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Elbasani vs Tirana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 55-103
11-41 16-20 14-20 14-22
Position#7
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game58.0
Allowed / game140.0
Elbasani
Albania
vs
Tirana 🏆
Albania
Position#3
Record9-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game78.4
AlbaniaSuperligaSuperliga - Final· Tomorr Sinani
Other2024-25
Meetings · Elbasani v Tirana
18 Dec 2025
ELBA76
TIRA124
16 Apr 2025
ELBA55
TIRA103
01 Mar 2024
ELBA100
TIRA130
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Elbasani winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tirana winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ElbasaniAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormElbasani
Date
Competition
Fieri
#10
W
85-78
85
78
+7
no box
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
96-74
96
74
+22
no box
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
100-130
100
130
-30
no box
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
58-103
58
103
-45
no box
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
86-108
86
108
-22
no box
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
74-148
74
148
-74
no box
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
93-144
93
144
-51
no box
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
98-113
98
113
-15
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
58-140
58
140
-82
28avg 28
A12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
22-19
23-16
22-23
22-16
31-14
25-17
18-27
25-31
23-23
27-43
25-33
6-38
22-28
15-16
15-21
21-24
20-33
26-25
19-26
17-17
30-22
14-35
10-15
13-35
17-33
25-45
19-35
20-38
26-40
25-27
22-39
22-35
20-23
24-31
32-24
11-29
9-30
22-36
16-45
194.6Avg total
81.9Scored
112.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)58.0140.0198.0-82.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)58.0140.0198.0-82.00%
Last 10 (10)81.9112.7194.6-30.820%
Last 5 (5)78.8126.8205.6-48.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.9107.5183.4-31.66%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)100.566.0166.5+34.5100%
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaAlbaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTirana
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#4
W
77-69
77
69
+8
82avg 74
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
73-88
73
88
-15
69avg 74
H01/03
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
62-87
62
87
-25
57avg 74
H05/03
Liga Unike
Kamza Basket
#6
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A08/03
Superliga
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
54avg 74
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
73avg 74
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 74
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
103-104 OT
103
104
-1
87avg 74
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
59avg 74
A05/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
140-58
140
58
+82
168avg 74
H12/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
12-19
26-25
22-13
17-21
17-19
25-32
14-16
11-30
20-24
14-25
17-8
–
–
–
–
17-18
15-23
5-23
26-13
23-23
24-21
20-13
10-20
20-18
17-23
27-26
10-15
23-19
16-22
27-22
18-21
10-27
24-25
14-16
22-20
29-11
30-9
36-22
45-16
150.0Avg total
76.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.178.4155.5-1.343%
Season at home (11)84.280.3164.5+3.945%
Season away (10)69.376.3145.6-7.040%
Last 10 (10)76.573.5150.0+3.040%
Last 5 (5)94.082.8176.8+11.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)70.588.5158.9-18.015%
vs Similar (4)83.285.0168.2-1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.472.8151.2+5.654%
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -10.8-10.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -9.0-9.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -10.8-10.8Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -9.0-9.0Q4: +4.7+4.7
ElbasaniTirana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ElbasaniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fieri
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A03/02
Superliga
Skenderbeu
#11
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/02
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#4
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A09/03
Superliga
Kamza Basket
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H13/03
Superliga
PBC Flamurtari
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
30-68
30
68
-38
H03/04
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#5
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/04
Superliga
Vllaznia
#2
L
42-58
42
58
-16
H12/04
Superliga
Tirana
#3
L
20-59
20
59
-39
A12/04
Superliga
94.3Avg total
39.5Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)40.847.888.6-7.038%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.644.889.4-0.240%-
Last 30 away (11)37.450.587.8-13.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.554.894.3-15.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.060.497.4-23.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.852.490.2-14.624%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (4)53.828.081.8+25.8100%-
This opponent (Tirana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TiranaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A11/02
Liga Unike
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H01/03
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
H05/03
Liga Unike
Sigal Prishtina
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H12/03
Liga Unike
Vllaznia
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A15/03
Superliga
Teuta Durres
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H23/03
Superliga
Apolonia Fier
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Beselidhja
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A05/04
Superliga
Elbasani
#7
W
59-20
59
20
+39
H12/04
Superliga
78.4Avg total
38.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.141.078.1-3.931%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.839.477.2-1.633%-
Last 30 away (14)36.442.779.1-6.329%-
Last 10 (9)38.040.478.4-2.422%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.645.881.4-10.215%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.584.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.835.772.4+1.133%-
This opponent (Elbasani) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Elbasanitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Elbasani: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.825.2
53.8%
52.7%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.85.5
23.1%
32.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws21.414.0
65.4%
68.8%14.0
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tiranatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tirana: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.1
51.2%
52.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.8
31.8%
32.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.315.2
68.2%
68.8%15.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Elbasani
LLLLLLLLWW
Tirana
WLLLWLWLLW
#7
League position
#3
-35.8
Net rating
+3.2
91.8
Offensive rating
102.5
127.6
Defensive rating
99.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
49.9%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.2%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
23.1%
3-point %
31.8%
42.0%
Assist %
63.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.8 · 102.5Defence127.6 · 99.3Shooting47.4% · 49.9%3-point %23.1% · 31.8%Ball care19.0% · 18.2%Off. rebounds20.8% · 25.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Elbasani   ■ Tirana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Elbasani wins
3
Tirana wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Tirana v Elbasani140-58
01/03/24Elbasani v Tirana100-130
29/10/23Tirana v Elbasani101-72
Elbasanilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ATirana58-140
12/04/24HVllaznia98-113
07/04/24AApolonia Fier93-144
03/04/24HBeselidhja74-148
24/03/24APBC Flamurtari71-89
13/03/24HKamza Basket86-108
09/03/24ATeuta Durres58-103
01/03/24HTirana100-130
10/02/24ASkenderbeu96-74
03/02/24AFieri85-78
Tiranalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HElbasani140-58
05/04/25ABeselidhja70-88
29/03/25AApolonia Fier103-104 OT
23/03/25HTeuta Durres74-82
15/03/25AVllaznia83-82 OT
12/03/25HSigal Prishtina63-77
08/03/25AKamza Basket20-0
05/03/25HGolden Eagle Ylli62-87
01/03/25HBeselidhja73-88
11/02/25ASigal Prishtina77-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Elbasani
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game58.0-58.0
Allowed / game140.0-140.0
Point differential-82.0--82.0
Avg total198.0-198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Tirana
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeLWLLW45%
AwayWWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%45%40%
Points / game77.184.269.3
Allowed / game78.480.376.3
Point differential-1.3+3.9-7.0
Avg total155.5164.5145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %14%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beselidhja2221195%93.674.2+19.4
2 Teuta Durres22121055%82.982.8+0.1
3 Apolonia Fier22101245%84.487.7-3.3
4 Tirana2191243%77.178.4-1.3
5 Vllaznia2281436%83.585.0-1.5
6 Kamza Basket2051525%75.486.0-10.7
7 Elbasani1010%58.0140.0-82.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Elbasani1116141455
Tirana41202022103
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