PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Elon hosts the Chattanooga Mocs on 13 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Elon as the clear favourite, rating them 82% to win largely because of their 2-1 record and an average of 69.3 points scored versus 68.3 allowed, placing them 192nd in the league, while Chattanooga sits 264th with a 1-2 record and 86.7 points for and 82.7 against. Elon's single home game is a 1-0 win, 74.0 points scored and 65.0 allowed, and in their last five games they have 2 wins and 3 losses, including a 74-65 home victory over NC Greensboro and a 84-71 away win over Columbia, while they fell 50-69 to George Washington away. Chattanooga's road record is 0-2, 81.5 points scored and 90.5 allowed, and in their last five they also have 2 wins and 3 losses, highlighted by a 97-67 home win over Covenant and losses to Penn State 93-97 and Louisville 70-84 away. The Pythia projection sets Elon 81-71, a total of 152.3 points, with an 82% chance of a home win, 18% for Chattanooga, a 3% overtime probability, and no spread or over/under lines provided. The game will finish with Elon's 81 points.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 69.3 | 68.3 | 137.7 | +1.0 | 67% |
| Season at home (1) | 74.0 | 65.0 | 139.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 67.0 | 70.0 | 137.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 65.7 | 72.9 | 138.6 | -7.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 65.4 | 70.6 | 136.0 | -5.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 74.2 | 74.8 | 149.0 | -0.7 | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 72.0 | 75.8 | 147.8 | -3.8 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 88.7 | 85.0 | 173.7 | +3.7 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 86.7 | 82.7 | 169.3 | +4.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 97.0 | 67.0 | 164.0 | +30.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 81.5 | 90.5 | 172.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.5 | 81.6 | 165.1 | +1.9 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.2 | 83.0 | 169.2 | +3.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 71.4 | 76.5 | 147.9 | -5.1 | 25% |
| vs Similar (13) | 75.3 | 79.6 | 154.9 | -4.3 | 31% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 86.1 | 69.8 | 155.9 | +16.4 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.4 | 35.8 | 72.3 | +0.6 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 40.9 | 78.9 | -2.8 | 27% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 34.8 | 30.8 | 65.6 | +4.0 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.4 | 32.5 | 63.9 | -1.1 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 28.6 | 59.8 | +2.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (12) | 36.4 | 33.3 | 69.8 | +3.1 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (14) | 34.1 | 36.4 | 70.5 | -2.2 | 21% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 42.0 | 44.0 | 86.0 | -2.0 | 33% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.8 | 36.2 | 73.0 | +0.5 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.1 | 34.8 | 73.9 | +4.4 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 34.1 | 37.9 | 72.0 | -3.9 | 36% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.6 | 39.1 | 78.7 | +0.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.8 | 42.8 | 84.6 | -1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 32.0 | 39.5 | 71.5 | -7.5 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 35.2 | 37.3 | 72.5 | -2.1 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (8) | 42.1 | 33.0 | 75.1 | +9.1 | 62% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | George Washington | 50-69 |
| 07/11/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 74-65 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Columbia | 84-71 |
| 08/03/26 | A | William & Mary | 62-72 |
| 04/03/26 | H | NC Wilmington | 57-76 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Monmouth | 57-73 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Towson | 56-58 |
| 22/02/26 | H | N. Carolina A&T | 82-102 |
| 14/02/26 | A | William & Mary | 81-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | NC Wilmington | 54-65 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | H | Covenant | 97-67 |
| 05/11/26 | A | Penn State | 93-97 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Louisville | 70-84 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Citadel | 85-88 |
| 28/02/26 | H | VMI | 86-79 |
| 27/02/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 80-85 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Citadel | 93-72 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Mercer | 94-90 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Western Carolina | 76-81 |
| 12/02/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 61-73 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWL | 67% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 69.3 | 74.0 | 67.0 |
| Allowed / game | 68.3 | 65.0 | 70.0 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +9.0 | -3.0 |
| Avg total | 137.7 | 139.0 | 137.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLW | 33% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 86.7 | 97.0 | 81.5 |
| Allowed / game | 82.7 | 67.0 | 90.5 |
| Point differential | +4.0 | +30.0 | -9.0 |
| Avg total | 169.3 | 164.0 | 172.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charleston | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 104.7 | 67.3 | +37.3 |
| 2 |  NC Wilmington | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 71.0 | +19.0 |
| 3 |  William & Mary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 91.3 | 78.0 | +13.3 |
| 4 | Elon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 69.3 | 68.3 | +1.0 |
| 5 |  Towson | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 70.8 | 65.5 | +5.2 |
| 6 |  Stony Brook | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 64.7 | +9.0 |
| 7 |  N. Carolina A&T | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 76.3 | 68.3 | +8.0 |
| 8 |  Hofstra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 72.7 | 65.3 | +7.3 |
| 9 |  Hampton | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.0 | 68.7 | -7.7 |
| 10 |  Drexel | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 67.0 | 76.3 | -9.3 |
| 11 |  Northeastern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 77.0 | 86.7 | -9.7 |
| 12 |  Monmouth | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 61.0 | 79.2 | -18.2 |
| 13 |  Campbell | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 62.7 | 79.3 | -16.7 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Furman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.5 | 68.0 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Citadel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.3 | 61.3 | +33.0 |
| 3 |  Western Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 74.3 | +22.7 |
| 4 |  NC Greensboro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 70.8 | +10.2 |
| 5 |  Samford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 73.0 | +10.0 |
| 6 |  VMI | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.5 | 74.8 | +4.8 |
| 7 |  Wofford | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 78.2 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Mercer | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 80.6 | -2.4 |
| 9 | Chattanooga Mocs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.7 | 82.7 | +4.0 |
| 10 |  East Tennessee St | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.3 | 68.3 | -3.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon | 32 | 38 | 70 |
| Chattanooga Mocs | 41 | 36 | 77 |
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