5-0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)32.730.863.5+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)32.231.864.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)33.033.866.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)30.134.464.5-4.327%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)35.532.267.7+3.474%-
This opponent (Avellaneda W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellaneda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quimsa W
#9
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H18/04
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/04
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
W
36-24
36
24
+12
H11/10
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#5
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H16/10
Liga Femenina Women
Ferro W
#12
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A29/10
Liga Femenina Women
Regatas San Nicolas W
#19
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A30/10
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H06/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#11
L
21-31
21
31
-10
H07/11
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A09/11
Liga Femenina Women
67.2Avg total
29.9Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.033.564.5-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.532.966.4+0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)28.134.362.4-6.229%-
Last 10 (10)29.937.367.2-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)29.639.669.2-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.239.167.3-10.88%-
vs Similar (11)30.731.462.1-0.636%-
vs Weaker (6)37.325.562.8+11.883%-
This opponent (El Talar W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
El Talar Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

El Talar W: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.717.7
41.5%
42.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.39.1
40.8%
27.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.213.6
61.3%
63.8%13.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellaneda Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellaneda W: 66.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.6
56.2%
42.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.45.1
23.8%
27.6%15.3
🏀 Free throws20.512.2
59.5%
63.8%12.2
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
El Talar W
LWWWLLWWWW
Avellaneda W
LLLLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#18
+20.5
Net rating
+10.4
104.5
Offensive rating
100.9
83.9
Defensive rating
90.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
39.2%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
40.8%
3-point %
23.8%
43.3%
Assist %
44.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 100.9Defence83.9 · 90.4Shooting48.2% · 48.4%3-point %40.8% · 23.8%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ El Talar W   ■ Avellaneda W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
El Talar W wins
0
Avellaneda W wins
El Talar Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/26HUnion Florida W64-67
19/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W88-51
16/10/26AAvellaneda W67-53
10/10/26HFerro W71-70
08/05/26AObras Sanitarias W74-80
02/05/26HObras Sanitarias W55-71
25/04/26AHindu W56-52
20/04/26HHindu W67-53
12/04/26HIndependiente Neuquen W78-55
06/04/26AIndependiente Neuquen W74-50
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AObras Sanitarias W78-88
07/11/26HUnion Florida W43-50
06/11/26HBerazategui W56-87
30/10/26ARegatas San Nicolas W58-63
29/10/26AFerro W45-85
16/10/26HEl Talar W53-67
11/10/26HRegatas San Nicolas W82-44
25/04/26AObras Sanitarias W51-74
18/04/26HObras Sanitarias W62-77
12/04/26HQuimsa W73-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

El Talar W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game72.567.577.5
Allowed / game60.268.552.0
Point differential+12.2-1.0+25.5
Avg total132.8136.0129.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellaneda W
Liga Femenina Women 2027
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game59.358.560.3
Allowed / game69.162.078.7
Point differential-9.9-3.5-18.3
Avg total128.4120.5139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rocamora W550100%74.254.8+19.4
2 Boca W76186%75.356.4+18.9
3 Obras Sanitarias W76186%73.668.7+4.9
4 Independiente Neuquen W65183%62.759.0+3.7
5 El Talar W43175%72.560.2+12.2
6 Hindu W75271%69.354.4+14.9
7 Berazategui W64267%77.062.8+14.2
8 Quilmes W64267%67.260.0+7.2
9 Velez Sarsfield W64267%60.254.8+5.3
10 Instituto W53260%64.862.2+2.6
11 Ferro W74357%73.961.4+12.4
12 Union Florida W63350%62.263.2-1.0
13 San Jose W62433%55.854.8+1.0
14 Deportivo Chanares W51420%63.062.4+0.6
15 El Bigua W61517%58.567.5-9.0
16 Penarol W61517%53.264.3-11.2
17 Avellaneda W71614%59.369.1-9.9
18 Union Bahia W71614%51.166.6-15.4
19 Regatas San Nicolas W71614%54.380.0-25.7
20 Sociedad Espanola W4040%26.582.2-55.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
El Talar W2513251174
Avellaneda W91220647
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