Esgueira vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 76-84

12-21 17-27 24-16 23-20

Position#8

Record6-6

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game73.7

Esgueira

Benfica 🏆

Position#2

Record11-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.1

Allowed / game68.3

LPBRound 13

Other2019-20

Meetings · Esgueira v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

57-65

-8

H19/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

78-61

+17

A26/10

LPB

Oliveirense

69-78

-9

H01/11

LPB

FC Porto

70-76

-6

A10/11

LPB

Sporting CP

78-90

-12

H16/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

88-77

+11

A23/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

76-69

H29/11

LPB

Galitos

79-78

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

87-59

+28

H07/12

LPB

Maia

#13

84-87

-3

A14/12

LPB

16-24

9-15

17-17

15-9

21-17

24-13

13-17

20-14

16-14

20-16

20-24

13-24

17-21

17-20

24-15

12-20

20-29

24-19

16-18

18-24

29-21

26-17

14-19

19-20

15-25

18-9

17-20

26-15

17-20

25-19

15-21

22-18

23-20

23-8

11-20

30-11

13-14

22-19

22-30

27-24

150.6Avg total

76.6Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	78.2	73.7	151.9	+4.6	50%
Season at home (6)	74.8	74.3	149.2	+0.5	33%
Season away (6)	81.7	73.0	154.7	+8.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	74.0	150.6	+2.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.8	74.0	156.8	+8.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	71.7	85.7	157.3	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (15)	74.6	76.9	151.5	-2.3	40%
vs Weaker (8)	83.2	72.9	156.1	+10.4	62%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

77-67

+10

H19/10

LPB

FC Porto

79-87

-8

A26/10

LPB

Sporting CP

85-79

H02/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

72-63

A09/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

111-58

111

+53

H16/11

LPB

Galitos

94-83

+11

A23/11

LPB

Maia

#13

99-68

+31

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

74-70

H04/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

114-60

114

+54

H07/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

103-60

103

+43

A14/12

LPB

18-14

20-21

14-18

25-14

14-16

21-26

24-30

20-15

14-21

26-17

24-16

21-25

19-15

14-12

19-15

20-21

19-15

36-11

27-11

29-21

25-22

24-17

28-19

17-25

25-12

25-14

23-16

26-26

18-19

18-16

14-15

24-20

28-11

34-18

29-13

23-18

25-17

28-14

21-13

29-16

160.3Avg total

90.8Scored

69.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	90.1	68.3	158.4	+21.8	92%
Season at home (6)	89.8	68.3	158.2	+21.5	100%
Season away (6)	90.3	68.3	158.7	+22.0	83%
Last 10 (10)	90.8	69.5	160.3	+21.3	90%
Last 5 (5)	96.8	68.2	165.0	+28.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	85.0	79.0	164.0	+6.0	100%
vs Similar (2)	77.5	78.5	156.0	-1.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	89.1	68.9	158.0	+20.3	85%

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EsgueiraBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.7	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	19.4	19.9	39.3	-0.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	20.1	40.8	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	17.6	40.5	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	15.5	36.1	+5.1	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	16.2	36.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	16.2	40.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	21.0	35.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	22.5	18.0	40.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.0	16.4	38.4	+5.7	74%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.3	38.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.9	15.6	34.5	+3.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	15.5	36.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	14.4	37.2	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	15.8	36.2	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	16.2	38.3	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	15.4	39.0	+8.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	16.6	41.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	15.8	41.6	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	26.0	17.0	43.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.1	15.8	37.9	+6.3	67%	-

EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Vitoria

25-39

-14

H19/10

LPB

Barreirense

#11

45-30

+15

A26/10

LPB

Oliveirense

36-30

H01/11

LPB

FC Porto

34-41

-7

A10/11

LPB

Sporting CP

44-48

-4

H16/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

55-38

+17

A23/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

33-34

-1

H29/11

LPB

Galitos

42-39

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

46-28

+18

H07/12

LPB

Maia

#13

35-33

A14/12

LPB

75.5Avg total

39.5Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.1	77.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	35.1	74.1	+4.0	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	40.7	80.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	36.0	75.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	34.4	76.6	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	35.7	39.7	75.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (15)	39.6	38.1	77.7	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.1	35.9	77.0	+5.2	62%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

