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Elbasani vs Fieri Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-77
17-13 19-24 25-18 27-22
Position#8
Record3-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game102.9
vs
Position#9
Record3-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game91.0
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tomorr Sinani
Other2025-26
Meetings · Elbasani v Fieri
25 Jan 2026
ELBA88
FIER77
13 Oct 2023
ELBA98
FIER68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fieri winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-144
74
144
-70
63avg 68
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
93-122
93
122
-29
81avg 68
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
60avg 68
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 68
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 68
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
80-111
80
111
-31
71avg 68
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
70avg 68
A12/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
76-124
76
124
-48
63avg 68
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-125
75
125
-50
52avg 68
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
no box
A17/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
14-38
17-45
29-33
20-33
19-29
29-30
25-30
21-24
20-31
11-24
22-22
21-24
22-22
18-25
24-26
22-26
29-13
33-22
23-17
26-23
15-31
17-24
22-33
18-20
19-16
19-15
27-14
15-33
18-35
22-28
21-28
26-24
17-32
15-37
17-32
18-28
22-17
33-36
32-24
193.8Avg total
85.8Scored
108.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.5102.9189.4-16.425%
Season at home (6)81.2106.8188.0-25.717%
Season away (6)91.899.0190.8-7.233%
Last 10 (10)85.8108.0193.8-22.220%
Last 5 (5)85.0107.6192.6-22.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)76.2111.0187.3-34.80%
vs Similar (2)104.588.5193.0+16.050%
vs Weaker (4)92.873.8166.5+19.0100%
This opponent (Fieri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FieriAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFieri
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
89-72
89
72
+17
90avg 61
A19/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
63-74
63
74
-11
53avg 61
H27/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
52-113
52
113
-61
39avg 61
A04/11
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
83-106
83
106
-23
72avg 61
A09/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
66-108
66
108
-42
49avg 61
A16/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
71-90
71
90
-19
62avg 61
A06/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
L
80-84
80
84
-4
no box
H13/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
59-120
59
120
-61
39avg 61
H21/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
79-50
79
50
+29
49avg 61
A11/01
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
73-99
73
99
-26
no box
H17/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
21-17
17-23
25-19
17-15
15-15
15-23
16-21
19-29
9-35
9-27
15-22
21-27
13-35
24-22
25-22
14-25
19-33
14-30
19-20
8-28
30-23
11-17
22-22
18-20
18-20
21-22
23-22
18-33
12-30
11-40
18-17
23-13
11-11
27-5
18-21
18-27
19-27
18-25
18-20
163.1Avg total
71.5Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)74.291.0165.2-16.825%
Season at home (5)73.291.8165.0-18.620%
Season away (7)74.990.4165.3-15.629%
Last 10 (10)71.591.6163.1-20.120%
Last 5 (5)72.488.6161.0-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.7101.0169.7-32.20%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.067.8152.8+17.283%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -6.9-6.9Q2: -7.9-7.9Q3Q3: -7.2-7.2Q3: -6.7-6.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
ElbasaniFieri
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/12
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
33-68
33
68
-35
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/01
Superliga
92.3Avg total
39.6Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.051.390.3-12.327%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.852.090.8-13.220%-
Last 30 away (15)39.250.789.9-11.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.652.792.3-13.120%-
Last 5 (5)38.851.890.6-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.755.292.9-17.612%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker (4)45.236.081.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (Fieri) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FieriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A19/10
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-64
28
64
-36
A04/11
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
34-62
34
62
-28
A09/11
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A16/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A06/12
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H13/12
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
30-63
30
63
-33
H21/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A11/01
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H17/01
Superliga
82.5Avg total
34.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.949.183.9-14.221%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.249.887.0-12.525%-
Last 30 away (17)33.248.681.8-15.418%-
Last 10 (10)34.947.682.5-12.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.046.481.4-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)33.353.386.7-20.04%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.832.773.5+8.283%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.322.5
52.0%
56.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.6
36.8%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.611.5
65.3%
67.8%11.5
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fieritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fieri: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.820.7
46.2%
56.4%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.86.1
32.4%
34.4%18.3
🏀 Free throws16.410.5
64.0%
67.8%10.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
LLLWLWLLLL
Fieri
LWLLLLLLLW
#8
League position
#9
-27.1
Net rating
-26.0
98.2
Offensive rating
90.3
125.3
Defensive rating
116.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
46.9%
60.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
32.4%
41.8%
Assist %
48.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 90.3Defence125.3 · 116.2Shooting53.1% · 46.9%3-point %36.8% · 32.4%Ball care19.9% · 21.2%Off. rebounds25.8% · 29.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Elbasani   ■ Fieri
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Elbasani wins
1
Fieri wins
DateGameScore
12/10/25Fieri v Elbasani91-82
03/02/24Fieri v Elbasani78-85
13/10/23Elbasani v Fieri98-68
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26APogradeci111-113 OT
10/01/26AKamza Basket75-125
18/12/25HTirana76-124
12/12/25APartizani Tirana83-65
05/12/25HApolonia Fier80-111
15/11/25APBC Flamurtari107-78
10/11/25HTeuta Durres85-97
01/11/25HVllaznia74-101
26/10/25ASkenderbeu93-122
17/10/25HBeselidhja74-144
Fierilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26HTirana73-99
11/01/26APartizani Tirana79-50
21/12/25HApolonia Fier59-120
13/12/25HPBC Flamurtari80-84
06/12/25ATeuta Durres71-90
16/11/25AVllaznia66-108
09/11/25ASkenderbeu83-106
04/11/25ABeselidhja52-113
27/10/25HKamza Basket63-74
19/10/25APogradeci89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeLLLLL17%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %25%17%33%
Points / game86.581.291.8
Allowed / game102.9106.899.0
Point differential-16.4-25.7-7.2
Avg total189.4188.0190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Fieri
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game74.273.274.9
Allowed / game91.091.890.4
Point differential-16.8-18.6-15.6
Avg total165.2165.0165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja13130100%113.166.0+47.1
2 Tirana1311285%98.578.8+19.7
3 Vllaznia1310377%83.573.5+10.0
4 Apolonia Fier139469%92.075.0+17.0
5 Teuta Durres139469%84.780.5+4.2
6 Kamza Basket137654%91.681.2+10.4
7 Skenderbeu137654%86.581.2+5.4
8 Elbasani123925%86.5102.9-16.4
9 Fieri123925%74.291.0-16.8
10 Pogradeci1321115%76.3101.0-24.7
11 Partizani Tirana1321115%67.492.4-25.0
12 PBC Flamurtari131128%64.898.2-33.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani1719252788
Fieri1324182277
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