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Elbasani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-124
15-33 18-35 22-28 21-28
Position#8
Record3-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game97.0
Elbasani
Albania
vs
Tirana 🏆
Albania
Position#2
Record8-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game78.9
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tomorr Sinani
Other2025-26
Meetings · Elbasani v Tirana
18 Dec 2025
ELBA76
TIRA124
16 Apr 2025
ELBA55
TIRA103
01 Mar 2024
ELBA100
TIRA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
55-103
55
103
-48
42avg 70
H16/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
98-64
98
64
+34
98avg 70
H05/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 70
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-144
74
144
-70
63avg 70
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
93-122
93
122
-29
81avg 70
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
74-101
74
101
-27
60avg 70
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
85-97
85
97
-12
75avg 70
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
108avg 70
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
80-111
80
111
-31
71avg 70
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
70avg 70
A12/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-41
16-20
14-20
14-22
28-11
17-14
25-20
28-19
22-22
26-29
22-16
12-24
14-28
14-38
17-45
29-33
20-33
19-29
29-30
25-30
21-24
20-31
11-24
22-22
21-24
22-22
18-25
24-26
22-26
29-13
33-22
23-17
26-23
15-31
17-24
22-33
18-20
19-16
19-15
27-14
180.7Avg total
83.1Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.297.0183.2-10.833%
Season at home (5)82.2103.4185.6-21.220%
Season away (4)91.289.0180.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)83.197.6180.7-14.530%
Last 5 (5)85.890.4176.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)76.1109.4185.6-33.30%
vs Similar (1)98.064.0162.0+34.0100%
vs Weaker (6)98.767.8166.5+30.8100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#7
W
103-55
103
55
+48
102avg 82
A16/04
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
94-84
94
84
+10
92avg 82
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
76-118
76
118
-42
54avg 82
A12/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
94-67
94
67
+27
93avg 82
H18/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
W
72-69
72
69
+3
67avg 82
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
103-72
103
72
+31
98avg 82
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
110-66
110
66
+44
103avg 82
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
71avg 82
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
120-61
120
61
+59
129avg 82
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
97-90
97
90
+7
79avg 82
A13/12
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-11
20-16
20-14
22-14
30-11
17-17
29-21
18-35
23-22
18-31
9-39
26-26
25-15
24-19
18-17
27-16
16-22
23-23
20-11
13-13
28-14
20-14
28-24
27-20
28-24
26-9
29-20
27-13
23-25
27-12
16-24
21-22
31-11
31-18
33-12
25-20
26-18
21-25
26-19
24-28
172.1Avg total
95.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.878.9173.7+15.989%
Season at home (5)98.069.4167.4+28.6100%
Season away (4)90.890.8181.5+0.075%
Last 10 (10)95.676.5172.1+19.190%
Last 5 (5)103.474.4177.8+29.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.589.3158.8-19.820%
vs Similar (2)84.085.0169.0-1.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.472.3162.8+18.178%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +9.8+9.8Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
ElbasaniTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tirana
#3
L
27-61
27
61
-34
H16/04
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H05/10
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A12/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H17/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
39-62
39
62
-23
A26/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/11
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A15/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H05/12
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A12/12
Superliga
89.5Avg total
40.0Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.648.789.3-8.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.947.289.1-5.231%-
Last 30 away (14)39.150.489.5-11.436%-
Last 10 (10)40.049.589.5-9.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.646.088.6-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.854.392.1-16.513%-
vs Similar (1)45.025.070.0+20.0100%-
vs Weaker (6)50.531.281.7+19.3100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Elbasani
#7
W
61-27
61
27
+34
A16/04
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H04/10
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/10
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H18/10
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H25/10
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A06/11
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#12
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H08/11
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A15/11
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
62-29
62
29
+33
H07/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/12
Superliga
85.5Avg total
49.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.538.680.1+3.052%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.578.7+5.753%-
Last 30 away (14)40.840.781.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)49.835.785.5+14.180%-
Last 5 (5)52.234.086.2+18.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.245.079.2-10.810%-
vs Similar (2)45.042.587.5+2.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.434.379.7+11.171%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.623.3
53.4%
56.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.9
35.6%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.79.4
59.9%
67.8%9.4
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 94.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.926.7
59.5%
56.4%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
34.4%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.3
70.8%
67.8%15.3
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
WLWLLLLLWL
Tirana
WWWWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#2
-16.6
Net rating
+23.4
100.3
Offensive rating
119.2
116.9
Defensive rating
95.8
53.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.6%
3-point %
33.1%
49.4%
Assist %
52.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 119.2Defence116.9 · 95.8Shooting53.4% · 55.8%3-point %35.6% · 33.1%Ball care18.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Elbasani   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
4
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
16/04/25Elbasani v Tirana55-103
12/04/25Tirana v Elbasani140-58
01/03/24Elbasani v Tirana100-130
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25APartizani Tirana83-65
05/12/25HApolonia Fier80-111
15/11/25APBC Flamurtari107-78
10/11/25HTeuta Durres85-97
01/11/25HVllaznia74-101
26/10/25ASkenderbeu93-122
17/10/25HBeselidhja74-144
12/10/25AFieri82-91
05/10/25HPogradeci98-64
16/04/25HTirana55-103
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25AKamza Basket97-90
07/12/25HPartizani Tirana120-61
15/11/25AApolonia Fier87-83
08/11/25HPBC Flamurtari110-66
06/11/25ATeuta Durres103-72
25/10/25HVllaznia72-69
18/10/25HSkenderbeu94-67
12/10/25ABeselidhja76-118
04/10/25HFieri94-84
16/04/25AElbasani103-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game86.282.291.2
Allowed / game97.0103.489.0
Point differential-10.8-21.2+2.2
Avg total183.2185.6180.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tirana
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game94.898.090.8
Allowed / game78.969.490.8
Point differential+15.9+28.6+0.0
Avg total173.7167.4181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%80%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja990100%113.965.2+48.7
2 Apolonia Fier98189%93.273.4+19.8
3 Tirana98189%94.878.9+15.9
4 Vllaznia96367%85.275.6+9.7
5 Teuta Durres96367%80.380.1+0.2
6 Kamza Basket95456%88.479.9+8.6
7 Skenderbeu94544%87.087.1-0.1
8 Elbasani93633%86.297.0-10.8
9 Fieri92722%75.491.4-16.0
10 Partizani Tirana102820%74.189.5-15.4
11 PBC Flamurtari91811%64.897.7-32.9
12 Pogradeci101910%72.996.2-23.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani1518222176
Tirana33352828124
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