38-35

H19/10

LPB

FC Porto

35-42

-7

A26/10

LPB

Sporting CP

40-38

H02/11

LPB

Illiabum

#12

33-27

A09/11

LPB

Terceira

#14

55-26

+29

H16/11

LPB

Galitos

49-39

+10

A23/11

LPB

Maia

#13

50-26

+24

A01/12

LPB

Ovarense

36-35

H04/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

62-29

+33

H07/12

LPB

Lusitania

#10

53-31

+22

A14/12

LPB

77.9Avg total

45.1Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	32.8	76.8	+11.2	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.4	33.1	79.5	+13.4	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	32.5	73.6	+8.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.1	32.8	77.9	+12.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	32.0	82.0	+18.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	40.0	38.0	78.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	43.5	38.5	82.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.1	32.2	76.3	+12.0	81%	-

This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.5	21.3	37.8	-4.8	7%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.2	39.7	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	20.1	37.0	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	22.0	37.8	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	18.2	22.3	40.5	-4.2	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.6	21.1	40.8	-1.5	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.8	38.2	+4.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	16.6	38.9	+5.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	15.2	38.2	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	19.7	39.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.6	42.4	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	17.8	23.7	41.5	-5.8	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	53%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.5	15.9	38.4	+6.6	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.1	41.1	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.6	42.1	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.0	44.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	25.0	46.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.5	21.5	39.0	-4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.4	18.7	41.1	+3.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	39.6	76.2	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	35.9	41.0	76.9	-5.1	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.3	75.7	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.1	38.0	75.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	39.6	80.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)	36.0	46.0	82.0	-10.0	17%	-
vs Similar (15)	34.7	38.2	72.9	-3.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.1	37.0	79.1	+5.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.6	36.9	80.5	+6.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	36.4	80.4	+7.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.2	37.5	80.7	+5.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.7	36.7	82.4	+9.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	36.2	83.0	+10.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	44.3	36.5	80.8	+7.8	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Esgueira wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
05/01/19	Benfica v Esgueira	112-66
13/10/18	Esgueira v Benfica	69-89

Esgueiralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	A	Maia	84-87
07/12/19	H	Ovarense	87-59
01/12/19	A	Galitos	79-78
29/11/19	H	Terceira	76-69
23/11/19	A	Illiabum	88-77
16/11/19	H	Sporting CP	78-90
10/11/19	A	FC Porto	70-76
01/11/19	H	Oliveirense	69-78
26/10/19	A	Barreirense	78-61
19/10/19	H	Vitoria	57-65

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/19	A	Lusitania	103-60
07/12/19	H	CAB Madeira	114-60
04/12/19	H	Ovarense	74-70
01/12/19	A	Maia	99-68
23/11/19	A	Galitos	94-83
16/11/19	H	Terceira	111-58
09/11/19	A	Illiabum	72-63
02/11/19	H	Sporting CP	85-79
26/10/19	A	FC Porto	79-87
19/10/19	H	Oliveirense	77-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	50%
Home	LLLWW	33%
Away	WLWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	33%	67%
Points / game	78.2	74.8	81.7
Allowed / game	73.7	74.3	73.0
Point differential	+4.6	+0.5	+8.7
Avg total	151.9	149.2	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	17%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2019-20

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	83%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	92%	100%	83%
Points / game	90.1	89.8	90.3
Allowed / game	68.3	68.3	68.3
Point differential	+21.8	+21.5	+22.0
Avg total	158.4	158.2	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Benfica	12	11	1	92%	90.1	68.3	+21.8
2	Sporting CP	12	11	1	92%	91.1	69.9	+21.2
3	FC Porto	12	11	1	92%	87.6	73.1	+14.5
4	Oliveirense	12	8	4	67%	83.9	73.6	+10.3
5	Galitos	12	7	5	58%	83.9	80.5	+3.4
6	Vitoria	12	7	5	58%	78.8	76.7	+2.2
7	Esgueira	12	6	6	50%	78.2	73.7	+4.6
8	Maia	12	5	7	42%	76.2	83.9	-7.8
9	Illiabum	12	4	8	33%	74.9	79.3	-4.4
10	Lusitania	12	4	8	33%	77.6	85.7	-8.1
11	CAB Madeira	12	4	8	33%	75.9	85.6	-9.7
12	Ovarense	12	3	9	25%	72.3	78.8	-6.4
13	Barreirense	12	3	9	25%	72.2	86.4	-14.2
14	Terceira	12	0	12	0%	69.9	97.3	-27.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Esgueira	12	17	24	23	76
Benfica	21	27	16	20	84

← all games of the day

Esgueira vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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