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Espanol de Talca vs Liceo Pablo Neruda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 74-77
19-17 18-22 17-15 20-23
Position#14
Record2-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game90.4
vs
Position#13
Record2-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game77.6
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Municipal Talca
Other2023-24
Meetings · Espanol de Talca v Liceo Pablo Neruda
03 Mar 2024
ESPA74
LICE77
26 Nov 2023
ESPA57
LICE63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Espanol de Talca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Pablo Neruda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Espanol de TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
80-100
80
100
-20
51avg 51
A22/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
51-123
51
123
-72
34avg 51
H25/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
57-63
57
63
-6
45avg 51
H26/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
79-81
79
81
-2
63avg 51
H13/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
74-108
74
108
-34
58avg 51
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
67avg 51
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 51
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
84-97
84
97
-13
78avg 51
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
75-76
75
76
-1
69avg 51
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 51
H02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-31
16-25
22-24
27-20
9-39
21-27
11-24
10-33
13-17
17-21
13-15
14-10
20-20
16-20
11-23
32-18
21-24
18-36
26-23
9-25
16-25
15-17
21-28
27-29
20-23
27-15
17-22
24-20
28-26
16-24
21-28
19-19
15-26
23-19
18-17
19-14
26-25
14-22
28-25
26-20
168.0Avg total
76.1Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.990.4172.3-8.629%
Season at home (4)86.287.5173.8-1.250%
Season away (3)76.094.3170.3-18.30%
Last 10 (10)76.191.9168.0-15.820%
Last 5 (5)84.088.8172.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)64.492.4156.8-28.03%
vs Similar ◀ (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeruda
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
68-111
68
111
-43
54avg 58
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
66avg 58
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
66-75
66
75
-9
58avg 58
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
71avg 58
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
62-80
62
80
-18
56avg 58
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
64avg 58
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
L
60-69
60
69
-9
53avg 58
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
72avg 58
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
67-87
67
87
-20
63avg 58
A02/03
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
14-36
17-27
25-28
16-26
18-22
21-23
18-9
20-21
19-22
15-14
12-18
21-14
20-27
16-15
18-24
14-16
26-22
19-19
16-18
19-21
12-26
12-10
19-23
24-13
12-19
16-25
18-16
21-17
24-15
9-20
6-17
26-25
20-17
11-12
20-21
13-25
19-28
14-22
21-12
151.6Avg total
70.4Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.477.6148.0-7.225%
Season at home (5)71.075.8146.8-4.840%
Season away (3)69.380.7150.0-11.30%
Last 10 (10)70.481.2151.6-10.820%
Last 5 (5)67.276.8144.0-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)67.789.2156.9-21.417%
vs Similar ◀ (5)70.073.8143.8-3.860%
vs Weaker (7)91.968.6160.4+23.3100%
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -7.3-7.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
Espanol de TalcaLiceo Pablo Neruda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Espanol de TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A22/11
Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
30-66
30
66
-36
H25/11
Copa Chile
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#11
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H26/11
Copa Chile
Ancud
#3
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H13/01
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A26/01
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A27/01
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H02/02
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H03/02
LNB
Catolica
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A10/02
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H02/03
LNB
84.8Avg total
36.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.547.178.5-15.63%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.245.978.1-13.66%-
Last 30 away (13)30.548.679.1-18.20%-
Last 10 (10)36.648.284.8-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.484.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (29)30.947.478.3-16.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)47.038.085.0+9.0100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Liceo Pablo Neruda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo Pablo NerudaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
U. De Concepcion
#1
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A05/01
Supercopa
CD Puerto Varas
#2
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A06/01
Supercopa
Puerto Montt
#11
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A13/01
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/01
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H19/01
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H20/01
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H27/01
LNB
Naviera Ulloa
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H09/02
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H10/02
LNB
U. De Concepcion
#2
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A02/03
LNB
80.2Avg total
37.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.842.179.9-4.345%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.939.781.6+2.262%-
Last 30 away (13)32.845.077.8-12.223%-
Last 10 (10)37.043.280.2-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.279.2-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)32.346.879.2-14.528%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.838.074.8-1.240%-
vs Weaker (6)55.031.286.2+23.8100%-
This opponent (Espanol de Talca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Espanol de Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Espanol de Talca: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.919.2
45.8%
50.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.1
29.5%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.012.8
64.0%
70.3%12.8
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Pablo Nerudatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Pablo Neruda: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.922.2
49.4%
50.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.8
29.4%
32.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws14.29.1
64.1%
70.3%9.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Espanol de Talca
WLLWLLLLLL
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LWLLLWLLLL
#14
League position
#13
-18.9
Net rating
-11.1
94.0
Offensive rating
92.2
112.9
Defensive rating
103.3
45.2%
Effective FG%
47.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
21.0%
Turnover %
21.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.22
29.5%
3-point %
29.4%
49.1%
Assist %
63.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 92.2Defence112.9 · 103.3Shooting45.2% · 47.8%3-point %29.5% · 29.4%Ball care21.0% · 21.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Espanol de Talca   ■ Liceo Pablo Neruda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Espanol de Talca wins
2
Liceo Pablo Neruda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HValdivia94-92
10/02/24ACatolica75-76
03/02/24HCD Puerto Varas84-97
02/02/24HPuerto Montt88-80
27/01/24ALas Animas79-99
26/01/24AEspanol Osorno74-108
13/01/24HAncud79-81
26/11/23HLiceo Pablo Neruda57-63
25/11/23HU. De Concepcion51-123
22/11/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda80-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AU. De Concepcion67-87
10/02/24HAncud77-75
09/02/24HNaviera Ulloa60-69
27/01/24HValdivia70-73
20/01/24HLeones Quilpue62-80
19/01/24HCatolica86-82 OT
14/01/24ACD Puerto Varas75-80
13/01/24APuerto Montt66-75
06/01/24ACD Puerto Varas73-80
05/01/24AU. De Concepcion68-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Espanol de Talca
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game81.986.276.0
Allowed / game90.487.594.3
Point differential-8.6-1.2-18.3
Avg total172.3173.8170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liceo Pablo Neruda
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %25%40%0%
Points / game70.471.069.3
Allowed / game77.675.880.7
Point differential-7.2-4.8-11.3
Avg total148.0146.8150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue98189%81.468.9+12.6
2 Ancud1210283%84.777.8+6.9
3 U. De Concepcion86275%87.981.9+6.0
4 Espanol Osorno118373%79.968.1+11.8
5 Las Animas116555%81.980.8+1.1
6 CD Puerto Varas116555%84.884.8+0.0
7 Valdivia105550%87.283.4+3.8
8 Naviera Ulloa115645%73.574.5-1.0
9 Sportiva Italiana83538%73.082.2-9.2
10 Espanol de Talca72529%81.990.4-8.6
11 Puerto Montt113827%70.278.8-8.6
12 Liceo Pablo Neruda82625%70.477.6-7.2
13 Puente Alto92722%74.180.4-6.3
14 Catolica102820%75.182.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Espanol de Talca1918172074
Liceo Pablo Neruda1722152377
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