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Elbasani vs PBC Flamurtari Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:45
Final 93-89
16-25 33-23 27-22 17-19
Position#8
Record5-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game104.9
vs
Position#12
Record2-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game96.8
AlbaniaSuperliga· Tomorr Sinani
Other2025-26
Meetings · Elbasani v PBC Flamurtari
15 Mar 2026
ELBA93
PBC 89
24 Nov 2023
ELBA79
PBC 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PBC Flamurtari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Tirana
#2
L
76-124
76
124
-48
63avg 66
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
75-125
75
125
-50
52avg 66
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
111-113 OT
111
113
-2
no box
A17/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
79avg 66
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
80-125
80
125
-45
58avg 66
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
71-106
71
106
-35
50avg 66
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
no box
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
68-118
68
118
-50
62avg 66
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
69-147
69
147
-78
no box
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
74-93
74
93
-19
60avg 66
A08/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-33
18-35
22-28
21-28
26-24
17-32
15-37
17-32
18-28
22-17
33-36
32-24
17-13
19-24
25-18
27-22
19-37
23-29
21-29
17-30
19-28
16-26
26-21
10-31
22-17
13-32
29-15
19-19
14-34
3-29
28-26
23-29
15-39
18-30
21-40
15-38
10-15
12-27
24-27
28-24
192.9Avg total
80.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.4104.9188.3-21.626%
Season at home (8)80.8103.0183.8-22.225%
Season away (11)85.3106.4191.6-21.127%
Last 10 (10)80.8112.1192.9-31.320%
Last 5 (5)75.6111.4187.0-35.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.2114.7192.9-36.48%
vs Similar (2)104.588.5193.0+16.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.873.8166.5+19.0100%
This opponent (PBC Flamurtari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PBC FlamurtariAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamurtari
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
64avg 57
H06/12
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A13/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
56-110
56
110
-54
48avg 57
H21/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
73-100
73
100
-27
62avg 57
A10/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
61-78
61
78
-17
no box
H18/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
70-109
70
109
-39
57avg 57
A24/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
66-101
66
101
-35
62avg 57
H01/02
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
54-95
54
95
-41
43avg 57
H07/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
79-59
79
59
+20
83avg 57
H13/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
80-115
80
115
-35
75avg 57
H07/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-24
23-25
17-20
27-24
20-18
20-18
22-21
22-23
8-31
20-35
14-19
14-25
9-29
27-20
18-30
19-21
23-22
12-18
11-19
15-19
19-21
11-32
20-32
20-24
19-23
19-26
13-36
15-16
14-26
14-20
12-25
14-24
16-12
23-14
21-16
19-17
16-25
21-27
23-29
20-34
163.7Avg total
69.7Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)66.096.8162.8-30.812%
Season at home (9)64.893.2158.0-28.411%
Season away (8)67.4100.9168.2-33.512%
Last 10 (10)69.794.0163.7-24.320%
Last 5 (5)69.895.8165.6-26.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)64.795.4160.1-30.74%
vs Similar (2)70.580.0150.5-9.550%
vs Weaker (4)92.567.2159.8+25.2100%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -12.0-12.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
-15-8+0+8+15Q1Q1: -9.3-9.3Q1: -8.0-8.0Q2Q2: -12.0-12.0Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -7.6-7.6Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -4.2-4.2
ElbasaniPBC Flamurtari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tirana
#2
L
33-68
33
68
-35
H18/12
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A10/01
Superliga
Pogradeci
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A17/01
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H25/01
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
42-66
42
66
-24
A01/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H08/02
Superliga
Fieri
#9
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A11/02
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
17-63
17
63
-46
A14/02
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
33-69
33
69
-36
A17/02
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A08/03
Superliga
88.5Avg total
33.6Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.753.190.8-15.420%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.754.191.8-16.48%-
Last 30 away (17)37.752.390.0-14.629%-
Last 10 (10)33.654.988.5-21.30%-
Last 5 (5)28.455.483.8-27.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)36.057.493.5-21.44%-
vs Similar (2)42.535.077.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)45.236.081.2+9.2100%-
This opponent (PBC Flamurtari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PBC FlamurtariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pogradeci
#11
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H06/12
Superliga
Fieri
#9
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A13/12
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
H21/12
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#7
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A10/01
Superliga
Vllaznia
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/01
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A24/01
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H01/02
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H07/02
Superliga
Partizani Tirana
#10
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H13/02
Superliga
Tirana
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H07/03
Superliga
80.7Avg total
34.1Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.045.980.9-11.020%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.144.979.0-10.924%-
Last 30 away (13)36.247.283.4-11.115%-
Last 10 (10)34.146.680.7-12.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.445.279.6-10.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)32.947.980.8-15.08%-
vs Similar (2)36.539.576.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker (4)46.537.283.8+9.275%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.320.2
48.9%
56.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.9
39.0%
34.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.312.3
71.1%
67.8%12.3
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PBC Flamurtaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PBC Flamurtari: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws7.8 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.5 points a game
55%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
56.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.6
29.2%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws13.07.8
60.0%
67.8%7.8
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
LLLWLLWLLL
PBC Flamurtari
LWLLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#12
-26.0
Net rating
-37.3
91.8
Offensive rating
85.2
117.8
Defensive rating
122.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
59.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
39.0%
3-point %
29.2%
34.7%
Assist %
57.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 85.2Defence117.8 · 122.4Shooting52.3% · 49.7%3-point %39.0% · 29.2%Ball care20.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.6% · 21.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Elbasani   ■ PBC Flamurtari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Elbasani wins
2
PBC Flamurtari wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25PBC Flamurtari v Elbasani78-107
24/03/24PBC Flamurtari v Elbasani89-71
24/11/23Elbasani v PBC Flamurtari79-83
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26ATeuta Durres74-93
17/02/26ABeselidhja69-147
14/02/26AVllaznia68-118
11/02/26AFieri96-93 OT
08/02/26HSkenderbeu71-106
01/02/26ABeselidhja80-125
25/01/26HFieri88-77
17/01/26APogradeci111-113 OT
10/01/26AKamza Basket75-125
18/12/25HTirana76-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HTirana80-115
13/02/26HPartizani Tirana79-59
07/02/26HApolonia Fier54-95
01/02/26HKamza Basket66-101
24/01/26ATeuta Durres70-109
18/01/26HVllaznia61-78
10/01/26ASkenderbeu73-100
21/12/25HBeselidhja56-110
13/12/25AFieri84-80
06/12/25HPogradeci74-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL26%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %26%25%27%
Points / game83.480.885.3
Allowed / game104.9103.0106.4
Point differential-21.6-22.2-21.1
Avg total188.3183.8191.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%25%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%18%
PBC Flamurtari
Superliga 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLWL11%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %12%11%12%
Points / game66.064.867.4
Allowed / game96.893.2100.9
Point differential-30.8-28.4-33.5
Avg total162.8158.0168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja18180100%116.367.9+48.4
2 Tirana1714382%99.978.4+21.5
3 Vllaznia1915479%87.973.8+14.1
4 Teuta Durres1913668%86.181.3+4.8
5 Apolonia Fier1812667%89.672.8+16.8
6 Kamza Basket1912763%91.377.7+13.5
7 Skenderbeu1710759%87.680.6+7.0
8 Elbasani1951426%83.4104.9-21.6
9 Fieri1941521%76.793.9-17.2
10 Partizani Tirana2031715%64.792.9-28.2
11 PBC Flamurtari1721512%66.096.8-30.8
12 Pogradeci1821611%78.3103.2-24.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani1633271793
PBC Flamurtari2523221989
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